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Federal Reserve
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The market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December
Svmuu News According to short-term interest rate futures prices, the market expects the Fed is likely to raise interest rates in December. (Jin10)
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Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October
Svmuu News According to market news: Traders expect a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike by October. (Jin10)
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Iran War Intensifies Fed Divisions: Waller Turns Cautious, Bowman Sticks to Three Rate Cuts This Year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller revealed that he would have voted against holding rates steady again this week, but paused due to the Iran war; Vice Chair for Supervision Michel
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: "Emergency Withdrawal" of Rate Cut Vote Due to Oil Price Surge
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that, given the unexpected unemployment situation in February, he had originally planned to vote in favor of a rate cut at this week's central bank me
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Fed Governor Waller: If Reserve Demand Declines, Tapering Could Be Discussed
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if reserve demand declines, tapering could be discussed. The Fed has no reason to create a reserve shortage, and an adverse shock could lead businesses to st
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Fed Governor Waller: Will Advocate for Rate Cuts if Conditions Develop Favorably
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that the market has not yet shown signs of expectations becoming unanchored. If conditions develop relatively smoothly and the labor market weakens, he will begin
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Fed Governor Waller: Wants to Observe First Before Deciding Whether to Cut Rates Later This Year
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that he wants to observe developments first before deciding whether to cut rates later this year. (Jin10)
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Fed Governor Waller: If oil prices remain high for several months, it will eventually pass through to core inflation
Svmuu News Fed Governor Waller stated that if oil prices remain high for several months, it will eventually pass through to core inflation. A high and sustained oil shock does not have a temporary imp
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Fed Governor Waller: Closure of the Strait of Hormuz May Intensify Inflationary Pressures
According to Fed Governor Waller, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz may intensify inflationary pressures. It is now also anticipated that labor force growth will approach zero, which alters the brea
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Fed Governor Bowman: Still Expects Three Rate Cuts in 2026
Svmuu News Fed Governor Bowman stated that he still expects three rate cuts in 2026. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve Governor Bowman: Will Monitor Leverage Levels in the Artificial Intelligence Sector
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that they will monitor leverage levels in the artificial intelligence sector to ensure regulators are focused on the associated risks. (Jin10)
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Global Central Banks on High Alert to Counter Inflation Resurgence, Dollar Under Pressure Falls Over 1%
Svmuu News Non-US currencies strengthened across the board, with the US Dollar Index under pressure falling over 1% in late New York trading on Thursday. This week saw policy meetings from central ban
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Democratic Senator Demands Kevin Warsh Respond to Epstein Files Issue
Svmuu News: US Democratic Senator Warren: (to Fed nominee Warsh) Your name appears to be in the Epstein files. US Democratic Senator Warren has demanded that Warsh respond to the Epstein files issue b
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U.S. Regulators Plan to Ease Capital Requirements for Large Banks, Potentially Freeing Up Billions of Dollars
Svmuu News: The Federal Reserve's proposal announced on Thursday would ease capital requirements for major Wall Street financial institutions, potentially freeing up tens of billions of dollars for le
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Market News: Traders No Longer Expect Fed to Cut Rates in 2026
Svmuu News Traders no longer expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026.
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Rabobank: Expects the Fed to cut rates twice in 2026
Svmuu News According to Philip Marey, Senior US Strategist at Rabobank, despite upward revisions to inflation and growth expectations, the FOMC still anticipates one rate cut in 2026, indicating they
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Analyst: The Strait of Hormuz is unlikely to reopen in the short term, oil prices will continue to receive support
Svmuu News The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in March and projected higher inflation as policymakers assess the impact of the US-Israel war with Iran. Furthermore, Iran launched retali
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Powell: No Intention to Leave the Fed Early, May Continue Serving Until Investigation Concludes
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that he has no intention of leaving his position at the Federal Reserve until the U.S. Department of Justice's investigation into him is "compl
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged; 2. The Federal Reserve holds steady, maintains expectation of one rate cut in 2026; 3. Fed Chair Powell: No rate cuts if inflation shows no progr
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CICC: Fed Has Limited Room for Rate Cuts Amid "Quasi-Stagflation"
Svmuu News CICC's research report stated that the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at its March meeting, aligning with market expectations. The dot plot and economic projections indicate
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Fed's Mouthpiece: Powell Restricts Trump's "Room to Maneuver" at the Fed
Svmuu News "Fed's Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos stated that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated he would continue to serve as Fed Chair if his successor is not confirmed before his term ends on
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The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in April is 100%
Svmuu News According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 0%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 100%. The
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Powell: Fed's Latest Forecasts Seem Like Wild Guesses
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that, given the uncertainties arising from the Iran war, the Fed's latest round of forecasts seems a bit like wild guesses. Powell said: "Regar
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Federal Reserve Chair Powell: If a new Fed chair is not confirmed by the end of my term, I will serve as interim chair
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chair Powell: If a new Fed chair is not confirmed by the end of my term, I will serve as interim chair. (Jin10)
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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Nikkei Stock Average drops 5.9% to 57,497.16, dragged by chip stocks amid U.S. tech selloff
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