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Federal Reserve
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An address spent $6.07 million betting that the Fed will not cut rates in March
Monitoring by Seer Channel shows that a newly created 5-day-old address spent $6.07 million betting that the Fed will not cut interest rates in March, with an average price of 99.5¢ and a maximum pote
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"Fed Whisperer": Fed Leans Toward Silence This Week, Recent Shocks Become Two-Way Factor
Svmuu News "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos: The Federal Reserve may be more inclined to remain silent this week. But forecasts force them to outline a path. Two former Fed chairs told me they hope to av
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Trump: The Fed Should Immediately Convene a Special Meeting to Cut Rates
Svmuu News Trump said the Federal Reserve should immediately convene a special meeting to cut interest rates. (Jin10)
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Analysis: Institutional Funds Drive Bitcoin's Strength, but Breaking Through the $75,000 Resistance Level Still Faces Pressure
Svmuu News Bitcoin briefly broke above $74,000 on Monday, continuing its upward trend. Analysis suggests strong institutional demand is driving prices. Additionally, global crypto ETF products saw net
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Rising oil prices shift expectations for interest rate cuts; an options bet at Federal Reserve yields $10 million in profits
Svmuu News: This month’s sharp rise in oil prices and the market’s downward revision of expectations for Federal Reserve’s monetary easing have resulted in a $10 million profit from an options trade o
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Iran War Clouds Outlook; Federal Reserves Face Pressure on Both Fronts; Hawk-Dove Showdown Looms
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Officials are set to meet this week, with their policy outlook already disrupted by the war in Iran, which has brought one-fifth of global oil supplies to a standstill. Offi
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Bitfinex Report: Bitcoin Stabilizes Above $70,000, Institutional Accumulation Within Range May Brew Breakout
According to the latest Bitfinex Alpha report, Bitcoin has regained its footing above the $70,000 mark ahead of this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting on March 18th, with market momentum showing a c
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Wall Street's Big Three Still Bullish on U.S. Stocks: Geopolitical Shocks Won't Alter Bull Market
Svmuu According to strategists from major Wall Street banks, their bullish case for U.S. equities remains intact despite risks stemming from the war in Iran. Rising oil prices, cost-of-living concerns
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Jerome Powell: Even if investigated, he will not step down after his term as chairman ends
Svmuu News: Documents declassified last Friday reveal that, during a meeting with the Department of Justice in January, attorneys for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Jerome Powell raised the possibili
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U.S. Court Upholds Fed Ruling, Denies Custodia's Request for Rehearing on Master Account
Svmuu News The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, in a 7-3 vote, has denied crypto bank Custodia's request for an en banc rehearing. This decision upholds the October 2025 panel ruling, affi
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Federal Court Halts DOJ Subpoena Investigation into Current Fed Chair, Elizabeth Warren's Support for Warsh as Fed Chair Probability Surges Significantly
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability for "Will Elizabeth Warren vote to support Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?" has risen from 1.9% to 28.0%. A recent ruling by a U.S. federal d
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Polymarket's "Fed rate cut before June FOMC meeting concludes" probability drops 11% in 24 hours, currently reported at 28%
According to monitoring by Svmuu Seer's Prophet Channel, the probability of the Polymarket event "Fed rate cut before the June FOMC meeting concludes" has dropped 11% in 24 hours and is currently repo
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Bank of America Analyst: Further Decline in S&P 500 Index Could Trigger Policy Response from White House or Fed
Svmuu According to Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett, a further decline in the S&P 500 Index—down to around 6600 points, just 1% below recent levels—could trigger a policy response from the Whi
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Barclays: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September 2026 and March 2027
Svmuu News Barclays: Expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points each in September 2026 and March 2027, compared to previous forecasts for rate cuts in June and September of this year. (Jin10)
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Rabinettenbank: Middle East Conflict May Continue to Support the Dollar
Svmuu According to Jane Foley of Rabobank in a report, as there are no signs of easing in the Middle East conflict, the US dollar may still have room for further strengthening. The rise of the dollar
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Bank of America: Oil Price Shock May Push Up Federal Reserve Inflation Forecasts; Jerome Powells Will Adopt a Wait-and-See Approach
Svmuu News: Bank of America stated that the Federal Reserve will have to contend with another round of supply shocks—soaring oil prices. In the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released ahead of
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Market Analysis: Rising Core PCE Poses Challenges for Fed Doves
Svmuu News According to the US financial website investinglive: This report poses a problem for the doves within the Federal Reserve. The overall data largely met expectations, but upon closer inspect
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Market News: Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cut Before September
Svmuu News: Market news indicates that traders are betting on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before September. (Jin10)
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A survey shows that economists predict the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year
Svmuu News: According to a Bloomberg survey, economists have pushed back their expectations for the next interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve from March to June, but still anticipate two 25-basis-
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Analysis: Bitcoin forms a chip accumulation zone between $62,000 and $72,000, poised for new breakout momentum
Svmuu According to Cointelegraph, amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the price of Bitcoin has broken through $72,000, reaching a new high since March 5th, demonstrating strong ma
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Analysis: Middle East Conflict Fuels Inflation Expectations, Market Fears Fed May Struggle to Cut Rates
Svmuu According to data, the one-year breakeven inflation rate has risen to 4.62%, the highest level since June 2022; the two-year breakeven inflation rate has also climbed to 3.18%, reaching a near o
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Analysts: Market Concerns Over Fed Rate Cut Path Intensify, Gold Prices Set for Weekly Decline
Svmuu News On Friday, New York gold futures fell below $5,100 per ounce, poised for a weekly decline. A stronger U.S. dollar, rising oil prices, and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy are
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Analysis: Tonight's PCE May Show Unprecedented Anomalies in Decades, Another Hurdle for Fed's Rate Cut Path
Svmuu News At 8:30 PM Beijing time on Friday, the United States will release the January PCE Price Index. The market expects the PCE data to rise 2.9% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous value,
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U.S. Senate Majority Leader says the Clarity Act is not expected to move forward before April
Svmuu News: U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune stated that the Clarity Act, a bill aimed at regulating the crypto market, is not expected to pass the Senate Banking Committee before April. The bil
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Strong U.S. employment data reinforces Federal Reserve December rate hike expectations, while gold maintains its downward trend
Strong U.S. employment data reinforces Federal Reserve December rate hike expectations, while gold maintains its downward trend
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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