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Interest rate hike
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Options traders are increasing their hedges against a shallower Federal Reserve hiking cycle than the market anticipates.
Bloomberg Markets reports that options traders are hedging against the possibility that the Federal Reserve's rate hikes might be smaller than currently priced in by the market.
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MarketWatch analysis: Bond market flashing warning for stocks as yield curve flattens, potentially inverting
MarketWatch analysis indicates that the U.S. Treasury yield curve has flattened dramatically since the start of the Iran war, driven by surging oil prices and market expectations of Federal Reserve in
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Demand for the U.S. Treasury's two-year note auction was strong, with the yield reaching 4.787%, a new high since May 2024.
The U.S. Treasury auctioned $69 billion in two-year notes on Tuesday, with a high yield of 4.787%, the highest since the May 2024 auction (which yielded 4.917%). The auction comes as investors brace f
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Jobs experts weigh in on fall hiring trends: September surge expected to be a 'bump' rather than a 'surge', with Fed rate hike potentially slowing market
Career coaches anticipate a "bump" in fall hiring, but not a full "surge" as seen in previous years. The Federal Reserve's interest rate hike on September 16 to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since July
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The Wall Street Journal: The delinquency rate for some multi-family apartment mortgage pools issued in 2021 rose to 28% in August.
The delinquency rate for commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) rose to 28% in August, up from 19% in July. These floating-rate loans are sometimes used to finance riskier acqui
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RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
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Gold edged higher as falling oil prices reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold edged higher as falling oil prices reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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IMF warns: Global public debt to exceed 100% of GDP by 2029, two years earlier than projected, with US debt path "unsustainable."
Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), stated at an economic forum in New York on September 20 that the latest IMF projections show global public debt will e
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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US companies, especially manufacturers and retailers, are being squeezed by tariffs, soaring fuel costs from Iran war, and rising interest rates
American companies, particularly those in manufacturing, auto supply, retail, and transportation, are facing a triple squeeze. Tariffs under Trump's trade policies are increasing raw material costs, t
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
Goldman Sachs strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schiffrin stated in a September 17 podcast that the current market pricing of four Federal Reserve rate hikes is overly pessimistic, and they believe
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Australia Home Auction Clearance Rates Fall Amid Rate Hike Fears
Australia's residential real estate market remained subdued this week, with auction clearance rates falling due to growing concerns that the central bank will increase interest rates later this month,
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Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
Nick Timiraos reposted VKMacro's tweet: Japanese officials say failure to raise interest rates as demanded by the U.S. could escalate into a diplomatic issue.
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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The dollar had its strongest week since June after the Federal Reserve's rate hike, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rising 1.1% this week.
The Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate hike in over three years this week, explicitly signaling more to come, which has become a core driver of dollar strength. JPMorgan Chase, Standard
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Bank of Japan September Meeting Minutes: Voted 7-2 to Raise Rates to Around 1.25% at the Time
According to the minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting held on September 17–18, 2026, released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on November 5, the board decided by a 7-2 majority to raise the policy rate b
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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The U.S. Treasury announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will be raised to 5.51% for the next six months, marking the highest fixed rate since 2006.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will increase to 5.51% for the next six months, the highest fixed rate since 2006. The new rate will be effective from
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve's policy direction is clear, and a gradual approach is a good choice.
Richmond Fed President Barkin said in an interview with SiriusXM that the Federal Reserve signaled gradual rate hikes at its September meeting, which he believes is reasonable when the Fed is not sign
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Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Cent
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Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
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Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
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The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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