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Inflation
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CPI Data Comes in Below Expectations; Odds of a Fed Rate Hike in July Drop to 20%
Svmuu News: As consumer price data came in below expectations, traders pulled back on their bets on a Fed rate hike, driving U.S. Treasury prices sharply higher. The yield on the two-year Treasury not
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Cautious About the AI Boom
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash is optimistic about the overall economic situation. He believes the labor market is generally stable, with virtually no layoffs, and that nominal wages have also
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Wash: The Federal Reserve's top priority is to get monetary policy right
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that the Fed’s top priority is to get monetary policy right—or as close to right as possible. If we choose the right policy, the surge in inflation over t
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U.S. CPI Falls for the First Time Since 2020, Easing Pressure on the Fed to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: U.S. consumer prices fell in June for the first time in six years, and a key measure of underlying inflation remained largely unchanged, which has somewhat eased pressure on the Federal Re
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Monitoring the Impact of AI on Inflation and the Labor Market
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that the opportunities presented by AI pose challenges for policymakers and that the Fed is monitoring the impact of AI on inflation and the labor market.
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Traders Have Significantly Reduced Their Bets on a Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Following the release of U.S. inflation data for June, U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply, and traders significantly scaled back their bets on a Fed rate hike.
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $63,400
Svmuu News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June fell 0.4% month-over-month, compared with economists’ expectations of a 0.1% decline; in May, it rose 0.5%; year-over-year, it rose 3.5%, compa
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Wash: The Fed Has Zero Tolerance for Persistently High Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that the Fed has zero tolerance for persistently high inflation, that the labor market remains generally stable, that nominal wage growth is robust, and t
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U.S. unadjusted CPI for June came in at 3.5% year-over-year, compared with an expected 3.8% and a previous reading of 4.20%.
Svmuu News: The U.S. unadjusted CPI for June came in at 3.5% year-over-year, compared to an expected 3.8% and a previous reading of 4.20%. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Small Business Confidence Rebounds in June, but Inflation Remains the Top Concern
Svmuu News: Small business confidence in the U.S. improved in June, but the percentage of business owners who view inflation as the “single most important issue” rose to its highest level in nearly tw
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Analyst: U.S. CPI may post a month-over-month decline, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike
Svmuu News: Analyst Matthew Weller said that whether inflation has peaked is the market’s top concern ahead of the June CPI report.For the first time in three months, the Strait of Hormuz was partiall
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Jack Mallers Says the Dollar Needs to Depreciate and Debt Needs to Be Monetized; BTC Sellers Have Been Exhausted
Svmuu News: Jack Mallers explains why now is the time to buy Bitcoin, stating that the U.S. dollar must depreciate, debt must be monetized, and inflation must begin. He advises against feeling fear or
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HSBC: South Korea's Central Bank Expected to Raise Rates by 25 Basis Points This Week as a Precautionary Measure
Svmuu News: Jin Choi, an economist at HSBC, said the market widely expects the Bank of Korea to implement a preemptive 25-basis-point rate hike this week. Although there have been recent localized con
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The Bank of Korea is expected to raise interest rates this week for the first time in more than three years.
Svmuu News: Economists expect the Bank of Korea to raise interest rates on Thursday for the first time in more than three years, with another hike expected before the end of the year. South Korea’s in
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller favors setting the inflation target within the 1.5%–2.5% range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he favors setting an inflation target as a range rather than the current single target of 2 percent, and personally prefers a range of 1.5 perce
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Waller Sets the Tone for Tuesday’s CPI Report: High Inflation Will Support Near-Term Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller said Monday that if future data indicate inflation remains well above the 2% target, the Fed may need to raise interest rates “in the near term.” He said cu
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If core inflation continues to decline—which remains a plausible scenario—he would support keeping interest rates unchanged
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if core inflation continues to decline—which remains a reasonable scenario—he will continue to support keeping interest rates unchanged. He expe
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Bitcoin Three Major Causes of the Bear Market Revealed, but Industry Experts Predict a Rebound to $100,000 by Year-End
Svmuu News Bitcoin has been on a steady decline since last October, with the price currently hovering around half of its all-time high of $126,000, and the market remains in a deep bear market.Several
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Mitsubishi UFJ: Upcoming U.S. inflation data may curb the dollar's strength
Svmuu News: Lee Hardman, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ, said in a report that the U.S. dollar could weaken if data released on Tuesday shows that core inflation pressures in the U.S. remained moderate
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Fed Chair Warsh May Face the Decision of Whether to Reverse Last Year's Rate Cuts
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote that last month, Warsh presided over his first meeting as Fed Chair, during which the Fed unanimously decided to keep interest rates u
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Fox Business Crypto Reporter: This week, we’ll be watching CPI, PPI, Fed remarks, and progress on the Clarity Act
Svmuu News: A Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X, noting that this week will see a flurry of economic data, Fed remarks, and further clarity on the status of the Clarity Act. Key items to watch
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Survey: Economists Forecast U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation at 3.4% This Year, Up from 3.2% in the April Survey
Svmuu News: According to a Wall Street Journal survey, economists expect U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation to reach 3.4% this year, up from 3.2% in the April survey.
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Eni CEO: If the conflict in the Middle East persists, the oil market could break out of its current range in early 2027
Svmuu News: Claudio Descalzi, CEO of Italy’s state-controlled Eni Group, said that if the conflict in the Middle East continues, the global oil market will break out of its current range of approximat
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Federal Reserve: AI-related investments are driving strong growth in output, while uncertainty surrounding the war in Iran remains a major risk
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The semi-annual report indicates that U.S. economic activity will continue to expand steadily overall in 2026, driven primarily by high-tech investment and government spendi
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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US Treasury Yields Rise as TIPS Data Suggests Increasing Real Yields, Weighing on Non-Yielding Assets Like Bitcoin
US Treasury yields have risen, with data from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) indicating that the increase is driven by rising real yields rather than inflation. This dynamic is seen as
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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The U.S. Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% in the second quarter, slightly above the expected 0.8%, with wage growth accelerating in the private sector.
According to data from the U.S. Department of Labor, the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% quarter-over-quarter in the second quarter, slightly exceeding the 0.8% increase expected by economists s
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Eurozone CPI Rises to 2.9% in July, Core CPI Rebounds; Probability of an ECB Rate Hike in September Rises to 85%
According to data from Eurostat, the eurozone’s year-over-year consumer price index (CPI) rose to 2.9% in July, up from 2.8% in June. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rebounded unexp
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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Eurozone inflation rises to 2.9% in July
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in July. An energy shock is expected to keep the European Central Bank (ECB) on alert ahead of its September rate decision.
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: We will accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes as circumstances warrant; exchange rates are having a greater impact on inflation than in the past
Bank of Japan (BOJ) At a press conference following the July 31 monetary policy meeting, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that if financial conditions become excessively loose, the central ban
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Kenya's July Inflation Rises to 6.5% as Fuel Costs Drive Price Growth
Kenya's annual inflation rate slightly increased to 6.5% in July, primarily driven by rising energy costs. This marks the third consecutive month that the inflation rate has surpassed the midpoint of
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Bank of Japan Releases July 2026 Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices
The Bank of Japan has released its 'Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices' report for July 2026, detailing the central bank's latest views on the economic situation and inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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U.S. Stocks Rise Amid Inflation Fears
U.S. stocks rose amidst ongoing inflation fears.
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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US Dollar Slips Against Yen as Focus Shifts to Inflation Data
The US dollar weakened against the Japanese yen, with the yen rising 0.3% to a one-week high of 162.88 per dollar. This movement occurred as market attention shifted to the upcoming US Personal Consum
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U.S. economic growth slowed to 1.5% in the second quarter; the core inflation rate in June was 3.3%
U.S. economic growth slowed to 1.5% in the second quarter; the core inflation rate in June was 3.3%
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Dow Rises Ahead Of Inflation Data; Meta Plunges On Earnings
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose as investors awaited key inflation data. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms' stock plunged following its earnings report.
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US June Core PCE Price Index Rises Less Than Expected M/M, Headline PCE Matches Estimates
The US June Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 0.1% month-over-month, which was below the estimated 0.2% increase. The June PCE Price Index fell 0.1% month-over-month, match
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The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged, but there are hawkish voices within the bank
The Bank of England decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 3.75%. The vote was 6 to 3, with three policymakers supporting a rate hike and none supporting a cut, reflecting internal hawkish
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Inflation
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Billionaire investor Chase Coleman’s Tiger Global fund disclosed in its latest 13F filing that its top five growth stocks are all focused on AI infrastructure, including TSMC, NVIDIA, Amazon, Meta, and Google.
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