Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that today MegaETH announced its TGE for April 30, while the probability of "MegaETH issuing tokens before April 30" on Polymarket is currently 95%, which may be related to the settlement rules.
The market settlement rule states that if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date specified in the title, the prediction market outcome will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No."
Another key rule, "The token must be publicly available for normal transfer and trading; merely issuing related announcements does not satisfy the judgment condition," may be the reason the probability has not reached 100%.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to follow the prediction market, spotting changes before they are priced in.