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9/3
22:08
Nomura Securities Co. suggests that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates at three consecutive meetings through December in an extreme scenario where yen weakness persists. Yujiro Goto, head of FX strategy Japan, noted that a quarter-point increase this month “looks reasonable,” and back-to-back hikes in October and December are possible if yen weakness continues toward 160.
21:58
Deutsche Bank's foreign exchange special report, published on September 3, states that the United States is mobilizing capital on an unprecedented scale, deeply intertwining the AI race with dollar hegemony. The dollar is becoming more like a high-risk stock than a traditional safe-haven anchor. The report notes that US companies are expected to invest approximately $800 billion in AI capital expenditures this year, and AI venture capital has raised over $400 billion. Concurrently, the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) completed its first batch of asset tokenization for real transactions in July 2026 and plans to officially launch tokenization services in October 2026, with regulatory endorsement from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The report suggests that as funding sources shift from official long-term capital to private short-term technology capital, the dollar's correlation with the stock market is rising, and its traditional risk-hedging properties are weakening. Should the AI business model be disproven or the US fall behind in the AI race, the dollar will face severe downward pressure.
21:54
The US State Department announced new economic sanctions on Thursday, targeting several Cuban companies, including those in nickel mining and energy sectors, a state-owned bank, and Fidel Ernesto Castro, grandson of former leader Raul Castro. This comes as the Trump administration continues its heightened campaign to weaken Cuba's government. In response, Cuba announced further pro-market reforms on Thursday, with 34 pages of legal changes designed to loosen regulation and state control in industries like tourism, allowing private companies to establish tour agencies and making it easier for some domestic investors to open foreign bank accounts.
21:44
The Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) issued a directive on August 24, effective September 1, barring Self-Financing Aggregators (SFAs) from exporting gold dore unless it is first refined in Ghana. This move, implementing the Ghana Gold Board Act, 2025, aims to capture margins historically lost to overseas processors and aligns with President John Mahama's vision for value-added natural resource exports by 2030. Ghana's gold export earnings reached approximately $20 billion in 2025, nearly double the $10.3 billion recorded in 2024.
21:36
Goldman Sachs reported that the Silicon Data LLM Token Expenditure Index, which measures the weighted average price per million tokens used in the market, fell 29% in August alone to $0.97, breaking below the $1 mark for the first time and accumulating a drop of over 50% from its May peak. Rich Privorotsky, head of Goldman Sachs' One-Delta trading desk, believes this shakes the "more tokens equal more revenue" capital expenditure logic that has underpinned AI sector valuations for the past two years.

Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase data shows that OpenRouter platform's token usage increased by approximately 47% month-over-month in August, but dollar expenditure only grew by about 7%, revealing a "volume up, price down" divergence. The Goldman Sachs report suggests that intensifying competition and improved local inference capabilities are structurally eroding the "pay-per-token" business model, with credit markets already signaling caution as bonds of related cloud vendors have seen "repricing."

OpenAI stated on September 1 that its next-generation model, Astra, has met critical cybersecurity thresholds, and is seen as the only near-term catalyst that could potentially reverse the trend, but Goldman Sachs remains cautious.
21:31
According to data from China's National Bureau of Statistics, in late August 2026, compared with mid-August, among the 50 important means of production across 9 categories monitored in the national circulation sector, prices for 34 products rose, 14 fell, and 2 remained unchanged.
21:22
Philippine August inflation eased to 6.1%, marking the fourth straight month of deceleration, though remaining above the central bank’s target due to slower increases in utility rates and food prices.
21:14
JPMorgan strategists warn that if USD/JPY falls below the 155 mark, the current market's approximately $102.6 billion in JPY short positions face a risk of concentrated unwinding, potentially triggering a chain reaction of selling that could push the yen to appreciate more than market expectations, theoretically driving USD/JPY down to the 142-146 range. However, the bank also noted that current market expectations for the Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might be excessive, and it does not anticipate a significant break below the 155-165 range for USD/JPY in the near term.
21:12
The Japanese Yen strengthened against the US Dollar, moving beyond 157 yen from the previous day, amidst market speculation that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) might accelerate its pace of interest rate hikes. Furthermore, the market believes that a rare August meeting of Japan's public pension funds could lead to increased purchases of yen-denominated assets. The sharp appreciation of the yen may also signal a reversal of carry trades.
21:04
Volkswagen's supervisory board unanimously approved CEO Oliver Blume's comprehensive restructuring plan on Thursday. The plan adds 50,000 new job cuts, bringing the total number of positions eliminated across all Volkswagen Group brands to 100,000, including 50,000 cuts already implemented since 2024. This represents approximately 8% of the company's global workforce at the end of last year. The company plans to reduce its lineup by about half of the models currently on sale by 2035 to decrease product line complexity and lower per-vehicle costs. Volkswagen stated that this restructuring is the company's "largest transformation plan in its history," aiming to increase the group's operating profit margin from 3.8% in the first half of this year to 9% by 2030, in response to high costs, weak demand, and continuous pressure from Chinese competitors. The proposal to spin off the Volkswagen brand and its components business, which was strongly opposed by the union, has been "shelved for now."
20:44
The dollar slumped to start September as traders cut bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month and a surging yen rippled across global currency markets.
20:41
Market watchers and venture capitalists, including Purple Ventures founding partner Jakub Nytra, caution that valuations in some areas of the AI sector are becoming excessive. They expect capital to become much more selective over the next six to 12 months, focusing on companies that demonstrate genuine value creation and productivity growth, rather than those merely presenting AI as a feature.
20:37
In South Korea, the AI boom is reshaping people's preferences in dating, entertainment content, and academic choices. Dating agencies report that traditionally sought-after professions like doctors and lawyers are being supplanted by employees from chip companies such as Samsung and SK Hynix. These "new darlings" of the dating market are attractive due to generous bonuses, with SK Hynix employees, for example, receiving an average of approximately $500,000 in bonuses last year.

Inspired by this trend, the YouTube channel Teo launched a dating reality show matching Samsung and SK Hynix employees, which has garnered around 650,000 views. Netflix also released a variety show documenting a comedian's stock trading journey, including a segment on purchasing SK Hynix shares. Furthermore, at South Korea's top institution, Seoul National University, the popularity of Electrical and Computer Engineering has surged, with 90% of undeclared engineering students choosing the major this year, a significant increase from 20% in 2023.
20:30
Indonesia's sovereign wealth fund Danantara may be forced to spend more to overhaul financially strained state-owned construction firms, potentially limiting its ability to pursue new investments. This financial strain is rooted in former President Joko Widodo’s infrastructure drive.
20:30
Malaysia's palm oil exports in August fell by 8% month-on-month to 1.3 million tons, primarily due to weak demand from major buyer India during its festive season. Inventories increased by approximately 6%, reaching their highest level since January.
20:29
WTI crude futures rose 0.5% to $91.79 a barrel in early Asian trading. This follows claims by Iran's military of attacking US bases in Kuwait and the UAE, with Kuwait stating it had responded to missile and drone threats. ANZ Research analysts noted that this "tit-for-tat" exchange of strikes has raised concerns about a potential reversal in the recent resumption of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, thereby pushing up oil prices.
20:26
Japanese stocks rose in early trading, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike receded. SoftBank Group surged 6.5%, Fujitsu gained 3.1%, and Nomura Holdings advanced 1.9%. The dollar fell sharply against the yen to 155.32 yen from 157.23 yen at Thursday's close in Tokyo. This followed comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who stated he would support maintaining the current interest rate if inflation data continues to show progress, with investors closely monitoring bond yields and crude oil prices.
20:25
Goldman Sachs strategists Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby and her team informed clients on Wednesday that Gulf oil exports have rebounded to 15-16 million barrels per day, roughly two-thirds of pre-war levels. However, visible shipping data only shows a flow of approximately 10 million barrels per day, leaving a 5 million barrel gap that the team refers to as a "surge in dark ship traffic." This involves tankers circumventing tracking and interception by turning off their Automatic Identification System (AIS). Goldman Sachs noted that Trump administration officials expressed optimism this week that flows have recovered, but their data reveals the actual situation is far more complex than the official narrative. The surge in dark shipping may also lead to an underestimation of global crude oil inventories. Goldman Sachs' revised estimates suggest global visible inventories are about 39 million barrels higher than original readings for the same period, implying that the actual supply-demand balance in the oil market may be looser than apparent data indicates. Brent crude prices have currently risen to $95 per barrel.
20:20
The United States has made it clear that it will rule out any negotiations with Iran until ship attacks cease. In response, Iranian First Vice President Mohammad-Reza Aref vowed an "asymmetric" and "multi-layered" response to the US attacks.
20:20
Anthropic has released its new model, Fable 5.1, which specializes in programming and scientific tasks, maintaining the same pricing as its predecessor. However, the company has moderately reduced user costs for retrieving previously processed information (cache reads), with cache read prices dropping by 75%. According to Anthropic's estimates, the overall cost for typical workloads is reduced by approximately 25% compared to Fable 5, with costs for complex coding and highly agentic tasks potentially decreasing by up to 45%.

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