Svmuu reports that BIT's latest weekly report indicates if Bitcoin had kept pace with the Nasdaq's rally, its price would theoretically be near $140,000. However, since October 2025, the divergence between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq has become increasingly pronounced.
BIT highlights that the latest U.S. CPI data has risen to 3.0%, 100 basis points above the Federal Reserve's target, prompting the market to pull back some of its pricing for rate cuts in 2026. The report suggests that Bitcoin's previous upward momentum was heavily reliant on expectations of Fed easing, and as rate cut expectations have diminished, Bitcoin's performance has come under short-term pressure.
The report also notes that the stock market has benefited from nominal income growth driven by inflation and a decline in real debt burdens, resulting in a different trajectory compared to Bitcoin. BIT believes the market's current focus is on whether the repricing of inflation expectations will undermine Bitcoin's fundamentals and how investors will adjust their positions going forward.