Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Analysts: Six Signs the Crypto Winter Is Ending
Denny Galindo, Executive Director at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, analyzed that digital assets typically follow a four-year cycle, comprising three years of bull market and 12 to 14 months of bear market (i.e., crypto winter). He listed six historical indicators suggesting that the current crypto winter may be ending and the market is entering "crypto spring": cycle length (time interval to next halving and from last peak), exchange and institutional stress (such as BitMEX closure), Bitcoin's drawdown from peak (currently 53%), Bitcoin mining difficulty (has declined but not yet rebounded), Thermocap multiple (currently 13x, historically single digits at the end of crypto winters), and price action (50% rebound from historical lows). He emphasized that these observations are not predictions but are worth noting.
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