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Oxford Economics expects July headline PCE inflation to rise 3.6% year-over-year, slightly easing from June's 3.7%, and anticipates the Fed will keep rates unchanged for the rest of 2026.
Oxford Economics expects July headline PCE inflation to rise 3.6% year-over-year, slightly easing from June's 3.7%, and anticipates the Fed will keep rates unchanged for the rest of 2026. The firm cites cooling services inflation and a labor market showing little sign of overheating as reasons for its forecast. The official PCE report for July is due later this month.
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