Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "US-Iran will cease fire by March 31," an account with a win rate exceeding 88% (0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184) purchased approximately $55,000 worth of "NO" direction positions.
Currently, this account holds a total position of about $549,000 in this event, with an average entry price around 82¢, a current price of about 82.5¢, corresponding to roughly 666,000 shares.
Recent tensions in the Middle East have continued, with the US and Iran repeatedly engaging in talks and negotiations regarding a ceasefire. Market expectations for achieving a ceasefire in the short term are divided, leading to a continuous increase in trading volume for this event.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.