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4/2
20:40
Account with over 70% win rate purchases a total of $170,000 on Clippers defeating Spurs in NBA regular season
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "Clippers vs. Spurs in NBA Regular Season," an account with a win rate exceeding 70% (address: 0xe934f2d7d6358c6c86bfdd5848f1e90412e9640b) purchased $170,000 worth of "Clippers defeat Spurs" contracts, with an average opening price of 54.6¢.
The NBA regular season game between the Clippers and the Spurs started at 10:30 AM Beijing time today. The NBA regular season is currently in its final stages. The Clippers have a record of 39 wins and 37 losses, ranking 8th in the Western Conference; the Spurs have a record of 57 wins and 18 losses, ranking 2nd in the Western Conference. Additionally, the Spurs' star player may be absent from this game.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
Account with over 70% win rate purchases a total of $170,000 on Clippers defeating Spurs in NBA regular season
20:36
Chicago Fed President: Oil Price Shock Comes at an Inopportune Time, Will Significantly Push Up Inflation Expectations
Svmuu News FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee stated on Thursday local time that the economy is suffering from an oil price shock. At a time when the inflation from last year's tariff shock has not yet subsided, the oil price shock is pushing up prices again. This "inopportune timing" concerns him. Goolsbee said: "When gasoline prices rise sharply in the short term, people's expectations for inflation over the next 12 months begin to rise significantly, which could put us in a more difficult position." Since the outbreak of the Iran war, the sharp rise in oil prices has also increased uncertainty for businesses and slowed the pace of hiring. (Jin10)
20:34
Polymarket: April to Provide Over $5 Million in LP Subsidies for Sports Events
Svmuu News According to a post on X by Mustafa (@mustafap0ly), an official from Polymarket, the platform will provide over $5 million in liquidity subsidies for sports prediction markets in April.
20:23
Mining Company MARA Cuts About 15% of Workforce, Shifts Focus Towards AI and Digital Infrastructure
Svmuu News: Bitcoin mining company MARA has announced a workforce reduction of approximately 15%, affecting full-time employees across multiple departments and some contractors. In an internal memo, CEO Fred Thiel stated that this layoff is a strategic decision as the company focuses on new directions, necessitating corresponding adjustments to the team structure. Affected employees will receive one month of paid leave and 13 weeks of severance compensation.
MARA had previously begun venturing into AI and high-performance computing businesses. In February of this year, it completed the acquisition of a majority stake in Exaion, a data center subsidiary of the French national energy company EDF. It also reached an agreement with data center developer Starwood to repurpose approximately 1 gigawatt of Bitcoin mining infrastructure for AI workloads.
MARA currently operates a hash rate of about 66.45 EH/s, accounting for roughly 5% of the total Bitcoin network hash rate. The company recently sold over 15,000 BTC, valued at approximately $1.1 billion, to repay $1 billion in convertible notes. In 2025, MARA reported a net loss of $1.3 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA of negative $330.8 million.
20:17
Sources: FBI Director, Secretary of the Army, and Secretary of Labor May Soon Leave the Government
Svmuu News According to The Atlantic: Sources say that FBI Director Patel, Secretary of the Army Driscoll, and Secretary of Labor Chavez-Dremmer may soon leave the administration of US President Trump. (Jin10)
20:11
Anthropic Acquires Startup Coefficient Bio for Approximately $400 Million (Jin10 Data APP)
Svmuu News Anthropic has acquired the startup company Coefficient Bio for approximately $400 million. (The Information (Jin10 Data APP))
20:09
Japanese and South Korean stock markets open higher
Svmuu News According to Gate data, the Nikkei 225 index opened on April 3rd (Friday) up 615.75 points, a gain of 1.17%, at 53,079.02 points.
The South Korean KOSPI index opened on April 3rd (Friday) up 145.0 points, a gain of 2.77%, at 5,379.05 points.
20:05
Tether Launches Final Funding Sprint with $500 Billion Valuation
Svmuu News Tether is launching a final funding sprint with a $500 billion valuation and is urging investors to commit to a deal within the next two weeks. (The Information)
20:02
New York Fed President Warns Iran War-Induced Oil Price Surge Could Spread to Overall Economy
Svmuu News New York Fed President John Williams stated in a FOX Business interview that the impact of the Iran war on energy prices could spread to multiple sectors of the economy. Prices for various goods and services, including airfare, will rise due to increased fuel costs, a transmission process that typically takes months or even a year to fully materialize.
Currently, the national average price for regular gasoline in the U.S. has exceeded $4 per gallon, rising by over $1 since the war began on February 28. Williams pointed out that rising energy prices both push up inflation and reduce household disposable income, creating a dual pressure on economic demand.
Williams stated that the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy is in a good position to balance related risks, but the Iran war represents an unforeseen sudden geopolitical shock, and monetary policy has limitations in responding to oil price fluctuations. He emphasized that decisions need to be forward-looking, as the full impact of monetary policy on the economy takes at least a year.
19:59
SpaceX IPO Target Valuation Exceeds $2 Trillion, Plans to Raise Up to $75 Billion
Svmuu News SpaceX has raised its IPO target valuation to over $2 trillion, as the company prepares to pitch what could be the largest IPO in history to potential investors.
SpaceX's valuation is set to increase by nearly two-thirds within months. In February of this year, following SpaceX's acquisition of Elon Musk's xAI, the combined entity was valued at $1.25 trillion. If it goes public with a valuation exceeding $2 trillion, SpaceX's market capitalization would surpass that of all companies in the S&P 500 except for Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, and would also exceed Meta and Tesla.
SpaceX has confidentially filed for an IPO, with a listing potentially happening as early as June. The company is expected to raise up to $75 billion, far exceeding the previous record for the largest IPO—Saudi Aramco's $29 billion offering in 2019. The raised funds will be used for projects including space-based AI data centers and lunar factories.
SpaceX has selected Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley as the lead underwriters for the IPO. The company plans to hold a bank syndicate conference call next Monday, with analyst briefings scheduled for later in April. Bloomberg Intelligence analysts noted that SpaceX's revenue for 2026 is approaching $20 billion, with its launch business and Starlink contributing the majority of the income.
13:00
Spot Brent crude oil breaks above $140 per barrel, hitting a new high since 2008
Svmuu News: Spot Brent crude oil (the benchmark for physical crude oil delivery in the North Sea) has broken through the $140 per barrel mark, reaching its highest level since 2008. According to S&P Global, the price of Brent crude oil delivered in the North Sea region reached $141.37 per barrel, the highest level since 2008.
The Strait of Hormuz has now been closed for over a month, causing what the International Energy Agency describes as the largest supply disruption in the history of the oil market. The strait accounts for about one-fifth of global oil shipments, and refineries have been scrambling for weeks to secure any oil they can get. Spot Brent crude oil was just below $128 per barrel a day ago, and the current price is now above the peak seen during the 2022 Russia-Ukraine crisis. While the benchmark Brent crude futures price remains below that level, the spot Brent crude price represents the trading price of crude oil over a shorter timeframe. (Jin10)
12:22
Circle Coming soon: Wrapped Bitcoin cirBTC
Svmuu News Stablecoin issuer Circle announced on platform X that it will soon launch the wrapped Bitcoin token cirBTC. cirBTC is backed 1:1 by BTC and can be verified on-chain. Its design aims to seamlessly integrate with Circle's infrastructure and the broader DeFi ecosystem, thereby creating a neutral foundation for new on-chain applications.
12:08
Yesterday, US Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 2,254 BTC, while Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of 17,197 ETH.
Svmuu News According to Lookonchain monitoring, US Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of 2,254 BTC yesterday, Ethereum ETFs had a net outflow of 17,197 ETH, and Solana ETFs recorded a net inflow of 1,531 SOL.
12:03
Analysis: Bitcoin Holders Face Nearly $600 Billion in Unrealized Losses, Retail Selling Pressure Remains High
Svmuu News Bitcoin traded at $66,450 on Thursday, with approximately 44% of the circulating supply in a state of loss, accumulating unrealized losses of about $59.87 billion (approximately 8.8 million BTC), which is weighing on market sentiment. Data indicates that market demand remains weak. Glassnode pointed out that the scale of this supply overhang is similar to that of the second quarter of 2022, when the market only recovered after about 3 million BTC were redistributed.
Long-term holders (LTH) have begun selling below their cost basis, with cumulative realized losses for Bitcoin LTH reaching $200 million, showing signs of active "capitulation selling." The current BTC price is also below the average cost basis of $83,408 for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holders, further indicating investor pressure.
The decline in market risk appetite is also reflected in outflows from investment products. In the week ending March 27, Bitcoin investment products saw net outflows exceeding $194 million. Capriole Investment indicators show BTC's apparent demand at -1,623 BTC. CryptoQuant stated that retail selling still dominates and confirmed the market is in a sustained distribution phase. The Coinbase Premium Index remains persistently negative, indicating U.S. investors have not entered the market on a large scale, which aligns with the trend of shrinking on-chain demand. (Cointelegraph)
11:51
Kroll Assigns Ripple Prime a "Moderate Quality" BBB Rating, the Lowest Investment Grade
Svmuu News Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA) has assigned Ripple Prime's US broker-dealer and holding company a "moderate quality" BBB rating, which is the lowest investment grade. Ripple Prime provides integrated services of trading, lending, and settlement for institutional investors. KBRA noted that this rating reflects its business is still in an "expansion phase," with revenue primarily concentrated on exchange derivatives clearing and short-term treasury financing. (The Block)
11:34
Bitcoin Miner Riot Platforms Transfers Another 500 BTC, Valued at $33.26 Million
Svmuu News: According to Lookonchain monitoring, Bitcoin mining company Riot Platforms has transferred another 500 BTC, valued at $33.26 million, suspected to be for sale.
11:33
Coinbase stated that it has received conditional approval for a U.S. trust charter
Svmuu News: According to market sources, Coinbase has stated that it has received conditional approval for a U.S. trust charter, meaning it has taken another step towards conducting digital asset businesses such as custody under a federal regulatory framework. If ultimately implemented, the relevant license will help enhance its compliance service capabilities for institutional clients.
11:29
The U.S. CFTC and Department of Justice sue Illinois, its Governor, and Attorney General, alleging they lack authority to regulate prediction markets
Svmuu News According to market sources: The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Department of Justice (DOJ) have filed a lawsuit against the state of Illinois, its Governor, and Attorney General, alleging that their attempts to regulate prediction markets exceed their legal authority. Both agencies stated that Illinois' relevant regulatory measures are invalid because the state government does not have the authority to exercise jurisdiction over federally regulated prediction markets. The lawsuit emphasizes protecting innovative financial instruments from overreach by local governments.
11:19
Iranian crude oil prices trade at a premium to Brent for the first time since 2022
Svmuu News According to Argus Media data, following the US's temporary relaxation of some sanctions on Iranian oil, Iranian crude oil has traded at a premium to the global benchmark Brent crude for the first time since May 2022. On March 26, Iran's main export-grade crude oil traded at a premium of approximately $1 per barrel to Brent, whereas at the beginning of this year, under comprehensive sanctions, its crude was discounted by about $10 per barrel. This change indicates that Tehran is benefiting from its control over the Strait of Hormuz. With Brent crude maintaining around $107 per barrel and global supply constrained, buyers are willing to pay a premium for crude oil that remains accessible. By impeding the passage of Gulf oil-producing nations while allowing its own shipments, Iran has created a transportation bottleneck, driving up global oil prices and enhancing the relative value of Iranian light crude. Tanker tracking data shows that vessels associated with Iran continue to transport through the strategic waterway and are unloading from floating storage facilities. (Jin10)
11:12
Analysis: Iran Plans to Coordinate Strait of Hormuz Passage with Oman, Bitcoin's Decline Narrows
Svmuu News According to reports influenced by news that Iranian officials stated they will draft an agreement with Oman to manage shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the Nasdaq's roughly 2% drop in early Thursday trading was largely erased, easing concerns about global oil supply disruptions. WTI crude oil had surged to nearly $115 per barrel following President Trump's pledge to continue pressuring Iran, but fell rapidly by about $5 per barrel after the news was announced.
The cryptocurrency market also narrowed its losses, with Bitcoin trading at $66,700, down about 3%, and Ethereum at $2,060, also down 3%. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi stated that this move is about coordination, not control, aiming to ensure the safety of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and improve services, not to restrict passage. Previously, President Trump had pledged to exert "maximum pressure" on Iran and stated that the Strait of Hormuz would "naturally open" after the war ends. Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks, including Coinbase and Robinhood, experienced short-term declines following Trump's remarks. (CoinDesk)
11:04
Iran to Impose Transit Fees on Ships Passing Through the Strait of Hormuz
Svmuu News Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister announced that Iran will impose transit fees on ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. (Jin10)
11:02
U.S. Connecticut Federal Prosecutor Recovers $600,000 in Crypto Assets from Ledger User Phishing Scam
Svmuu News The U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Connecticut announced that it has recovered and seized over $600,000 in cryptocurrency. This follows a phishing scam in September 2025 targeting a Ledger hardware wallet user, who was tricked by a letter impersonating "Ledger Security and Compliance" into performing a so-called security check, leading to the theft of approximately $234,000 in crypto assets. The FBI and state police tracked the funds and successfully seized about $600,000 worth of USDT, filing a civil forfeiture lawsuit alleging the funds were linked to wire fraud and money laundering.
This incident is reportedly part of a series of phishing attacks targeting hardware wallet users. Scammers have been using physical mailed letters featuring company logos, holograms, and QR codes to enhance the credibility of their fraud. Similar incidents have affected manufacturers like Ledger and Trezor, with ongoing phishing attacks fueled by data breaches and vulnerabilities in third-party services. (Decrypt)
10:52
X Product Lead: To Implement Automatic Lock and Verification Mechanisms for Accounts Posting Crypto-Related Content for the First Time
Svmuu News, platform product lead and Solana ecosystem advisor Nikita Bier posted that the X platform is advancing a countermeasure against cryptocurrency phishing scams: if an account posts cryptocurrency-related content for the first time in its history, the platform will automatically trigger an account lock and require identity verification. This move is expected to eliminate 99% of malicious motives.
10:51
Brent and WTI crude oil prices plummeted sharply in the short term, with WTI crude oil reported at $108.93 per barrel
Svmuu News According to Gate data, Brent and WTI crude oil prices plummeted sharply in the short term, with WTI crude oil falling by nearly $5 to $108.93 per barrel. Reports indicate that Iran is drafting a Strait of Hormuz transit agreement with Oman.
10:49
Two newly created wallets withdrew 6,328 ETH from Binance, valued at $12.98 million
Svmuu News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, two newly created wallets withdrew 6,328 ETH from Binance, valued at $12.98 million. These two wallets may belong to the same entity.
10:48
Polymarket's "U.S. Department of Homeland Security Shutdown Lasting Over 70 Days" Probability Plummets to 8%, Down 45% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability for the Polymarket contract "U.S. Department of Homeland Security shutdown lasting over 70 days" has plummeted to 8%, down 45% in the past 24 hours. As of now, the trading volume for this event contract has exceeded $1.27 million. The contract rules are as follows: If a shutdown of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, beginning on February 14, 2026, lasts for at least the number of days listed in this market (including the start and end dates), it will settle as "YES"; otherwise, it will settle as "NO". The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date the President signs or otherwise enacts an appropriations bill to restart the Department of Homeland Security. Announcements of an impending restart alone will not be counted.
U.S. President Trump just stated that he is about to sign an order to pay salaries to all the admirable employees of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. Trump also thanked Speaker of the House Johnson and Thune for their work this week and praised Congressional Republicans for making progress on the Department of Homeland Security issue.
Svmuu Seer Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.
10:47
U.S. Bank and Crypto Industry Executives to Review Stablecoin Yield Agreement Text in "Small Group" to Resolve Dispute Promptly
Svmuu News: Crypto journalist Eleanor Terrett posted on platform X, stating that a small group of bank and crypto industry executives will review the text of a new stablecoin yield agreement over the next two days, aiming to quickly resolve the lobbying dispute over stablecoin yield issues previously in the CLARITY Act. It is reported that the relevant text will be limited to specific participants for review and will not be made more widely public. Individuals who visited Capitol Hill last week could view the text on-site but were not allowed to take copies.
Paul Grewal, Chief Legal Officer of Coinbase, previously stated in an interview with Fox Business that the debate over stablecoin yields in the upcoming CLARITY Act is "very close" to reaching an agreement.
10:38
Fed's Logan: Supports Keeping Interest Rates Unchanged
Svmuu News Fed's Logan stated that she supports the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at the recent FOMC meeting, and the labor market has stabilized from the second half of 2025 to this year. (Jin10)
10:38
BTC Rebounds Above 67,000 USDT, 24-Hour Loss Narrows to 1.88%
Svmuu News: According to OKX market data, BTC has rebounded above 67,000 USDT and is currently trading at 67,027 USDT, with its 24-hour loss narrowing to 1.88%.
10:35
CryptoQuant: Bitcoin May See Short-Term Rebound to $71,500–$81,200, but Demand Remains Deeply Contracted
According to on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, Bitcoin demand remains in a phase of "deep contraction." As of the end of March, the 30-day apparent demand decreased by approximately 63,000 BTC, indicating that selling pressure in the market still outweighs buying pressure. Although both ETFs and Michael Saylor's Strategy have increased their purchases, it remains insufficient to alleviate the overall pressure. Specifically, ETF purchases over 30 days reached about 50,000 BTC, the highest level since October 2025, while Strategy's 30-day accumulation remained around 44,000 BTC.
CryptoQuant notes that large holders ("whales" holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) have shifted to net selling, reducing their holdings by 188,000 BTC over the past year, confirming sustained structural selling pressure. Medium-sized holders ("dolphins" holding 100–1,000 BTC) are still accumulating, but the pace has significantly slowed, dropping from nearly 1 million BTC in October 2025 to 429,000 BTC. Additionally, demand from U.S. investors has recently weakened, with the Coinbase premium mostly negative, suggesting that retail investors have not yet entered the market on a large scale.
CryptoQuant states that if the macro environment improves, particularly with a de-escalation of U.S.-Iran tensions, Bitcoin could experience a short-term rebound to the range of $71,500–$81,200. Within this range, $71,500 serves as the initial resistance level, while $81,200 represents the upper limit for a bear market rally. (The Block)

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