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Inflation
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Scott Bessent: Core Inflation Is Very Tame
Scott Bessent: Core Inflation Is Very Tame
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Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Ferguson expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates twice more, warning that failing to meet the inflation target for five years could damage its credibility.
Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates twice more in the remainder of 2026 and early 2027, warning that the Fed has "missed its inflation target
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Barclays forecasts two Fed rate hikes in September and December, reversing prior view, after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech
Barclays now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September and December meetings, reversing its previous forecast of no changes for the rest of the year. This
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MUFG's Goncalves sees no urgency for Fed to hike despite Warsh's hawkish remarks
George Goncalves of MUFG discussed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks, stating that upcoming jobs and CPI data will be key for the outlook on inflation and interest rates. He also ex
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Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Shift Boosts Market Expectations for Rate Hike to Nearly 60% Next Month, Analyst Predicts September or October Increase
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's August 28 speech at Jackson Hole displayed a noticeable hawkish shift, emphasizing the need to monitor inflation and stating "We have work to do." This immediate
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Trump Declares Iran a "Failed Nation," Citing Collapsing Military, Currency, Government, and Alleged 300% Inflation and Killing of 100,000 Protesters
Former President Donald Trump declared Iran "officially a Failed Nation," claiming its military, currency, and government are collapsing. He alleged inflation has reached 300% and accused Iranian auth
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CNBC analyst Santoli warns investors to be on high alert heading into September, citing key market metrics nearing consequential thresholds
Mike Santoli points out that the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) has slipped below 15, moving towards "eerie complacency" territory. Additionally, the 10-year Treasury yield has nudged back above
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U.S. Dollar and Treasury Yields Decline, Reversing Friday's Gains Triggered by Fed Chair Warsh's Inflation Warning
The DXY dollar index fell 0.2% to 99.525, while the two-year Treasury yield dropped 2.3 basis points to 4.325% and the 10-year yield fell 1 basis point to 4.710%. This comes after Federal Reserve Chai
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Bitcoin holds steady despite U.S. strikes on Iran, on track for best month since November 2024 with 24% gain
Bitcoin is holding around the $78,000 level, showing resilience even as the first U.S. strikes against Iran in weeks sent oil prices higher and stocks lower. The cryptocurrency has gained over 24% in
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Bank of America Warns Inflation Squeezing Consumer Staples Companies Margins, Citing Rising Commodity Costs and Limited Pricing Power
Bank of America states that rising commodity costs and limited pricing power are increasing margin pressure on consumer staples companies. Oil, diesel, and agricultural prices have surged amid geopoli
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US PCE inflation reached 3.7% in July, exceeding Fed's 2% target for 65th consecutive month; futures traders now bet on two more rate hikes in 2026
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, measured 3.7% in July 2026. This marks the 65th straight month that PCE inflation has exceeded
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Crop prices are set to post their biggest monthly gain since 2012, driven by war and extreme weather.
Crop prices are on track for their biggest monthly gain in over a decade, driven by war and extreme weather disrupting global supplies, sparking concerns about food inflation.
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L&G Strategist Ben Bennett Calls Fed Chair Warsh's Latest Speech "Pragmatic," Says Inflation Control Will Benefit US Economic Growth
L&G Asia Head of Investment Strategy Ben Bennett describes Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's latest Jackson Hole speech as "pragmatic," noting that controlling inflation will benefit US economic expansion. He s
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Extreme heat has severely impacted the European economy, with analysts projecting a 0.2 percentage point drag on Eurozone Q3 GDP growth and a 1-2% increase in food inflation.
Economist Tomas Dvorak of Oxford Economics estimates that extreme heat in the summer of 2026 will push eurozone food inflation up by 1 to 2 percentage points and drag down third-quarter GDP growth by
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Morgan Stanley predicts the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction could exceed $1.5 trillion next year, suggesting that market pricing for rate hikes following Kevin Warsh's speech might be overlooking the impact of quantitative tightening.
Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, noted in his latest report that after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh reiterated his commitment to bringing inflation back to 2% at Jackson Hole
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Financial Times Analysis: G7 nations have incurred an additional $16 billion in sovereign debt financing costs since the start of the US-Iran conflict in February, with the United States bearing the largest share.
According to an August 30 report by the Financial Times, an analysis of government bond issuance data shows that G7 nations have locked in approximately an additional $16 billion in sovereign debt fin
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Gold steadies after tumbling over 3% on Friday as former Fed Governor Warsh's remarks spur rate-hike bets
Gold prices stabilized after falling more than 3% on Friday. This came as former US Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's pledge to fight inflation boosted expectations that the US central bank will
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Dollar Tree CFO Says Rising Fuel Prices Are a "Very, Very Meaningful" Headwind
Dollar Tree CFO Stuart Glendinning stated on the company's second-quarter earnings call that rising fuel prices are leading to significant increases in freight surcharges, a pressure expected to persi
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on the inflation outlook on September 3, and the market will use this to calibrate the September interest rate path.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on the inflation outlook on September 3. Analysts believe this could be the most important official speech before the September FOMC m
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Bank of England Governor Bailey struck a dovish tone at Jackson Hole, signaling no rush to act.
Bailey stated that the UK is experiencing a fairly modest second-round inflation effect, and the labor market has softened for some time. He believes it is currently appropriate to continue observing
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U.S. national debt surpassed $40 trillion as of August 18, prompting analysis on its long-term implications for Bitcoin.
The Treasury Department recently reported that the U.S. national debt exceeded $40 trillion as of August 18, more than double its 2017 level. While Bitcoin's price has not always been tightly coupled
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Shark Tank star Kevin O'Leary, with a $400 million net worth, was seen comparing paper towel prices at Walmart, emphasizing value as grocery costs climbed 5.9% in early 2026.
Shark Tank star Kevin O'Leary, with a $400 million net worth, was seen comparing paper towel prices at Walmart, emphasizing value as grocery costs climbed 5.9% in early 2026.
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New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation stems from fiscal deficits and money creation, rather than rising worker wages.
In his inaugural Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair, Warsh refuted the notion that inflation is caused by excessive worker wages, arguing instead that price pressures stem from government sp
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IMF's Georgieva Praises Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech, Discusses 'Stubborn' Inflation
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh "did a great job" in his Jackson Hole speech. She also discussed whether recent inflation pressures indicate
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U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
U.S. Stocks Mixed as AI Buzz Stokes Tech Gains to Record Highs, Energy Inflation Fears Linger
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Citigroup Survey: Inflation Overtakes Tariffs as Family Offices' Top Concern, Wealthy Flock to Gold and US Equities
Inflation has supplanted trade wars and tariffs as the top risk concern for ultra-high-net-worth individuals this year, with interest rate changes and global financial system stability closely followi
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Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
Richmond Fed President Barkin warned that inflationary pressures will take time to subside, and there is a risk of high inflation becoming entrenched.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip R. Lane expects energy shocks to persist longer, with inflation potentially higher and more prolonged, targeting mid-2027.
Philip R. Lane, Chief Economist of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated in an interview with Le Temps that after a second wave of energy price increases, the energy shock is expected to last longer
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RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: Hyperscale cloud companies' AI spending may reach $1 trillion next year, expected to boost GDP by 1% annually and push up inflation.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: Hyperscale cloud companies' AI spending may reach $1 trillion next year, expected to boost GDP by 1% annually and push up inflation.
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Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warns: New US tariffs could push Q4 economic growth below 1%, high oil prices exacerbate inflation.
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated on Monday that a new round of U.S. tariffs could prompt businesses to delay investment and hiring, causing Canada's fourth-quarter economic growth to "rough
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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Billionaire Tim Draper Criticizes Apple and Meta for Not Holding Bitcoin, Calls It "Irresponsible"
Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper stated that it is "irresponsible" for companies the size of Apple and Meta not to hold Bitcoin as part of their corporate reserves. He believes that current f
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Iran’s GDP shrank 10.1% in Q1 (March 21-June 20) amid US-Israel war, with oil and gas sector contracting 26.4%
Official data from the Statistical Center of Iran shows the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 10.1% year-on-year during the first quarter of the Persian calendar (March 21 to June 2
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Bitcoin's $80k rally faces inflation expectations test this week, with price model predicting $95k
CryptoSlate analysis indicates that Bitcoin's rebound above $80,000 could be tested by two key economic reports this week. The University of Michigan's final September consumer survey, due September 2
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Institutional investors stockpile cash at record pace, retreat from US/UK equities due to inflation and geopolitical risks: Marsh Investments survey
Institutional investors stockpile cash at record pace, retreat from US/UK equities due to inflation and geopolitical risks: Marsh Investments survey
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Global shipping costs surge 201%, nearing 2021 peak; tanker charter rates hit record highs; Saudi Aramco suspends crude oil deliveries due to attacks.
Global shipping costs are experiencing a new round of severe shocks, with container freight rates surging by 201%, nearing the crisis peak of 2021, while geopolitical turmoil has pushed tanker charter
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Donald Trump posted that gasoline prices and almost all other prices have been much higher under Biden's term than under his own.
Donald Trump posted that gasoline prices and almost all other prices have been much higher under Biden's term than under his own.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
24H Trending
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Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine, killing at least 3 people and cutting power to nearly 100,000 residents in the Chernihiv region.
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Goldman Sachs analysts say Turkish investors are primarily moving funds withdrawn during the redemption crisis into Lira deposits.
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LIC reportedly leads bidding in NSE's $2.4 billion India IPO
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US lithium recycler R3 Lithium eyes Vietnam battery business, in talks with auto, electronics firms and government
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Two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran claimed to have received intelligence that the US was planning new attacks.
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Natural gas is up 5.96% today, currently trading at $3.005.
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Jefferies: Meta AI agent Muse goes viral, AI PCB market size expected to reach $73 billion by 2030, ABF substrate to reach $30 billion.
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South Korea's antitrust regulator opens preliminary review of Uber's planned $13.7B acquisition of Delivery Hero
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Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted nearly $1 billion in inflows on Monday, marking their largest single-day inflow since October 6, 2025, and the ninth largest inflow ever.
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Bitcoin ETF flows fluctuate, price breaks $85,000: What does the second half of the bull run hold?
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