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10/22
15:46
Goldman Sachs commodity strategist Robert Quinn noted in his latest report that the silver market is in a quagmire. Over the past three weeks, managed funds have cumulatively net sold $2.2 billion in silver futures, driving net long positions to their lowest level on Goldman Sachs' two-year chart (approximately $1.7 billion).

The report analyzes that despite the DXY retreating by 0.5% between October 13 and 20, silver prices still fell by 2.6% during the same period, breaking the previous logic that "the dollar was the sole drag." Simultaneously, AI data centers and solar sectors, which serve as barometers for silver's industrial demand, also collapsed, with the data center sector falling by 7.9%, US solar companies by 4.7%, and Chinese solar by 1.6%, further weakening the industrial demand outlook for silver.

Goldman Sachs data shows that the put option skew in the options market has reached a one-year high, indicating large-scale buying of downside protection. Quinn believes that the current extreme short crowding provides conditions for a tactical rebound, but the ongoing escalation of the situation in Iran, which is pushing up oil prices and the dollar, makes any rebound difficult to sustain. For silver to break out of its stalemate, a de-escalation of the situation in the Strait of Hormuz or a worsening AI credit crisis that forces the Federal Reserve to pivot to interest rate cuts would be required.
15:45
SoftBank Group's stock price fell 6.9% on Thursday, bringing its cumulative decline to 50% since its June 2 peak, reducing its market capitalization to approximately 24.7 trillion yen (about $157 billion). The catalyst for this sell-off was the bond price of cloud service provider CoreWeave falling to distressed levels, sparking market concerns about overall financing risks in the AI industry. Concurrently, SoftBank's credit default swap (CDS) spread rose to its highest level in nearly four years on Tuesday, reflecting a significant increase in investor caution regarding its highly leveraged structure. SoftBank's Vision Fund's investment in OpenAI is close to $65 billion, but OpenAI is facing challenges from low-cost AI competitors in China, leading to uncertainty in its valuation expectations.
15:44
MinterEllison has filed a class action lawsuit in Australia's Federal Court on behalf of eight minor plaintiffs, alleging that Meta's Facebook and Instagram platforms feature addictive design elements that cause harm to children and adolescents, and is seeking compensation. A Meta spokesperson stated that the company will vigorously defend itself. This case comes at a time of strained relations between Australia and major tech companies, following Australia's first-ever ban on social media for children under 16 in 2025 and a proposal to allow users to disable algorithm-driven content recommendations. Meta agreed in August of this year to pay $18 billion to settle claims with U.S. states regarding social media design leading to child addiction.
15:34
According to Wall Street Insights citing The Wall Street Journal, approximately $72 billion of Anthropic's $80.7 billion net loss was due to non-cash accounting adjustments, with an actual operating loss of about $8.7 billion. The company's revenue reached $16.3 billion in the first half of 2026, and third-quarter revenue grew 45% quarter-over-quarter to $16.8 billion. However, the slowdown in revenue growth has prompted some institutional investors to lower its valuation reference range from $2 trillion to approximately $1.5 trillion. Anthropic's committed spending on computing infrastructure has exceeded $600 billion, and if additional agreements materialize, the total will reach $750 billion. This includes approximately $450 billion in cloud computing contract obligations over the next seven to ten years, with the vast majority of agreements stipulating "payment regardless of actual usage."
15:30
The UN Human Rights Office (OHCHR) has called on states to take urgent action to stop attacks against Palestinian communities and provide protection. This follows reports of settlers attacking Palestinian olive pickers and activists in the towns of Jamma’in and Wadi Yasouf in the Nablus Governorate of the occupied West Bank. A report by the OHCHR noted that in the first half of October, at least 160 settler attacks related to the olive harvest occurred in the West Bank, often under the protection or participation of the Israeli army.
15:29
South Korean stocks fell sharply on Thursday, with the KOSPI index closing down 201.8 points, or 3.52%, at 5,533.77 points. Investors engaged in profit-taking in major chip stocks, while ongoing concerns about investments in the artificial intelligence (AI) value chain also weighed on market sentiment. The Korean won strengthened against the US dollar on the day.
15:20
Market analyst Jesse Eckel believes Bitcoin has a major advantage over gold in terms of scarcity, as scientists make progress in artificially producing precious metals. Eckel posted on October 21, "Lab-grown gold will eventually be here and cheap, just like diamonds," but "there will never be lab-grown Bitcoin."

His comments were in response to an announcement by San Francisco startup Marathon Fusion, which claimed to have successfully converted mercury into gold and outlined a theoretical process to produce approximately 5,000 kg of gold annually from a gigawatt-scale fusion power plant by 2025. However, commercial-scale production remains a distant prospect. Eckel's argument touches on the core narrative of Bitcoin's predictable scarcity, with a maximum supply of approximately 21 million coins, while gold's supply could increase through mining, technological improvements, and nuclear transmutation.
15:20
SideSwap, a swap provider on the Liquid Network, has reopened conversions from the synthetic Bitcoin token L-BTC into Bitcoin. However, direct withdrawals from the Liquid Federation, which manages the network's Bitcoin reserves, remain restricted. SideSwap's payouts can still queue during manual refills of its own Bitcoin wallet, potentially delaying payments.

SideSwap stated that since reopening on October 20, users have made approximately 600 peg-outs, with over 60 BTC paid. This follows Liquid's September 23 assessment, where Blockstream reported an Elements verification-cache flaw created about 4,000 unbacked L-BTC, leading to Bitcoin leaving Liquid's reserve through SideSwap. The Liquid Federation's final restoration phase, requiring full 1:1 Bitcoin backing and controlled reactivation of peg-outs, has no specified date.
15:19
U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board by at least 3 basis points on Thursday, with the 30-year yield hitting 5.38%, its lowest level since September 23. Global capital clearly flowed into traditional safe-haven assets, with the Japanese Yen appreciating 0.3% against the U.S. Dollar to 157.68, and the Swiss Franc also rising 0.2%. Market sentiment turned fragile as investors' doubts grew regarding the profitability and return on investment of AI-related assets, triggering a stock market decline and activating safe-haven demand for government bonds.
15:17
The IMF stated that the U.S.-Iran conflict has impacted energy production, shipping, tourism, trade, and confidence, projecting a 1.3% contraction in economic output for the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan this year. Its baseline assumption is that the conflict will de-escalate in early 2027 and trade will gradually normalize within the year, at which point economic growth is expected to rebound to 6.6%, though the outlook still faces extremely high uncertainty.
15:01
Marie Antonia von Schonburg, President and CEO of the German-Korean Chamber of Commerce and Industry, stated that German companies are leveraging the industrial strengths of both countries to use South Korea as a strategic base for manufacturing, technology development, and supply chain diversification amidst increasing geopolitical uncertainty.
15:00
London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) has agreed to acquire Octus, a credit intelligence, data, and workflow provider, from private equity firm Permira for $3.5 billion. The stock exchange and financial information company stated last week that it was in negotiations for the deal.
14:57
Shares of South Korean cloud operator Elice rose for a second consecutive day, climbing as much as 25% to 99,900 Korean Won during Thursday's trading session, recovering its IPO price of 90,500 Korean Won for the first time. The previous day, the stock had closed at its daily limit, up 30%. This rebound was primarily driven by retail investors, indicating that some investors are still betting on the long-term logic of the AI infrastructure sector.
14:51
Liquidators for China Evergrande Group plan to begin distributing funds to creditors in the first half of 2027, nearly three years after the company began winding up. So far, they have recovered less than 1% of the $46 billion sought by creditors.
14:47
According to CCTV News, citing U.S. officials, the U.S. and Israeli militaries have developed specific plans for another military strike against Iran after the U.S. midterm elections, with potential targets including Iran's energy and nuclear facilities. Meanwhile, the U.S. State Department has ordered non-emergency government employees and their families to evacuate Saudi Arabia. Boosted by the news, Brent crude futures rose 1.71% to $110.67 per barrel on Thursday, while U.S. WTI crude rose 1.42% to $98.53 per barrel.
14:45
Germany's financial regulator BaFin has ordered the liquidation of the Hamburg branch of Bank Saderat Iran, citing sanctions and the bank's failure to address legal requirement violations. BaFin had previously revoked the branch's license last year, and a Hamburg court appointed a liquidator last month. The branch had 13 employees and 62.4 million euros ($70.16m) in assets.
14:42
Ramp, a corporate card giant, tracked payment data from over 70,000 U.S. businesses and found that just 1% of these companies accounted for 80% of commercial spending on OpenAI and Anthropic, and this highly concentrated demand is peaking. Ara Kharazian, Ramp's chief economist, noted in his October AI Index report that token usage continues to climb, but actual dollar spending growth has nearly stalled, rising only 1.5% in early October from its August peak, with paid user penetration also flattening. The core driver of stagnant spending is price deflation, with Anthropic's actual token price index falling from over $1.70 in mid-September to a record low of $0.83. Goldman Sachs warned that token demand growth must outpace price reductions to support computing power investments, while Citadel founder Ken Griffin believes the market is "almost certainly" in an AI bubble. OpenAI has indicated a preference to postpone its IPO until 2027.
14:39
The city of Albuquerque, New Mexico, has officially banned Bitcoin ATMs to combat rising cryptocurrency fraud. The city's new virtual currency ordinance was passed by the city council and signed by the mayor on September 9, taking effect on October 21. The new regulations prohibit cryptocurrency kiosks and cashier-assisted cryptocurrency transactions, requiring existing Bitcoin ATMs to be removed within 45 days or face fines. Mayor Tim Keller stated that scammers are using these machines to defraud vulnerable populations, including the elderly. According to FBI data, over 13,400 complaints related to cryptocurrency kiosks have been received.
14:31
Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Global Management, analyzed that if the data center construction cycle is prolonged, assets with scarce physical capacity (including operational data centers, power suppliers, and long-cycle equipment manufacturers) will gain pricing power and rental premiums. Conversely, highly valued AI stocks betting on timely delivery and highly leveraged developer debt will face dual pressures of earnings downgrades and valuation compression. Slok emphasized that investors need to distinguish between "delay" and "cancellation" scenarios. While a delay postpones cash flow, assets may appreciate due to scarcity premiums, whereas a cancellation dismantles the scarcity logic.
14:28
The Seoul Central District Court on Thursday dismissed a shareholder derivative lawsuit filed by Young Poong and MBK Partners against Korea Zinc Chairman Choi Yun-birm and other directors, seeking 837 billion Korean won (approximately $632 million). The Young Poong-MBK alliance filed the lawsuit in November 2024, alleging that Korea Zinc's directors caused significant losses to the company by repurchasing shares at 890,000 won per share through a tender offer.

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