With geopolitical risks compounded by delayed interest rate cuts, the dollar may emerge as the ultimate winner
Svmuu News: According to analysis by Capital Economics economists, as the conflict in Iran unfolds, global financial markets are likely to be impacted by fluctuations in investor risk appetite. They warn that if the conflict escalates, government bonds may fail to provide a reliable safe haven, as expectations of monetary easing could be pushed back. This situation is particularly pronounced in economies such as the United States, where markets had already priced in expectations for multiple interest rate cuts. If sentiment continues to deteriorate, the dollar could strengthen further, driven primarily by the fact that the end of rate cuts makes relative yields favorable to the dollar, as well as the U.S.’s status as a net energy exporter. (Jin Shi)
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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