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Geopolitics
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Fitch: Strait of Hormuz closure has lasted 14 weeks, raising Brent crude oil average price forecast to $87 per barrel
Svmuu reported that Fitch noted the Strait of Hormuz closure has been ongoing for 14 weeks. Assuming it will not begin reopening until July, the agency has raised its 2026 average Brent crude oil pric
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Donald Trump: The U.S. is engaged in final negotiations to end the war in Iran
Svmuu: U.S. President Trump: The United States is in final negotiations to end the war in Iran. (Jinshi)
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Arthur Hayes: Closed all HYPE and NEAR positions, will explain reasons next Tuesday
Arthur Hayes posted on X platform saying he has closed all his HYPE and NEAR positions and will explain the reasons in his article "Reality Test" to be released next Tuesday. Arthur Hayes stated that
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Lebanese state media: Israel has launched an attack on Lebanon
Svmuu: According to Lebanon's state media, Israel launched attacks on Lebanon after both sides had agreed to a conditional ceasefire. (Jin Shi)
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U.S. Media: As Long as Iran Does Not Cause U.S. Military Casualties Donald Trump, the U.S. Is Willing to Tolerate Sporadic Clashes
Svmuu reported that US officials have revealed that President Trump has privately informed his aides that he would consider ending the ceasefire with Iran if Tehran causes the death of American soldie
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Iran Media: Iran Outlines Four-Stage Plan for Reaching Agreement with the US
According to Iranian media Fars News, Iran has outlined a four-stage plan for reaching an agreement with the United States. The first phase focuses on a comprehensive cessation of military operations
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Federal Reserve Beige Book: Prices Rise at a Moderate to Strong Pace, with Middle East Conflict-Related Pressures as the Main Driver
According to the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, overall, prices rose at a moderate to strong pace, with most districts reporting a higher rate of inflation than in the previous report. Districts noted
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Donald Trump On Defining a Ceasefire: A More Moderate Level of Hostilities Equals a Ceasefire
Svmuu News: When asked how to define a ceasefire, U.S. President Trump said: “In that region, what they call a ceasefire means that the intensity of the fighting and gunfire becomes more moderate. Tha
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US Secretary of State Rubio Reaffirms End of US Military Operations Against Iran
SvmuuNews, on the 3rd local time, US Secretary of State Rubio stated at a hearing before the House Appropriations Committee that the US military operation "Epic Fury" against Iran has ended, claiming
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Russia releases first gold mining estimate in years, figures far exceed expectations
Svmuu reported that Russia has published its first gold mining output data in years, with the disclosed figures significantly surpassing independent industry estimates. If accurate, this would make Ru
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New York Post: Donald Trump’s shift in stance toward Mujetaba is worth noting
According to a report by the New York Post, U.S. President Trump stated in an interview with "Pod Force One" on Wednesday that he expects to meet with Iran's Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, noting t
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Donald Trump It is reported that the naval blockade of Iran may continue until September
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump said in an interview broadcast on the 3rd that the U.S. naval blockade of Iran could last until Labor Day, which falls on September 7 this year. Donald Trump sa
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Analyst: Trump’s Latest Remarks Actually Indicate That the US Will Not Make Concessions
Svmuu News After Trump's latest comments on the Iran issue, Investinglive analysts stated that it appears he is still trying to maintain the view that Iran must make some basic commitments regarding i
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Trump: Working on a deal with Iran, Iran has agreed not to possess nuclear weapons
SvmuuNews US President Trump said in a podcast interview that he is working on a deal with Iran, and Iran has agreed not to possess nuclear weapons. Iran's Supreme Leader is negotiating with the U.S.
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President Trump: Negotiating a deal with Iran, Iran has agreed not to possess nuclear weapons
Svmuu: U.S. President Trump is negotiating a deal with Iran. Iran has agreed not to possess nuclear weapons. (Jin10)
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Iranian Official: Iran Will Negotiate with the US If Necessary
According to Iranian media reports on the 3rd, Ali Nikzad, Vice Speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly of Iran, stated that the claim that Iran "only fights and does not negotiate" is incorrect.
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Iranian lawmaker says "Americans only understand force," calls for tougher action against the U.S.
Svmuu News: According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency, Iranian lawmakers have called for stronger action against the United States, stating that "Americans only understand the use of force." Esmaeil Kows
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European Central Bank Governing Council member: Even if a US-Iran peace agreement is reached, it will not weaken the case for rate hikes
Svmuu reported on June 3rd that European Central Bank Governing Council member Wunsch stated that a US-Iran peace agreement reached before the ECB meeting next week will not weaken the rationale for r
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Iranian Revolutionary Guard: In response to US attack, has struck US and Israeli ships and US military base
Svmuu reported that on the early morning of the 3rd local time, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran issued a statement stating that on the evening of the 2nd, a US artillery shell hit an Ira
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U.S. Secretary of State: The war in Iran is over
Svmuu News: U.S. Secretary of State Rubio: The war in Iran is over. (Jin Shi)
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US Secretary of State: Iran deal could be reached today, tomorrow, or next week
Svmuu reported that US Secretary of State Rubio stated that the Iran deal could be reached today, tomorrow, or next week. (Jin Shi)
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Abu Dhabi National Oil Company plans to build a crude pipeline bypassing the Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu reported that according to the Financial Times, sources said that a refined products pipeline bypassing the Strait of Hormuz will be the next key project for the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company.
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Iranian Media: Information exchange between Iran and the US has been suspended for several days
Svmuu reports that according to Iranian media Fars News, a source revealed that although some Western media and officials attempt to portray the information exchange between Iran and the United States
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Iranian Media: Passage Permits for the Strait of Hormuz Now Open for Applications
Svmuu News: Iranian media reported on the 2nd that the application system for ship passage permits through the Strait of Hormuz has been fully opened, allowing shipowners and captains worldwide to sub
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Qatari officials stated that the US and Iran are negotiating through intermediaries, denying reports regarding the specific terms of an agreement.
Qatari officials stated that the US and Iran are negotiating through intermediaries, denying reports regarding the specific terms of an agreement.
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Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has demanded that Israel halt its attacks and create conditions for the return of refugees.
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun demands Israel halt attacks and create conditions for refugees to return; Summary: Lebanese President Joseph Aoun stated that protecting civilians and ensuring their bas
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Iranian Navy Says It Struck 11 Oil Tankers in the Strait of Hormuz Over the Past 10 Days
Iranian Navy Says It Struck 11 Oil Tankers in the Strait of Hormuz Over the Past 10 Days
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South African Police Arrest 9 Foreign Nationals Suspected of Leaving Country to Join Russia-Ukraine Conflict
South African police have arrested nine foreign nationals aged 20 to 26 suspected of leaving the country to participate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. They were detained on Sunday evening in Johannes
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Turkish Intelligence Chief: US and Iran are advancing a fair agreement, actively working to prevent new US-Israeli strikes on Iran
Ibrahim Kalin, head of Turkey's National Intelligence Organization, stated that negotiations between the United States and Iran are making progress, and the agreement currently on the table is fair to
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According to Israel Hayom: The US and Iran are considering exchanging the unfreezing of $8 billion in funds for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
According to Israel Hayom, the U.S. and Iran are considering an $8.0 billion agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to meet with the Prime of Qatar on Monday
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Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan urged diplomatic efforts to avoid a new wave of strikes against Iran.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan urged diplomatic efforts to avert a new round of strikes against Iran. Erdogan stated that he does not wish to see a new wave of attacks on Iran, noting that he
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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Supreme Leader orders end to "neither war nor peace" state with the United States
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Supreme Leader orders end to "neither war nor peace" state with the United States
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Ukrainian military claims to have struck Russian fuel and missile producer near St. Petersburg
Ukrainian military claims to have struck Russian fuel and missile producer near St. Petersburg
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Iran tightens domestic security controls to prevent anti-government activities amid U.S. military strike threats
Iran tightens domestic security controls to prevent anti-government activities amid U.S. military strike threats
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Russia's second-largest Kirishi oil refinery struck by Ukrainian drone, catches fire; overnight Russia-Ukraine airstrikes leave 1 dead
Russia's second-largest Kirishi oil refinery struck by Ukrainian drone, catches fire; overnight Russia-Ukraine airstrikes leave 1 dead
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US "Iron Gate" Task Force to expand blockade on Iran, covering land borders and the Caspian Sea
US "Iron Gate" Task Force to expand blockade on Iran, covering land borders and the Caspian Sea
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Iran has submitted a two-day ceasefire proposal to the US via Qatar and is awaiting Washington's assessment.
Iran has submitted a two-day ceasefire proposal to the U.S. through Qatar and is currently awaiting Washington's evaluation. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi previously stated that the plan is
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Senior Qatari Official Confirms US-Iran Mediation Talks Ongoing, Denies Israeli Media Reports on Specific Terms
A senior Qatari official confirmed that US-Iran mediation talks are still ongoing, denying reports by Israeli media regarding specific terms. According to Al Jazeera live updates, the official stated
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that they are awaiting the shift in the U.S. position following the "shock" of the U.S. presidential election to decide whether to resume negotiations.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that there is currently no progress in negotiations with the United States, and Iran is waiting to see whether Washington's stance will shift following t
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Iran says the "low-intensity war" waged by the US and Israel has never stopped
Iran stated that the "low-intensity war" waged by the US and Israel has never stopped, noting that attacks targeting Qeshm Island and targets in the Strait of Hormuz occur almost every night, and that
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Iranian Foreign Ministry: The US previously accepted the fundamental requirements outlined in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei stated that Iran's demands for ending the conflict are "fundamental and legitimate." He pointed out that the U.S. had previously accepted demands
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Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs warns the US against launching a new round of strikes on Iran.
The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has warned the United States against launching a new round of strikes on Iran. During a press conference, Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei
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Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Esmail Baghaei stated that officials from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) recently inspected the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei stated that Iran has not suspended its nuclear commitments, but attacks by the United States and Israel on its facilities have hindered the normal
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Zhai Jun, China's Special Envoy on Middle East Affairs, visited Iran and met with Ali Bagheri Kani, Deputy Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council.
Zhai Jun, China's Special Envoy on the Middle East Issue, visited Iran and met with Ali Bagheri Kani, Deputy Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council. The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affa
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The U.S. has once again launched strikes against Iran's Qeshm Island, and Donald Trump has confirmed the operation.
The U.S. has once again launched strikes against Iran's Qeshm Island, and Donald Trump has confirmed the operation.
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Oil prices stabilize as Donald Trump downplays new strikes on Iran, Brent crude currently trades at $98.35 per barrel
Oil prices stabilized after Donald Trump played down the prospect of new strikes against Iran. Brent crude currently trades at $98.35 a barrel, while U.S. WTI crude rose 0.5% to $91.30 a barrel. Previ
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Saudi Civil Defense issues and lifts alert over potential hazard in Riyadh following Houthi attack on Saudi Aramco building
Saudi Civil Defense issues and lifts alert over potential hazard in Riyadh following Houthi attack on Saudi Aramco building
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Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
Financial Times: Russian military and military bloggers use deepfake videos to claim battlefield success
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
Geopolitical crises are the ultimate litmus test for asset attributes. Looking back at events such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 and the escalation of US-Iran tensions in 2026, Bitcoin's (BTC) performance exhibits a recurring pattern: during the initial outbreak of a crisis, market panic and liquidity squeezes often trigger "flash crashes," with intraday drops reaching 8%–10%. However, once sentiment is released, prices tend to stage a rapid "V-shaped recovery," regaining lost ground or even hitting new highs within days or weeks. This short-term high volatility makes it behave more like a risk asset, while its long-term "digital gold" narrative of resisting inflation and decentralization—coupled with institutional capital inflows that frequently follow crises—endows it with certain hedging characteristics. This article reviews key historical case studies to explore Bitcoin's dual identity in turbulent environments.
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May 2026 Crypto Market Review: Bitcoin Fluctuates Around $77,000 Amid Continuous ETF Outflows and Geopolitical Impacts
In May 2026, the crypto market experienced a correction after the Bitcoin price surpassed $80,000, leading to a tug-of-war between bulls and bears around $77,000. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows for several consecutive days, totaling over $1.5 billion, while Ethereum ETFs also faced capital pressure. The escalation of geopolitical conflict between the US and Iran was considered one of the main drivers of cautious market sentiment and capital outflows. Despite the complex macroeconomic environment, venture capital funding in the crypto space rebounded significantly in May, demonstrating the industry's internal resilience and development.
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Bitcoin Back to $70,000: Amid Macroeconomic Pressures and Geopolitical Turmoil, What Is Supporting the Price?
After the price of Bitcoin once again surpassed $70,000 in March 2026, it has recently (July 2026) pulled back amid macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty, fluctuating around $64,000.Although the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF attracted significant institutional capital following its approval in early 2024, there have also been recent outflows. This article will conduct an in-depth analysis of current external pressures—including inflation, high interest rates, and geopolitical conflicts—and explore key supporting factors such as institutional investors, long-term holders, and the halving effect at Bitcoin, while examining the perspectives of both bulls and bears.
Geopolitics
24H Trending
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ETH (Ethereum) trading volume reached $173 million over the past hour (11.3 times the 7-day average for the same time slot), currently trading at $2,127.38
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ETH (Ethereum) experienced a short-term sharp decline of 4.49% within 5 minutes, currently trading at $2,112.20.
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ETH cross-exchange spread hits 1.1%
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SOL (Solana) trading volume reached $33.93 million over the past hour (8.2 times the average for the same period over the past 7 days), currently priced at $85.970.
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ETH Cross-Exchange Spread Reaches 1.47%
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Reviewing Bitcoin's Historical Performance Amid Geopolitical Conflicts: From Flash Crash to V-Shaped Recovery—True Safe-Haven Asset or High Volatility?
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DNT Issue Price at 0.1 Yuan? Current Status and Risks of district0x
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Current Status and Long-Term Investment Value Analysis of TajCoin (TAJ)
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What is TBX? Current Status of Tokenbox Tokens and Trading Channels
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How to Trade KRX Tokens? Current Listed Exchanges and Risk Warnings
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