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Fed revises up headline PCE inflation to 3.7% for 2026, core PCE to 3.4%
The Federal Reserve revised up its projection for headline PCE inflation by a tenth to 3.7% for 2026, and core PCE inflation by a tenth to 3.4% for 2026. The Fed stated that the rate hike will support
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FOMC members see median federal funds rate at 4.1% by end-2026, longer-run rate revised up to 3.2%
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members project the median federal funds rate at 4.1% by end-2026, 4.1% by end-2027, and 3.9% by end-2028. The median longer-run federal funds rate was revised
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Global Stocks Rise Ahead of Fed Rate Decision; S&P 500 Gains 0.26%, Nasdaq 0.60%, 10-Year Treasury Yield Retreats to 4.963%, Brent Oil Falls 2.4%
Global stocks moved higher ahead of the Fed's rate decision, with markets pricing more than a 90% chance of a 25 basis point hike. The S&P 500 gained 0.26% and Nasdaq 0.60%, while the 10-year Treasury
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Analysts warn: The Federal Reserve is over 92% likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but a dovish stance from Chair Warsh could trigger a sell-off in long-term US Treasuries.
Wallstreetcn.com cited analysts' views that the market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, bringing the benchmark rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range,
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, the US 10-year government bond yield fell below 5%; Intel rose over 1%, and SK Hynix gained 3%.
The market widely expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points after its policy meeting on Wednesday. Brent crude futures fell to $107 per barrel, influenced by a pullback in
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Romania Set to Curb €10 Billion Foreign Debt Sale Plan This Year
Romania's debt management officials are likely to scale back this year's eurobond issuance plan, as the country has boosted borrowing on the domestic market, according to people familiar with the matt
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MarketWatch analysis suggests Fed rate hikes may not succeed in curbing long-term bond yield increases
According to a MarketWatch analysis, if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates to slow the rapid rise in longer-term yields, historical patterns indicate such efforts are unlikely to be successful.
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UK Long Bonds Are Struggling Even as the Government Sells Less
The UK’s strategy to prop up its long maturity debt by selling less in the wake of the Liz Truss-era crash is failing to pay off.
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Senegal Joins JPMorgan's New Frontier-Markets Bond Index
Senegal, a cash-strapped nation that recently agreed to a $2.2 billion bailout from the International Monetary Fund and is seeking to rework its debts, has been included in a new frontier-markets bond
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Analyst: A 5% yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is unlikely to cause a "meltdown" in the short term, but if sustained for 12-18 months, refinancing pressure will impact housing, commercial real estate, and highly leveraged companies.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield has reached its highest level since 2007. Jack Ablin, Chief Investment Officer at Cresset Capital, noted that a 5% yield itself won't immediately cause damage, b
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European Stocks Advance as Bond Selloff Eases Ahead of Fed Decision
European shares snapped two days of losses as oil prices eased and the bond selloff slowed, with traders looking ahead to the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision later today.
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Investors disregard Romanian risk, chase its junk-rated high-yield bonds
Traders view Romanian bonds as the EU's only junk-rated sovereign debt, with their high yields attracting investors despite the country's persistent political crises.
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Indian bonds face upward pressure as global yields surge and foreign investors withdraw funds; RBI's planned bond sales may add to pressure
Indian bonds are experiencing upward pressure due to a global surge in yields, with foreign investors recently withdrawing significant funds. The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) planned bond sales are a
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Short positions in the U.S. Treasury market have reached levels rarely seen in recent years, with traders betting on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points tonight.
The U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest level since 2007 on Tuesday, while the 2-year yield also hit its 2024 peak. Market pricing indicates that Wall Street's expectation for a 25
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Goldman Sachs and Nomura share a consensus view: energy, not AI, is the key driver of the market, with oil prices determining the direction of US Treasuries.
Goldman Sachs analyst Rich Privorotsky and Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott both point out that oil prices, not the AI narrative, are the dominant factor in the current market. They believe that o
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Japan is reportedly planning to double its defense spending to 3.5% of GDP. Although the Ministry of Defense denied the report, the 10-year JGB yield still hit a new high of 3.04% since 1996.
Japanese defense officials indicated a willingness to significantly increase defense spending during talks with the United States, with one proposal suggesting an increase to 3.5% of GDP within a deca
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent supports the $5,000 check proposal, stating it would not increase the deficit; 10-year US Treasury yield rises above 5% to a near 20-year high.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified before Congress on Tuesday, expressing support for a proposal to issue $5,000 checks to American adults. He downplayed concerns about the fiscal cost, s
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Oaktree's Danielle Poli says markets may continue to see upward pressure on yields because investors do not yet believe inflation will be fully tamed.
Oaktree's Danielle Poli says markets may continue to see upward pressure on yields because investors do not yet believe inflation will be fully tamed.
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"Extreme" bearish positions in the U.S. Treasury market bet on Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Bond traders have built up significant bearish positions ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, betting that the sell-off in U.S. Treasuries will continue, pushing yields to their highest level
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The yield on 20-year U.S. Treasury bonds reached a record high of 5.420% at auction, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to 5.045%, touching its highest level since 2007.
The U.S. Treasury auctioned $13 billion in 20-year bonds on Tuesday, with a high yield of 5.420%, up 21.6 basis points from the previous auction and marking a new historical high for this maturity. On
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CME Group launched Liquid Leveraged Loan Index futures on Sept. 15, 2026, offering a centrally cleared, capital-efficient tool for relative value trading.
CME Group launched Liquid Leveraged Loan Index futures on Sept. 15, 2026, offering a centrally cleared, capital-efficient tool for relative value trading. The new contracts track the S&P UBS USD Liqui
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MarketWatch Analysis: US Stocks Have So Far Survived Rising Treasury Yields, But That May Be About to Change
The media noted that strong earnings growth has provided a buffer for the stock market, but persistently rising bond yields could eventually take a toll.
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MarketWatch analysis: The Fed faces a decision on whether the two-decade era of low interest rates is over
Global bond yields are touching multiyear highs, and as the Federal Reserve meets this week to set interest-rate policy, officials will have to discuss whether this is a repricing back to pre-2007/08
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent Defends Treasury's Bond Market Intervention
US Representative Jim Himes (D-CT) questioned Secretary Bessent about the Treasury’s recent intervention in the bond market, arguing that the government’s actions distort free markets.
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Waller Street projects the US debt ceiling will hit $41.1 trillion in February
Wall Street forecasts that the U.S. debt ceiling will hit $41.1 trillion in February, at which point the U.S. Department of the Treasury will need to take extraordinary measures to cope with a cash cr
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Sources: Braskem's debt restructuring talks hit a roadblock, shareholders withdraw capital injection plan
According to people familiar with the matter, negotiations between Brazilian petrochemical giant Braskem S.A. and its creditors regarding an out-of-court debt restructuring have reached an impasse, an
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Argentine Sovereign Bonds Suffer Worst Week in Over a Year, Dragged Down by Global Risk-Aversion and Election Anxiety
Argentine sovereign bonds suffered their worst week in over a year, with prices sliding toward distressed levels amid a surge in global risk aversion and mounting anxiety over next year's presidential
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CoreWeave 2032 Notes Yield Surpasses 16%, Pressure Mounts in AI Credit Market
CoreWeave's bonds maturing in 2032 have seen their yield surpass 16%, as pressure mounts in the AI credit market; Deutsche Bank data shows its five-year credit default swaps (CDS) briefly spiked above
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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US October non-farm payrolls surged by 165,000, exceeding expectations, and US Treasury yields rose across the board.
US October non-farm payrolls surged by 165,000, exceeding expectations, and US Treasury yields rose across the board.
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The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note extended its gains following the release of the employment data, currently trading at 4.898% and up 6.3 basis points.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note extended its gains following the release of the employment data, currently trading at 4.898% and up 6.3 basis points.
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AI-related debt trading gains help European credit withstand global tech stock sell-off
AI-related debt trading gains are helping European credit withstand the global tech stock selloff. According to a Bloomberg report, the global tech stock rout has not yet spread to European corporate
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The HKMA will issue RMB 1.5 billion in 10-year institutional government bonds through the reopening mechanism via tender.
The HKMA will issue RMB 1.5 billion in 10-year institutional government bonds through the reopening mechanism via tender.
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The HKMA will issue an additional RMB 750 million worth of 3-year institutional government bonds on November 12 through a reopening of tender.
The HKMA will issue an additional RMB 750 million worth of 3-year institutional government bonds on November 12 through a reopening of tender.
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The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has released the results of the SME credit condition survey for the third quarter of 2026, indicating a slight improvement in credit conditions.
The HKMA has released the results of its SME credit conditions survey for the third quarter of 2026, indicating a slight improvement in credit conditions. The survey shows that 83% of surveyed SMEs be
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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US Treasury yields were little changed as the market awaited October employment data.
According to The Wall Street Journal, U.S. government bond yields were mostly flat on Friday as the initial post-midterm election rally faded, with markets awaiting the October nonfarm payrolls report
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Moody's Warns: Senegal Debt Restructuring Could Amount to Default
Moody's Investors Service has warned that Senegal's plan to restructure billions of dollars in debt could amount to a default under its rating methodology, even though the country continues to service
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Japan's GPIF suffers first loss in six quarters, dragged down by global bond sell-off and stronger yen
Japan's GPIF suffers first loss in six quarters, dragged down by global bond sell-off and stronger yen
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China's 10-year government bond yield falls to a record low
China's 10-year government bond yield falls to a record low
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Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
Analysts say that as a net energy exporter, Malaysia is attracting buyers into its government bonds to hedge against regional inflation.
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Japanese government bonds rebounded alongside U.S. Treasuries, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling 7 basis points to 2.685%.
Japanese government bonds rallied alongside US Treasuries, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling 7 basis points to 2.685%. US stocks faced a sell-off on Thursday, with the Nasdaq 100 posting its la
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US Treasury completed a $6 billion Treasury buyback on November 4th, and dealers pointed out that the single-security concentration was too high
The U.S. Treasury Department completed a $6 billion old-issue Treasury buyback operation on November 4, drawing $39.6 billion in bids. Official data show that one of the Treasuries maturing in Novembe
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The October U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release on Friday. The Dow Jones consensus forecast expects the addition of 59,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate projected to remain at 4.2%.
The October U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release on Friday. The Dow Jones consensus forecast expects the addition of 59,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate projected to remain at 4.2
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Bank of America reorganizes global credit trading businesses to boost liquidity
Bank of America reorganizes global credit trading businesses to boost liquidity
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Canada plans to reform bank ownership rules to stimulate market competition
Canada is planning to reform bank ownership rules aimed at boosting market competition and making it easier for mid-sized lenders to absorb deposits and grow their businesses.
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Wall Street banks to lead $3.1 billion debt financing for Clayton, Dubilier & Rice and McKesson's acquisition of Option Care Health
Waller to lead debt financing of $3.1 billion for Clayton, Dubilier & Rice and McKesson's acquisition of Option Care Health
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Bloomberg: Bank of Mexico Delivers Surprise Rate Cut to 6.25%, Lowest in Four Years
According to Bloomberg, the Bank of Mexico unexpectedly cut interest rates to 6.25%, marking the lowest level in four years. The report noted that spare capacity in the economy has provided room for t
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Bonds
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BCH (Bitcoin Cash) trading volume reached $2.1 million over the past hour (15.2x its average for the same period over the past 7 days), currently trading at $247.900.
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GRAM (Gram, prev. Toncoin) price pulls back to $1.057, hitting a nearly 365-day low
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2026 US Stock Market Safe-Haven Assets Encyclopedia: How Walmart and Caterpillar Lead the Industrial Sector Amid AI Bubble Doubts
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