Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.9%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.1%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Kevin Warsh has assembled a team of external experts to review the Federal Reserve monetary policy framework
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has formed five working groups to conduct a comprehensive review of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Reserve monetary policy framework, covering
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Federal Reserve Announcement of the Leadership and Objectives of Five Working Groups
Svmuu News Federal Reserve announced the leadership and objectives of the working groups. Warsh, Chair of the Federal Reserve, stated that the goal of the working groups is to position the Federal Res
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Federal Reserve Logan: A Voluntary Central Clearing Mechanism May Improve the Efficiency of Open Market Operations
Svmuu News: Dallas Fed President Logan stated that if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were to conduct open market operations through a voluntary central clearing mechanism, it would help impr
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Federal Reserve The volume of overnight reverse repo agreements rose to $5.772 billion
Svmuu News Federal Reserve: The volume of overnight reverse repo agreements (RRPs) stood at $5.772 billion on Thursday, compared with $3.347 billion on the previous trading day.
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Anthropic Hires Former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke as a Member of Its Oversight Trust Committee
Svmuu News: Anthropic has appointed Ben Bernanke, former chairman of the Federal Reserve, as a member of its “Long-Term Benefit Trust.” This oversight body is designed to ensure that the AI company re
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In the week ending July 4, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 218,000.
Svmuu News: In the week ending July 4, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 218,000. (Jin Shi)
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Oil Prices Rise Nearly 10% Over Three Days as Markets Weigh Optimism Over AI Chips Against Risks of War with Iran
Svmuu News: Cointelegraph posted on X that the market is weighing optimism over AI chips against heightened risks of war with Iran; oil prices have risen nearly 10% in three days, and investors are in
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Svmuu Noon News
1. The U.S. military launched strikes against approximately 90 military targets in Iran; 2. Pantera Capital: Hyperliquid’s potential market size reaches $10 trillion in daily trading volume, with regu
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Barclays: Federal Reserves May Remain Unchanged Until the End of 2027
Svmuu News: According to Barclays’ baseline forecast, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2027. However, Barclays’ strategists still believe the risks are tilted
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. SK Hynix is expected to list on Nasdaq on July 10 via a pre-IPO trading arrangement; 2. Ansem shares a screenshot: The number of ANSEM token-holding addresses has surpassed 122,000, just one step a
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Bloomberg ETF Analyst: Federal Reserve May Buy Stock ETFs in the Future; U.S. Stocks Are Now Too Big to Fail
Svmuu News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X that he released a report today—one he had been working on for several months—suggesting that the U.S. stock market may have become too lar
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In June, the New York Fed's 1-year inflation forecast stood at 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously.
Svmuu News: The New York Fed’s one-year inflation forecast for June was 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously. The New York Fed’s three-year inflation forecast for June rose to 3.3%, reaching its highest le
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Federal Reserve Williams: We Expect to Continue Seeing Strong Investment in AI
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that strong investment in artificial intelligence is expected to continue, risks in the labor market are relatively balanced, the outlook for inflation has b
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Expectations for Interest Rate Hikes Are Cooling; Technical Analysis Will Fully Take Over Market Trends
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, pointed out during a live online broadcast titled “Interest Rate Hike Expectations Cool: Technical Analysis Takes Over the Trend” that global fina
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Core PCE inflation may be revised downward by 0.2 percentage points; the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will adjust some of the methods used to calculate the PCE index
Svmuu News: The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced that it will adjust certain calculation methods for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.3%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.7%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Institution: U.S. Earnings Season Is About to Begin; Investors Are Watching How High Oil Prices Will Affect Corporate Costs and Profit Margins
Svmuu News: Investment firm Summit Place Financial Advisors stated that the market expects companies’ second-quarter earnings to be generally strong, but investors will focus on the impact of high oil
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: Federal Reserve Will Not Deliberately Maintain Low Interest Rates
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board Member Waller stated that Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve would not deliberately maintain low interest rates to help the U.S. government finance its budget deficit
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Federal Reserve Waller put forward “two considerations” regarding monetary policy: initial conditions and forward guidance determine the effectiveness of transmission.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Waller presented “two points of consideration” regarding the monetary policy transmission mechanism, emphasizing that the effectiveness of policy depends on initial conditio
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As oil prices fell, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed and the dollar strengthened
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently up 0.2%. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note stands at 4.459%, higher than last Thursday’s closing yield of 4.447%. The y
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Analysis: Bitcoin Bullish sentiment is supported by easing inflation expectations; the market is focused on July’s CPI data
Svmuu News: The crypto market continues to stabilize, with the Bitcoin rising nearly 7% in the week ending July 5, marking its strongest weekly performance since March. This rally was primarily driven
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve The urgency for further monetary tightening has eased; 2. SK Hynix: Plans to raise $28.06 billion through an ADR offering; 3. JPMorgan Chase Maintains “Over
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Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve—The urgency for further tightening has diminished
Svmuu News: Jeff, a senior macro strategist at Bank of New York Mellon, pointed out that softer U.S. labor market data and improving inflation figures have reduced the urgency for the Federal Reserve
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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2
ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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3
AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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7
South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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USD/KRW is up 1.16% from its previous close, currently trading at 1,356.9045
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9
Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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