U.Today analysis: Crypto's "Uptober" historically strong, but 2025 showed macro shocks can override seasonality; 2026 starts bullish with caution
U.Today's analysis of the cryptocurrency market's "Uptober" phenomenon notes that historically, Bitcoin ended October higher in 10 out of 13 years (2013-2025), with an average return of about 19%. However, 2025 saw Bitcoin fall about 4% and Ethereum 6-7% in October due to a U.S.-China trade dispute and record liquidations. While 2026 starts with bullish momentum (Bitcoin gained 9% in September, reaching an eight-month high above $87,000, and 25% in August), much optimism is already factored in. Continued positive ETF demand and stable macro conditions are needed to sustain the rally, as the market remains vulnerable to leverage-driven corrections.
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Disclaimer: This content reflects the author's personal views only and does not constitute investment advice.
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