A forecast engine model suggests that a $5,000 investment in Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock could be worth $5,335 in a bear-case scenario, $6,612 in a base-case scenario, and $9,088.50 in a bull-case scenario by 2031. These projections correspond to modeled share prices of $389.92, $483.26, and $664.27 respectively. The model cites Q2 2026 revenue of $28.24 billion (up 25.52% YoY), 1.48 million active FSD subscriptions (up 56% YoY), and the launch of Robotaxi services in seven U.S. metros as key drivers. However, Q2 operating income fell 56.88% YoY, free cash flow turned negative at -$1.09 billion, and full-year 2026 capex is guided above $25 billion, posing risks. Wall Street's consensus one-year target of $390 aligns with the bear-case projection.