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Interest rate hike
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Barclays forecasts two Fed rate hikes in September and December, reversing prior view, after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech
Barclays now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its September and December meetings, reversing its previous forecast of no changes for the rest of the year. This
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MUFG's Goncalves sees no urgency for Fed to hike despite Warsh's hawkish remarks
George Goncalves of MUFG discussed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks, stating that upcoming jobs and CPI data will be key for the outlook on inflation and interest rates. He also ex
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Silver opens 1.4% lower at $66.80 per ounce on Monday, August 31, amid rising rate-hike expectations
The precious metal's price decline comes as expectations for a Fed rate increase rise. This follows Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's reiteration on Friday of the Fed's mandate for lowering prices, stating the
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Fed Chair Warsh's Hawkish Shift Boosts Market Expectations for Rate Hike to Nearly 60% Next Month, Analyst Predicts September or October Increase
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's August 28 speech at Jackson Hole displayed a noticeable hawkish shift, emphasizing the need to monitor inflation and stating "We have work to do." This immediate
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CNBC analyst Santoli warns investors to be on high alert heading into September, citing key market metrics nearing consequential thresholds
Mike Santoli points out that the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) has slipped below 15, moving towards "eerie complacency" territory. Additionally, the 10-year Treasury yield has nudged back above
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U.S. Dollar and Treasury Yields Decline, Reversing Friday's Gains Triggered by Fed Chair Warsh's Inflation Warning
The DXY dollar index fell 0.2% to 99.525, while the two-year Treasury yield dropped 2.3 basis points to 4.325% and the 10-year yield fell 1 basis point to 4.710%. This comes after Federal Reserve Chai
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US PCE inflation reached 3.7% in July, exceeding Fed's 2% target for 65th consecutive month; futures traders now bet on two more rate hikes in 2026
The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, measured 3.7% in July 2026. This marks the 65th straight month that PCE inflation has exceeded
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J Safra Sarasin Strategist Wolf von Rotberg Says Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Didn't Change Firm's US Equity Outlook, Already Positioned for Sept & Dec Rate Hikes
J Safra Sarasin Strategist Wolf von Rotberg Says Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Didn't Change Firm's US Equity Outlook, Already Positioned for Sept & Dec Rate Hikes
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September Fed rate hike fears appear overblown as probability stands at just 58%, not 90%
Despite Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish speech on Friday, the odds of a rate hike in September remain below 60%, with observers downplaying fears of tightening.
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L&G Strategist Ben Bennett Calls Fed Chair Warsh's Latest Speech "Pragmatic," Says Inflation Control Will Benefit US Economic Growth
L&G Asia Head of Investment Strategy Ben Bennett describes Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's latest Jackson Hole speech as "pragmatic," noting that controlling inflation will benefit US economic expansion. He s
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Japan's benchmark bond yields rise to 2.95%, a 30-year high, and yen weakens after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks
Japan's benchmark bond yields touched a 30-year high on Monday, with the yen showing renewed signs of weakness, as markets interpreted U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's August 28 Jackson Hole r
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Gold steadies after tumbling over 3% on Friday as former Fed Governor Warsh's remarks spur rate-hike bets
Gold prices stabilized after falling more than 3% on Friday. This came as former US Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's pledge to fight inflation boosted expectations that the US central bank will
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Australian Dollar's Top Forecasters Say Two-Month Rally Likely Over, Warning Central Bank Rate Hike Bets Have Gone Too Far
Australian Dollar's Top Forecasters Say Two-Month Rally Likely Over, Warning Central Bank Rate Hike Bets Have Gone Too Far
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Bond Investors Wary After Fed Chairman Warsh Hints at Rate Hike
Bond investors at firms including ABN AMRO Investment Solutions and Brandywine Global Investment Management are voicing skepticism about mounting speculation that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh
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Barclays Analysis: Small-cap and financial stocks underperform after the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle begins, while energy and value stocks outperform.
Barclays' analysis of the five Federal Reserve tightening cycles since 1994 reveals that within one quarter of the first rate hike, the S&P 500 median fell by 3.9%, and the Russell 2000 small-cap inde
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New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation stems from fiscal deficits and money creation, rather than rising worker wages.
In his inaugural Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair, Warsh refuted the notion that inflation is caused by excessive worker wages, arguing instead that price pressures stem from government sp
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Morgan Stanley's Slimmon: Fed Rate Hike Threat Shifting Stock Market Leadership
Andrew Slimmon, managing director and head of applied equity advisors at Morgan Stanley, stated he is pleased with Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole. Slimmon believes the ongo
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Pimco's Clarida says every Fed meeting is now 'live,' prepared to hike if inflation doesn't ease
Richard Clarida, Pimco global economic adviser and a former Federal Reserve vice chairman, made the remarks after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at the central bank's annual conference in Jackson H
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Analysis indicates a shift in market expectations for the Federal Reserve's 2026 interest rates, with CME FedWatch showing most traders anticipate a rate hike in October or December.
Previously, market expectations were for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026, but due to factors such as tariffs, rising inflation, geopolitical conflicts, and an economic slowdown, curr
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Traders now see a September Fed rate hike more likely than a continued hold
Traders now see a September Fed rate hike more likely than a continued hold
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Markets sharply repriced September Fed decision after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with 25bp hike odds jumping from 30% to 49%
Markets sharply repriced September Fed decision after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, with 25bp hike odds jumping from 30% to 49%
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Economist Sahm Says Fed Should Start Raising Rates Amid Shifting US Inflation Picture
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, stated on Bloomberg Surveillance that it would be “most appropriate” for the Federal Reserve to start raising rates, citing a “shifting in the in
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Spanish inflation surged to more than double the European Central Bank (ECB)'s target, while French data exceeded expectations, strengthening the case for an European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike next month.
Paul Hollingsworth, BNP Paribas' Head of Developed Markets Economics, stated that a European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike next month is "almost a done deal."
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Former Reserve Bank of India Governor Rajan: The Federal Reserve Should Hike Rates to Curb Accelerating Inflation
Former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan said the Federal Reserve should raise interest rates to curb accelerating inflation. Rajan, who is also a member of a task force reviewing the Fede
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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