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Federal Reserve
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U.S. Senate Majority Leader says the Clarity Act is not expected to move forward before April
Svmuu News: U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that the Clarity Act, a bill aimed at regulating the crypto market, is not expected to pass the Senate Banking Committee before April. The bil
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U.S. Senate Votes to Pass Housing Bill with Prohibition on Central Bank Digital Currency
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate passed a housing bill with a vote of 89 to 10. The bill includes an addendum prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the e
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U.S. Senate Passes Bill Clause Proposing Ban on CBDC Issuance, Ban May Last Until 2030
Svmuu News The U.S. Senate passed a bipartisan-supported housing bill with 89 votes in favor and 10 against, which includes a clause prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital
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Analysis: Bitcoin Holds Above $70,000 as Soaring Oil Prices and Credit Risks Hit U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News: Bitcoin held above the $70,000 mark on Thursday, even as crude oil prices surged over 10% to nearly $100 per barrel. Donald Trump stated he was more concerned with stopping Iran's actions
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Investors are concerned that the Middle East conflict could reignite inflation, and the market no longer fully bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year
Svmuu News Bond traders are no longer fully pricing in expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026. Interest rate swaps linked to Fed policy meeting dates show that traders on T
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Traders no longer fully price in the expectation of a single Fed rate cut in 2026
Svmuu News According to market sources: Traders no longer fully price in the expectation of a single Fed rate cut in 2026. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Plans to Slightly Lower Capital Requirements for Large Banks
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Bowman said on Thursday that after revisions to a comprehensive bank capital rule, capital requirements for large banks will be slightly r
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Reuters Survey: Majority of Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points Next Quarter
Svmuu News Reuters survey: Among 96 surveyed economists, 63 (compared to 51 out of 101 in the February survey) indicated that the Federal Reserve will lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points n
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"Fed Mouthpiece": White House May Oppose Powell's Continuation as Acting Fed Chair
Svmuu News According to "Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos, if Fed Chair Powell's term ends, the White House appears likely to oppose or challenge his status as an interim chair (referred to as "acting" c
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Institutions: Iran Conflict Supports Short-Term Dollar Trend
Svmuu News Monex Europe analysts stated in a report that unless there are credible signs of de-escalation in the Iran war, the US dollar may continue to gain support in the short term. This conflict i
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U.S. Core CPI in February Shows Slowest Growth in Nearly Five Years
Svmuu News: U.S. core inflation slowed in February compared to the previous month, indicating that price pressures had eased before the outbreak of the Iran war. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of La
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Before the CPI release, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 99.3%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.7%, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 99.3%. The p
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UBS: Lags in the data suggest inflation should remain moderate tonight
Svmuu News: Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at the UBS, noted that while the U.S. Consumer Price Index data for February predates the recent market turmoil, it remains crucial for the Federal Reserve’s
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Arthur Hayes: Will Not Increase Cryptocurrency Holdings Until the Fed Resumes Money Printing
Svmuu News Arthur Hayes recently stated in a podcast that, although he is bullish on Bitcoin in the long term (predicting it will reach $250,000 by the end of 2026), he will not purchase any Bitcoin u
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TD Cowen: US Congress Nears Permanent Ban on Fed Issuing CBDC
Svmuu News Investment bank TD Cowen stated that the US Congress may be close to passing legislation to permanently prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). Thi
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 99.4%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 99.4%. The probability
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Bank of America: Sustained Oil Price Shock Could Pave the Way for Fed's Easing Policy
Svmuu News According to a report from Bank of America, the market currently views rising oil prices as a greater inflation threat, but supply shocks actually pose risks to both aspects of the Fed's du
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Analysis: Oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy may drive Bitcoin the next phase of market movements
Svmuu News: Analysts note that the next phase of Bitcoin’s price movement is increasingly being influenced by macroeconomic factors—including oil prices, U.S. Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve mone
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CPI and PCE Data to Be Released This Week, Unlikely to Shake Fed's Wait-and-See Stance
Svmuu News According to the February non-farm payroll data, employment performance was weaker than expected, forming a stark contrast to the market's general expectation of strong resilience. However,
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Analysis: Iran Situation and Short Squeeze Jointly Led to Recent CRCL Surge
Svmuu News Circle (CRCL) stock price rose 9.7% on Monday, with a cumulative gain of 86% over the past month. Analysts noted that the escalating situation in Iran has caused crude oil prices to rise by
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Bank of America: February U.S. CPI Unlikely to Alter Federal Reserve Short-Term Policy Stance
Svmuu News: Bank of America stated in a report that the U.S. February CPI report is unlikely to alter the Federal Reserve’s short-term policy stance. The bank noted that the February CPI report should
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Analysis: Bitcoins Holds Steady at $67,000 with No Signs of Panic Selling; Crypto Market May See Bullish Reversal Amid Oil Price Shock
Svmuu News: Despite the Middle East situation causing oil prices to surge, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $67,000, without any panic selling, suggesting the market may have bottomed out. Analyst
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Analyst: Market trends run counter to Donald Trump's targets
Svmuu News: Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist at Pepperston, stated in a report that recent market trends run counter to the goals U.S. President Donald Trump has consistently pursued. Brown s
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Planet Midday News
1. Kalshi and Polymarket added over 270,000 new users last month; the latter’s monthly retention rate exceeded 50%; 2. The probability of a U.S. recession by the end of 2026 has surged to 41% on Polym
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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