Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.2%. Federal Reserve The probability of rates remaining unchanged through September is 32%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 50.5% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 17.6%.