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Federal Reserve
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. SpaceX will acquire Anysphere, the developer of Cursor, through a merger; 2. XPRIZE founder: Over the past 10 years, I would have invested spare funds in Bitcoin, but now I’ll buy SPCX; 3. “White-H
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UBS Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed back to 2027; the central bank is expected to send a hawkish signal at this week's meeting
Svmuu News UBS Global Wealth Management has pushed back its expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts to March and June 2027 and no longer anticipates any rate cuts this year. The firm said
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Market Analysis: Warsh’s First Meeting May Bring “Bad News” for Donald Trump
Svmuu News: As Kevin Warsh was sworn in as chairman of the Federal Reserve, Donald Trump told the new chairman to “remain independent” and “don’t look to me, don’t look to anyone—just do your job and
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UBS: Falling oil prices will ease Federal Reserve pressure for interest rate hikes
Svmuu News: Leslie Falconio, currently Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy for Global Wealth Management at UBS, stated that pressure on the Federal Reserveto raise interest rates this year is easing
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Federal Reserve New Governor Warsh is set to make his debut, and the market expects the benchmark interest rate to remain at 3.50%–3.75%
Svmuu News: Global financial markets will be watching Washington closely this week, as the Federal Reserve’s new chairman, Kevin Warsh, hosts his first press conference following a Federal Open Market
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Economists: U.S.-Iran Deal Reduces Recession Risk, but Does Not Alter Outlook
Svmuu News: In a report, Ben May and Bridget Payne of Oxford Economics stated that while there may still be setbacks ahead, the U.S.-Iran agreement reduces the risk of a sustained decline in oil inven
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: Bitcoins Enter a Phase of Simultaneous Recovery and Selling Pressure; SpaceX IPO Shakes Up the Market; 2. Analysis: Hedge Funds Are Rapidly Exiting Safe-Haven Assets and Shifting to Underv
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Analysis: With the Middle East ceasefire and the Federal Reserve resolution, the crypto market will be watching geopolitical risks and interest rate trends this week
Svmuu News: The crypto market is hoping to shake off months of geopolitical pressure this week. Following the announcement of a temporary peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran, Bitcoin rose to nea
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Tesla Former Board Member: SpaceX Must Deliver Results as Soon as Possible
Svmuu News Tesla Former board member Steve Westly noted in a recent interview that SpaceX has attracted a large number of retail investors, but he also added that SpaceX must deliver results as soon a
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Analysis: Hedge funds are rapidly pulling out of safe-haven assets and shifting their focus to undervalued Asian stocks, U.S. Treasuries, and the consumer sector.
Svmuu News: The U.S.-Iran peace agreement is set to be formally signed this Friday, marking a major turning point for global markets. Hedge funds are rapidly exiting safe-haven assets and shifting the
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Analysis: The option dynamics behind the break below the $70,000 support level at Bitcoin are reversing, and the market may be poised for a rebound.
Svmuu News: 10x Research reported that the options market dynamics that drove Bitcoin below the $70,000 support level are shifting and may even begin to fuel an uptrend. After BTC fell below $70,000,
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BaoSheng Bank: The U.S.-Iran agreement is having a positive impact on Asian stock markets
Svmuu News: Richard Tang, an analyst at BMS Group, noted in a report that a peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran would be highly beneficial for Asian stock markets. Since most Asian economies are
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Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in June is 98.5%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in June is 98.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis poi
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The market has scaled back expectations of an interest rate hike Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose 10 points, and federal funds rate futures edged higher as the market scaled back expectations for interest rate hikes. (Jin Shi)
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The U.S. and Iran are close to reaching a peace agreement; next week, the market will focus on interest rate decisions by major central banks such as the Federal Reserve
Svmuu reported that statements from Trump, Iran's Foreign Minister, and Pakistan's Prime Minister indicate that Iran and the United States are close to reaching a peace agreement. Next week, market fo
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Trump: The Iran war is over; 2. SpaceX’s US IPO retail subscription amount is reported to have exceeded $100 billion; 3. The market is no longer fully pricing in expectations for a Fed rate hike th
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The market is no longer fully pricing in expectations of a Fed rate hike this year.
According to Svmuu, the market is no longer fully pricing in expectations of a Fed rate hike this year. (Jin10)
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Electronic components are driving up the PPI index, which has hit its highest level since November 2022
Svmuu reported that the PPI inflation rate surged to 6.5% in May, exceeding the expected 6.4% and reaching its highest level since November 2022. The core PPI inflation rate stood at 4.9%, unchanged f
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U.S. May PPI MoM comes in at 1.1%, vs. 0.7% expected
Svmuu News: U.S. May PPI MoM came in at 1.1%, versus the expected 0.7%, while the previous reading was revised from 1.40% to 1.1%. U.S. May Core PPI MoM came in at 0.4%, versus the expected 0.5%, whil
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Institution: Short-term Treasuries' Reaction to CPI Is Typically Less Sensitive Than to Employment Data
Svmuu reported that analysts at Julius Baer Group, led by Afonso Borges, noted in a report that the moderate rebound led by short-term Treasuries following the release of the US May CPI report on Wedn
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Strategist: U.S. inflation remains high, but cooling core data provides some breathing room for Federal Reserve
Strategist: US Inflation Remains Elevated, but Cooling Core Data Gives Fed Room to Breathe
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After the CPI data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96.3%
Svmuureports that, according to the CME "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is
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U.S. Core Inflation Unexpectedly Cools in May, Traders Still Bet on Fed Rate Hike by Year-End
Svmuu reported that the U.S. core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month in May, below the market expectation of 0.3%. U.S. Treasuries strengthened slightly, while bond traders maintained their bets that the Fe
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“Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos: CPI rose 8.2% on a three-month annualized basis
Svmuu reported that "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos noted that it should not be overlooked that the overall CPI rose 0.47% month-over-month (an annualized increase of 5.8%), pushing the unadjusted annua
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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3
Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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Nikkei Stock Average drops 5.9% to 57,497.16, dragged by chip stocks amid U.S. tech selloff
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