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Interest rate hike
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Analysis: Soaring US Treasury Yields Don't Signal "Fiscal Doom"
Despite the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield breaking above 5%, sparking concerns that rising borrowing costs could lead to a debt spiral, some bond market experts believe the U.S. is still far from a fisc
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Japan's Nikkei average regains 70,000 mark on AI optimism and eased Fed hike bets
Japanese stocks jumped on Monday morning, with the benchmark Nikkei Stock Average crossing the 70,000 threshold during intraday trading for the first time in three months. The rally was driven by a te
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Nikkei Stock Average rises 2.0% as Fed rate hike expectations ease
The Nikkei Stock Average rose 2.0% to 69651.14 in early trade, with electronics and machinery stocks leading gains. This surge followed a weak U.S. jobs report, which lowered expectations for further
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Weak US jobs data eases rate hike pressure, Asian stocks set to rise.
Weak US jobs data eased concerns about sustained Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, boosting opening sentiment in Asian stock markets. Meanwhile, Brent crude prices climbed as Yemeni forces attempte
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Glassnode research shows the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October has fallen to 22%, down from 66% previously.
In a research note published on October 3, Glassnode estimated that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points at its October 28 meeting had fallen from 66% on Se
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U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $134.4 million in the first two trading days of October, boosted by weak employment data.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $134.4 million over the first two trading days of October (Thursday and Friday), reversing the outflows seen on September 30. This increase was dr
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CryptoSlate analysis: Fed rate hikes can benefit stablecoins while hurting Bitcoin borrowers
CryptoSlate analysis indicates that the same Federal Reserve interest rate hike can have divergent effects on different crypto-native businesses. Higher rates can boost returns for stablecoin issuers
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Dogecoin fell to $0.093 today, influenced by a weaker-than-expected September jobs report, leading the market to believe that a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in October is highly unlikely.
Dogecoin fell to $0.093 today, influenced by a weaker-than-expected September jobs report. The market now sees a very low probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October, but investors are still
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Morgan Stanley: Macro Environment Is the Biggest Test for Investment-Grade Credit Market by Year-End, Expects the Federal Reserve to Hike Rates Only Twice More
Morgan Stanley emphasizes that for investment-grade credit markets, "the macro environment—not supply glut—is the biggest test through year-end." The bank's economists expect the Federal Reserve to hi
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics revised down July and August employment data by a total of 60,000, with previously optimistic figures having been a factor in the Federal Reserve's consideration of a September rate hike.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has revised down its previously reported job growth figures for July and August by a combined 60,000. These initially more optimistic numbers were a factor in
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Fed reporter Nick Timiraos: Ho-hum labor report doesn't change Fed's story, as officials signaled October rate hike unlikely; September CPI due Oct. 14 more important
Fed reporter Nick Timiraos stated that the recent ho-hum labor market report doesn't really change the narrative for the Federal Reserve, whose senior officials had indicated this week that an October
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Bond traders cut bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes after weak jobs data.
Bond traders cut bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes after weak jobs data.
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Fed-linked swaps no longer fully price in a full rate hike this year.
Fed-linked swaps no longer fully price in a full rate hike this year.
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Kalshi raised the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes in October to 85% after a weak jobs report.
Kalshi has raised the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes in October to 85% following a weak jobs report. This comes after the US added only 29,000 jobs in September, signif
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U.S. September non-farm payrolls rose by 29,000, significantly below expectations, and the unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%, potentially providing room for the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate hikes.
The U.S. Department of Labor's non-farm payroll report released on Friday showed that the U.S. added only 29,000 jobs in September, significantly below market expectations of 90,000 and the revised 13
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Nick Timiraos relayed the view of former Dallas Fed President Rob Kaplan: If supply shocks persist for several months, the Federal Reserve may need to act to prevent inflation from spreading.
Nick Timiraos, a reporter for The Wall Street Journal, relayed the views of former Dallas Federal Reserve President Rob Kaplan. Kaplan noted that if supply shocks only last two months, the Federal Res
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Widening Eurobond spreads are prompting traders to bet on fewer European Central Bank rate hikes.
Widening Eurobond spreads are prompting traders to bet on fewer European Central Bank rate hikes.
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US equity futures and European stocks rose, while Treasury yields stabilized as the market awaited US jobs data.
U.S. equity futures and European stocks rose, while Treasury yields stabilized, boosting market sentiment ahead of key employment data. The U.S. September non-farm payrolls report is due later on Frid
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South Korea's core inflation remained sticky at 2.8% in September, while exports hit a record $120.9 billion, fueling market expectations for a BOK rate hike in November.
South Korea's consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.9% year-on-year in September, in line with expectations, the Department of Data and Statistics announced on Friday. However, core inflation, excluding f
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Asia-Pacific equities were broadly under pressure on Friday, with the Nikkei 225 Index falling over 1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping over 2%.
On Friday (October 2), Asia-Pacific equities collectively came under pressure, with South Korean and Japanese stock markets both falling. The Nikkei 225 Index and the Topix Index both dropped 1%, whil
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Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan: The Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates by at least another 50 basis points to ensure inflation does not exceed the 2% target.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan stated that the Federal Reserve might need to raise interest rates by at least another 50 basis points to ensure inflation does not stabilize above the cen
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US stocks edge higher as Fed Vice Chair Jefferson suggests patience on rate hikes, easing bond yields
US stocks recovered from early losses to close slightly higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500 bouncing from a two-week low. This came as a global bond selloff reversed course after sending US Treasury
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U.S. Stocks Close Slightly Higher After Treasury Yields Retreat from Multiyear Highs
U.S. stocks ended a volatile trading session slightly higher after Treasury yields retreated from multiyear highs and expectations for another rate hike this month subsided. The S&P 500 rose 0.19%, th
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Wall Street expects 84,000 job growth in September report due Friday
Wall Street anticipates the U.S. September nonfarm payrolls report, due Friday, will show job growth of 84,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.1% and average hourly earnings rising 3.1% year-
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
Colombia pauses interest rate hikes as economy begins to weaken.
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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The U.S. Treasury announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will be raised to 5.51% for the next six months, marking the highest fixed rate since 2006.
The U.S. Treasury Department announced that the interest rate for Series I bonds will increase to 5.51% for the next six months, the highest fixed rate since 2006. The new rate will be effective from
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve's policy direction is clear, and a gradual approach is a good choice.
Richmond Fed President Barkin said in an interview with SiriusXM that the Federal Reserve signaled gradual rate hikes at its September meeting, which he believes is reasonable when the Fed is not sign
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Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates.
Germany's preliminary CPI for October rose 2.8% year-on-year, below the expected 3.0%; month-on-month, it fell 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.1% increase, which may ease pressure on the European Cent
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Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
Bloomberg analysis indicates that Philippine bonds are the most sensitive to Federal Reserve rate hikes among emerging Asian economies.
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Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
Gold steadies near $4,000, on track for second monthly loss as inflation firms US rate-hike bets before year-end
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The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
The Canadian dollar is poised for its best monthly performance since April, supported by rising oil prices and a central bank interest rate hike.
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ECB Officials Expect 25 Basis Point Rate Hike on December 17, Followed by Pause in Tightening
ECB policymakers expect a 25-basis-point rate hike on December 17, which would lift the deposit rate from 2.50% to 2.75%, according to three sources cited by Reuters. The hike is considered nearly cer
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ECB policymakers reportedly see a December rate hike followed by a pause, sources say.
ECB policymakers reportedly see a December rate hike followed by a pause, sources say.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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