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Inflation
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Federal Reserve Semiannual Report: Inflation Remains High, M2 Money Supply Growth Rate Moderate
Svmuu News Federal Reserve released a semi-annual report, which noted that the labor market remains generally stable, with “solid” nominal wage growth accompanied by “strong” productivity gains; bank
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Sources: Bank of Japan (BOJ)s to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged in July
Svmuu News: Sources say the Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to keep interest rates unchanged in July but will maintain its policy guidance, pledging to continue raising rates. Bank of Japan (BOJ) may raise
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Kevin Warsh has assembled a team of external experts to review the Federal Reserve monetary policy framework
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has formed five working groups to conduct a comprehensive review of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Reserve monetary policy framework, covering
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Federal Reserve Announcement of the Leadership and Objectives of Five Working Groups
Svmuu News Federal Reserve announced the leadership and objectives of the working groups. Warsh, Chair of the Federal Reserve, stated that the goal of the working groups is to position the Federal Res
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Oil Prices Rise Nearly 10% Over Three Days as Markets Weigh Optimism Over AI Chips Against Risks of War with Iran
Svmuu News: Cointelegraph posted on X that the market is weighing optimism over AI chips against heightened risks of war with Iran; oil prices have risen nearly 10% in three days, and investors are in
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Barclays: Federal Reserves May Remain Unchanged Until the End of 2027
Svmuu News: According to Barclays’ baseline forecast, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2027. However, Barclays’ strategists still believe the risks are tilted
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In June, the New York Fed's 1-year inflation forecast stood at 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously.
Svmuu News: The New York Fed’s one-year inflation forecast for June was 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously. The New York Fed’s three-year inflation forecast for June rose to 3.3%, reaching its highest le
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Federal Reserve Williams: We Expect to Continue Seeing Strong Investment in AI
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that strong investment in artificial intelligence is expected to continue, risks in the labor market are relatively balanced, the outlook for inflation has b
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Core PCE inflation may be revised downward by 0.2 percentage points; the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will adjust some of the methods used to calculate the PCE index
Svmuu News: The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced that it will adjust certain calculation methods for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price
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Institution: U.S. Earnings Season Is About to Begin; Investors Are Watching How High Oil Prices Will Affect Corporate Costs and Profit Margins
Svmuu News: Investment firm Summit Place Financial Advisors stated that the market expects companies’ second-quarter earnings to be generally strong, but investors will focus on the impact of high oil
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: Federal Reserve Will Not Deliberately Maintain Low Interest Rates
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board Member Waller stated that Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve would not deliberately maintain low interest rates to help the U.S. government finance its budget deficit
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Analysis: Bitcoin Bullish sentiment is supported by easing inflation expectations; the market is focused on July’s CPI data
Svmuu News: The crypto market continues to stabilize, with the Bitcoin rising nearly 7% in the week ending July 5, marking its strongest weekly performance since March. This rally was primarily driven
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Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve—The urgency for further tightening has diminished
Svmuu News: Jeff, a senior macro strategist at Bank of New York Mellon, pointed out that softer U.S. labor market data and improving inflation figures have reduced the urgency for the Federal Reserve
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BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve—The likelihood of action in July has decreased
Svmuu News: Isabelle Mateos i Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, said, “If the July nonfarm payrolls figure is very strong—nearing or exceeding 130,000—then I think the July meeting will be full of
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“Federal Reserve”: Donald Trump Sets the Tone, Federal Reserve Enters a New Era of “Forward-Looking Guidance”
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, a “Federal Reserve” correspondent, posted on X: Donald Trump stated that he believes Federal Reserve Chairman Wash is a dovish voice within the Federal Open Market Committee
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Allianz Analyst: Federal Reserve May Have to Raise Interest Rates in September
Svmuu News: Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz, said, “The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was actually weak, but I still believe inflation will peak above 3.7%, and that artificial intelligence, f
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Bank Santander: Despite Weak June Employment Data, Federal Reserves Will Continue to Focus on Inflation
Svmuu News: Evercore ISI stated, “Employment data has returned to normal, and the Federal Reserve will continue to focus on inflation.” Economists believe the Federal Reserve will view the weak June e
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Analysis: Nonfarm Payrolls Data Weakens but Still Shows Growth; Federal Reserve’s Decision to Hold Rates Is Reassessed
Svmuu News: Analyst Eric Merlis said, “June’s nonfarm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations, in sharp contrast to the string of upward surprises earlier this year, but the labor market con
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Federal Reserve Daley emphasized that the dual mandate would remain unchanged, but expressed a desire to evaluate the economy using new methods.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Daly said inflation should begin to slow, but there is significant uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.Speaking Thursday at a Bank of Spain event in Santander, Spai
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The U.S. unemployment rate in June was 4.2%, compared with the expected 4.30%
Svmuu News: The U.S. unemployment rate for June was 4.2%, compared with an expected rate of 4.30% and a previous reading of 4.30%. (Jin Shi)
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Energy Prices Fall, Swiss Inflation Rate Drops Slightly
Svmuu News: Switzerland’s inflation rate fell slightly in June, marking the first decline since prices surged due to rising energy costs following the outbreak of the war in Iran. The Swiss Federal St
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Wash: Inflation Risks Have Eased Somewhat
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Wash said Wednesday that both inflation expectations and inflation risks have declined in recent weeks; at the same time, he reiterated that Federal Reserve is comm
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Ed Yardeni: Warsh Is Driving Down 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields With His Hardline Stance on Inflation
Svmuu News: Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said he believes Warsh is attempting to lower borrowing costs by taking a hard line—that is, by pushing down gove
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Analyst: Don't expect Wash to provide forward-looking guidance tonight
Svmuu News: Tonight, investors will once again hear from Federal Reserve Chairman Wash, in his second public address since making his debut at the Fed’s policy meeting two weeks ago.However, investors
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Fed Chair Wash is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, and S&P traders are concerned that the market will experience sharp volatility
Bloomberg Markets reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is considering reducing the number of policy meetings, a move interpreted by the market as a form of “silent treatment” that has he
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US Treasury Yields Rise as TIPS Data Suggests Increasing Real Yields, Weighing on Non-Yielding Assets Like Bitcoin
US Treasury yields have risen, with data from Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) indicating that the increase is driven by rising real yields rather than inflation. This dynamic is seen as
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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The U.S. Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% in the second quarter, slightly above the expected 0.8%, with wage growth accelerating in the private sector.
According to data from the U.S. Department of Labor, the Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.9% quarter-over-quarter in the second quarter, slightly exceeding the 0.8% increase expected by economists s
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Eurozone CPI Rises to 2.9% in July, Core CPI Rebounds; Probability of an ECB Rate Hike in September Rises to 85%
According to data from Eurostat, the eurozone’s year-over-year consumer price index (CPI) rose to 2.9% in July, up from 2.8% in June. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rebounded unexp
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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Eurozone inflation rises to 2.9% in July
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in July. An energy shock is expected to keep the European Central Bank (ECB) on alert ahead of its September rate decision.
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Bank of Japan (BOJ) Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: We will accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes as circumstances warrant; exchange rates are having a greater impact on inflation than in the past
Bank of Japan (BOJ) At a press conference following the July 31 monetary policy meeting, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that if financial conditions become excessively loose, the central ban
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Kenya's July Inflation Rises to 6.5% as Fuel Costs Drive Price Growth
Kenya's annual inflation rate slightly increased to 6.5% in July, primarily driven by rising energy costs. This marks the third consecutive month that the inflation rate has surpassed the midpoint of
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Bank of Japan Releases July 2026 Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices
The Bank of Japan has released its 'Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices' report for July 2026, detailing the central bank's latest views on the economic situation and inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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U.S. Stocks Rise Amid Inflation Fears
U.S. stocks rose amidst ongoing inflation fears.
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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US Dollar Slips Against Yen as Focus Shifts to Inflation Data
The US dollar weakened against the Japanese yen, with the yen rising 0.3% to a one-week high of 162.88 per dollar. This movement occurred as market attention shifted to the upcoming US Personal Consum
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U.S. economic growth slowed to 1.5% in the second quarter; the core inflation rate in June was 3.3%
U.S. economic growth slowed to 1.5% in the second quarter; the core inflation rate in June was 3.3%
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Dow Rises Ahead Of Inflation Data; Meta Plunges On Earnings
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose as investors awaited key inflation data. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms' stock plunged following its earnings report.
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US June Core PCE Price Index Rises Less Than Expected M/M, Headline PCE Matches Estimates
The US June Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose 0.1% month-over-month, which was below the estimated 0.2% increase. The June PCE Price Index fell 0.1% month-over-month, match
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The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged, but there are hawkish voices within the bank
The Bank of England decided to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 3.75%. The vote was 6 to 3, with three policymakers supporting a rate hike and none supporting a cut, reflecting internal hawkish
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Inflation
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