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Interest rate hike
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Analysis suggests Fed Chair Warsh's 'regime change' promise to defeat inflation faces challenges, with July PCE at 3.7% and Warsh himself acknowledging more work is needed.
A recent analysis evaluates Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's performance since taking office on May 22, noting that despite his promise of a policy 'regime change' to conquer inflation, the Fed's p
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U.S. stocks opened lower on Friday, with the Dow falling 0.4%, as a strong August jobs report reignited rate hike expectations; Lululemon plunged after its earnings report, and Tesla's stock declined.
Following the opening of U.S. stock markets on Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%, and the S&P 500 also broadly declined. The market reacted to a stronger-than-expected August jobs rep
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BlackRock portfolio manager Rosenberg stated that a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve would have little impact on risk assets.
Jeffrey Rosenberg, portfolio manager for BlackRock's Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, told Bloomberg Television that a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve would not pose a significant probl
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Bitcoin Drops Below $80,000, Falling Nearly 3% to $79,197, as Strong US Jobs Data Revives Fed-Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped nearly 3% to $79,197, abruptly reversing its latest push above $80,000, after stronger-than-expected US jobs data for August revived bets on a September Federal Reserve rate hike. Nonf
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2-year Treasury yield rises over 7 bps to 4.425%, highest since January 2025, after hot jobs report boosts Fed rate hike expectations to 58%
The 2-year Treasury note yield increased more than 7 basis points to 4.425% on Friday, reaching its highest level since January 2025. This surge followed a stronger-than-expected U.S. August jobs repo
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos: August jobs data clears the way for a September Fed rate hike, but inflation data remains key.
The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that while August inflation data may still dominate the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates or hold steady in September, strong August emplo
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September have sharply increased.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve ra
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August Jobs Report Favors a Fed Rate Hike, Says New Century Advisors Chief Economist Sahm
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, commented on the US employment report for August, stating that it favors Federal Reserve officials who want to start hiking rates.
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Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
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Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being seen as a "canary in the coal mine" for market risk.
Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumps 1.7% to 25,650, led by tech rebound, as Fed Waller's dovish remarks ease rate hike fears
The benchmark Hang Seng Index rose 437 points, or 1.7 percent, to close at 25,650 on Friday, with the tech index gaining 2.3 percent. This surge followed Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller's
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Emerging Market Stocks and Currencies Rise as Fed Hike Bets Ease
MSCI’s emerging market stock index jumped as much as 1.1%, while a similar currency gauge rose 0.2%. Investors pared bets on a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike this month, sending the dollar lower,
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Bianco Research: The Federal Reserve's September meeting vote is finely balanced, with the "maintain" camp leading 6-5 after Christopher Waller shifted to favoring holding rates steady. Jerome Powell's vote becomes crucial.
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco Research, analyzed that the voting landscape is highly contested ahead of the Federal Reserve's September 16 FOMC meeting. Following recent remarks from Fed Governor Wall
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RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
RBNZ More Likely To Wait Until December to Hike, Silk Says
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The Japanese Yen continued to strengthen against the US Dollar on Friday morning, moving into the 155 range, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes.
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, moving beyond 157 yen from the previous day, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hike
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South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
South Korean stocks opened up 1.47% on Friday, reaching 6,676.38 points, as dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials eased concerns about interest rate hikes.
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The Nikkei 225 rose 0.5% to 64,530.98 in early trading, led by technology and financial stocks.
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike receded. SoftBank Group surged 6.5%, Fujitsu gained 3.1%, and Nomura Holdings advanced 1.9%. The
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U.S. 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.71%, a new high in over a year. The Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller stated that a rate hike in September might not be necessary.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the U.S. rose to 6.71% this week, up from 6.66% last week, reaching its highest level since July 2025, according to data released by Fred
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The USD/JPY fell 2.1% to 155.40 on Thursday, nearing the 155 mark. CME stated that if it breaks below 155, option selling pressure could accelerate the yen's gains.
The USD/JPY exchange rate plummeted on Thursday, hitting a more than one-month low of 155.34 during intraday trading, marking a 2.1% single-day decline. It is currently trading at 155.40. The Chicago
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US major stock indexes rose over 1% during the trading session, with the Nasdaq Composite up 1.35%. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.75%. The Federal Reserve's Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
At midday Eastern Time on September 3, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,572 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.20% to 53,699 points, and the S&P 500 Index rose 1.01% to 7,744 p
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Bitcoin surged past $80,000 on Thursday, liquidating over $415 million in short positions, after Federal Reserve Governor Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated in an interview on Thursday that he would be inclined to support maintaining the benchmark interest rate at its current level if upcoming inflation data continue
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Wall Street Analysis: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September has risen to over 60%, and its interest rate decision may impact Micron Technology's stock price more than its earnings report.
Wall Street currently anticipates a more than 60% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its September 16, 2026 meeting, up from 41.4% a week ago. This shift follows hawkish rema
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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CNBC host Cramer expects a relatively calm week on Wall Street, but September has historically been tough.
CNBC host Jim Cramer said on Friday that investors could be in for a relatively calm period next week as Wall Street navigates a historically difficult September. He noted that this week, the Dow fell
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Wall Street concluded a volatile week with major indices showing flat performance on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third consecutive weekly decline, while the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a slight gain. This week, Wall Street was impacted by calls from AI leaders to slow
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Dollar surges to its best weekly performance since June, driven by US central bank's signal for more rate hikes
The dollar is poised for its best weekly performance in three months after the US central bank signaled more interest-rate hikes are to come.
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Nikkei: BOJ's Friday rate hike was influenced by US pressure to shore up the yen, following Treasury Secretary Bessent's call for "decisive" action in August
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to raise interest rates, a departure from its usual cautious approach, was reportedly spurred by a "currency alliance" with the US. US Treasury Secretary Scott B
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MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds.
MarketWatch analysis suggests investors' best move after Fed rate hike is to do nothing, as stocks should still outperform bonds. This is because the equity risk premium, which measures how much stock
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Fed Chair Warsh's "dose of accommodation" remark sparks Wall Street speculation on further rate hikes
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's description of this week's quarter-point interest rate hike as merely removing "a dose of accommodation" has led Wall Street to question the extent of future rat
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Inflation drives BOJ, Fed, ECB into historic alignment on rate hikes
The Bank of Japan's decision on Friday to join the U.S. and European central banks in rate hikes signals a new normal as they grapple with inflation amid political pressure and the impact of artificia
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Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
Bank of America strategists warn: Investors should prepare for a Federal Reserve led by Warsh to raise the benchmark interest rate above 5%.
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After the Bank of Japan meeting, Citi Research stated that expectations for further rate hikes have cooled, and the terminal interest rate cap may be locked below 2%.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its September 17-18 meeting, with a 7-2 majority vote. However, the two dissenting votes have prompted the market
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Amundi Strategist Berardi: Global Markets Still Face Vulnerabilities
Alessia Berardi, Head of Global Macro and Emerging Market Strategy at Amundi Institute, stated that global markets still face vulnerabilities amid central bank rate hikes, high energy prices, and fisc
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) has touched 158 against the US Dollar (USD), as the market weighs the pace of further tightening by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
The Japanese Yen weakened against the US Dollar in Tokyo on Friday, falling back to around 157.50 after several attempts to rebound, following the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 25 basis point rate hike earlie
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed caution regarding the future path of interest rate hikes, causing USD/JPY to rise by 1.33% to touch 158. Analysts suggest it may approach the 160 mark again.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks on the future policy path during the post-meeting press conference failed to meet market expectations for continuous rate hikes, leading to a
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Bitcoin is down just 1.5% so far in September, and is still on track for a 32% gain this quarter.
Despite the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, soaring oil prices, and a strong dollar, Bitcoin has only fallen by 1.5% so far in September—historically its weakest month—and is on track for its f
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Fed shows highest confidence in economic growth since 2011; KKR expects two more rate hikes by March 2027
Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have expressed their lowest level of concern about gross domestic product (GDP) growth since the Federal Reserve began releasing its outlook in 2011
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Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
Bank of America calculates Fed's latest FOMC statement, explaining its quarter-point rate hike, is its most terse since 2007 at 130 words.
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JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
JPMorgan expects the ECB to deliver another 25 basis point interest rate hike in March 2027, following a December hike, a shift from its prior forecast of rates on hold in 2027.
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Fed rate hike to 3.75%-4.00% pushes 1-year Treasury yield to 4.45%, making crypto lending less attractive
The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike on September 16, which set the target range at 3.75%-4.00%, has driven the one-year Treasury yield to 4.45%. This move establishes a new benchmark for ri
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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