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Interest rate hike
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Following the higher-than-expected US August core CPI, investment banks including TD Securities, JPMorgan Chase, MUFG, and Citi have adjusted their Federal Reserve interest rate hike predictions, with most institutions now expecting a 25 basis point hike in September.
Following a 0.3% month-over-month increase in the US core CPI for August (above the 0.2% expectation), Wall Street investment banks swiftly revised their forecasts for the Federal Reserve's interest r
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US September consumer confidence index falls to a new low of 47.8 in recent years, inflation expectations rise to 4.6%, with soaring gasoline prices and US-Iran conflict weighing.
Preliminary survey results released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed that the US consumer sentiment index for September fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, lower than all economists' forec
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Analysis: BOJ's hawkish remarks lead to rapid market repricing of rate hike expectations, JPY strengthens significantly
Financial markets have rapidly repriced the likelihood of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike next week, following hawkish comments from several BOJ policymakers over the past week, leading to a significa
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Odds of Fed Rate Hike for Sept. 16 FOMC Meeting Surge to Over 85%
CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a quarter-point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee's Sept. 16 meeting has risen to 85.6%. This marks a significant shift from Aug. 11, when the o
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US September consumer confidence index fell to 47.8, the second-lowest level in history, and inflation expectations rose to 4.6%.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in September, down 7.5% from August and 13.2% from a year ago, marking the second-lowest level since records began in 1952, according to the University of Michigan
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US stocks rose on Friday, ending a four-day losing streak, led by tech shares. Oil prices fell, offsetting the impact of persistent inflation, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week increased.
U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday, snapping a four-day losing streak. Technology stocks rose over 1%, with Oracle jumping 2% on strong AI cloud infrastructure revenue. NVIDIA and the "Magnificent Seven"
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White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett: Inflation has "significantly decelerated," adding that Donald Trump may comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that inflation has "decelerated significantly" over the past three months and emphasized that the Federal Reserve's independence should be respected.
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Dollar Wavers as Inflation Aids Fed Hike Bets While Oil Falls
The dollar oscillated Friday after a key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected pushing traders to add to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week.
U.S. inflation accelerated in August, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data showed that the overall CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August; c
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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U.S. equity futures rebound 0.4% ahead of the August inflation report, while oil prices retreat to $105/barrel.
US equities and government bonds found respite, and oil prices pulled back, as traders awaited the August US inflation report to gauge whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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BNP Paribas Chief Economist Mateos y Lago Says US Economy Likely Needs Three Fed Rate Hikes
Isabelle Mateos y Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, stated that her firm believes "monetary policy is not restrictive enough" and that the US economy "probably" needs three rate hikes, potentially
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Bundesbank Chief Nagel: Further ECB Rate Hikes 'Very Much Dependent' on Energy Costs
German central bank chief Joachim Nagel told CNBC on Friday that any potential move by the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike interest rates into restrictive territory would be "very much dependent o
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Hong Kong and mainland stocks end lower on Friday amid US rate hike jitters; Shanghai Enflame Technology surges 180% in debut
The Hang Seng Index lost 0.6% to 24,805, down 3.3% for the week. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.18% to 3,888. Sentiment was dampened by low trading volumes and rising expectations of further US i
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Wall Street expects U.S. Treasury yields to normalize in the 4%-5% range. Bloomberg economists estimate the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to be close to 4.7% and note that structural factors may limit Donald Trump's efforts to cut interest rates.
US Treasury yields are reaching their highest levels since 2008, with the market widely anticipating further interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg economists analyze that structural
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Nikkei: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to raise its policy interest rate to 1.25% at next week's policy meeting.
According to Nikkei, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) plans to raise its key interest rate from the current 1% to 1.25% at its Policy Board meeting on September 17-18. This move aims to curb inflationary press
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Bitcoin Falls Below $77,000, Zcash Leads Losses Amid Fed Rate Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped below $77,000, with Zcash leading the decline, as traders increased their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike. Ninety-five of the CoinDesk 100 fell over the past 24 hours, and bitcoin
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"New Bond King" Gundlach warns: If the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates next week, long-term interest rates will "significantly spike."
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO and CIO of DoubleLine Capital, expressed skepticism about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates next week during his latest webcast. He anticipates a significant rise in lon
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Soaring oil prices and inflationary pressures have led to a sell-off in both equities and bonds across Asia: the Nikkei 225 index plunged 3%, the KOSPI index fell 2.7%, and Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 2.981%.
On Friday, Brent crude briefly climbed to nearly $110/barrel during U.S. trading hours, and WTI crude further rose to $103.05/barrel, both reaching their highest settlement prices since May 19 this ye
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UBS CEO warns against market complacency, expects stubborn inflation to force major central banks to continue hiking rates, potentially leading to "higher for longer" interest rates.
UBS Group CEO Sergio Ermotti told CNBC on Thursday that financial markets have bred a dangerous complacency while geopolitical and economic risks continue to accumulate. He expects persistent inflatio
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Global Bond Selloff Sends 10-Year US Treasury Yields to Cusp of 5% Ahead of Key Inflation Data
The global bond selloff is pushing benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields toward the closely-watched 5% level. This comes ahead of upcoming US inflation data, which is expected to influence expectations
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Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
Gold held a decline as the latest US inflation report and surging oil prices bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates next week.
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos reported that BNP Paribas (BNPP) changed its forecast on Sunday, now expecting the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates twice this year, starting this month.
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US August CPI Report Preview: Market expects headline CPI to rise 0.4% month-over-month, core CPI to rise 0.2%, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve's rate hike decision next week.
A preview of the US August CPI report indicates that the market generally expects headline CPI to rise by approximately 0.4% month-over-month, a significant acceleration from July's 0.1%; core CPI is
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Driven by rebounding oil prices and a rate hike by the Bank of England, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading around $79,600.
Driven by rising oil prices and the Bank of England's rate hike, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading near $79,600. Early Thursday morning Eastern Time, Bitcoin fluctuated in a narr
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike to 4%, marking its first rate increase in over three years. This widely anticipated move represents the central bank's first rate rise
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GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
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Bank of Japan September Meeting Minutes: Voted 7-2 to Raise Rates to Around 1.25% at the Time
According to the minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting held on September 17–18, 2026, released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on November 5, the board decided by a 7-2 majority to raise the policy rate b
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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