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Federal Reserve
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Before the nonfarm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 96.9%
Svmuureports that before the release of the nonfarm payroll data, according to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 3.1%, while the proba
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Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Powell Should Only Briefly Stay as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Milan said on Friday that he hopes current Fed Chair Jerome Powell will only briefly remain as a governor after stepping down from the chairmanship. Milan stated:
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Federal Reserve Board Member Milan: Still Leaning Toward an Early Rate Cut
Svmuu: Federal Reserve Governor Milan still leans towards an early rate cut. (Jin Shi)
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Institution: Federal Reserve: No Action Expected This Year; Interest Rate Cuts Expected Next
Svmuu News BlueBay Chief Investment Officer Mark Dowding said in a report that the institution still expects the Federal Reserve to keep policy unchanged in 2026, but as inflation begins to fall in 20
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Economist: It's too early to see the impact of the US-Iran conflict on the labor market
According to a Reuters poll, after an increase of 178,000 in March, nonfarm payrolls may have only increased by 62,000 in April, with institutional forecasts ranging from a decrease of 15,000 to an in
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Institution: US employment growth may slow in April as temporary boost fades
Svmuureports that US employment growth may slow in April, as the temporary boosts from warmer weather and the return of striking healthcare workers fade. However, this does not signal a substantial ch
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The US dollar has almost fully given back all its gains since the Iran war
SvmuuNews The US dollar index DXY has essentially erased all of its gains since February 27. The dollar was already weak before the outbreak of the war with Iran, weighed down by a series of policies,
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Federal Reserve Hamak: The suggestion that the next move will be an interest rate cut is misleading
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that the Fed's signal regarding a rate cut as the next move is misleading. High inflation is forcing more people to make trade-offs, and cutting rate
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Fed's Hammack: Base case is that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period
Svmuu reported that Fed's Hammack stated, given the uncertainty, the Fed should maintain a neutral stance in its policy outlook. He expressed concerns about the outlook for price pressures, and the ba
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Analysis: The crypto market must undergo a "shitcoin purge" for Bitcoin to start a sustainable bull market
According to Svmuu, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necess
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Says Impact of Iran War Looks More Like an Inflation Shock
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said Wednesday that the war with Iran increasingly appears to be an inflationary shock to the economy. While the impact on employment and economic growth is not y
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council: Issues related to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remain uncertain; 2. Iran will begin reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and neg
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Federal Reserve's Treasury holdings rise to $4.4 trillion, highest since July 2024
Svmuureports that the Federal Reserve's Treasury holdings have increased to $4.4 trillion, the highest level since July 2024. The Fed's total balance sheet assets stand at $6.7 trillion. (Cointelegrap
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Institution: Fed Unlikely to Raise Rates, as Doing So Could Harm the Economy
Svmuureports that SEI analyst Jim Smigil stated in a report that, given the Fed's dual mandate to support maximum employment and stable prices, a direct rate hike is unlikely because it could negative
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. "1011 Insider Whale" Agent: The market misreads Trump's "Liberty Plan," the real risk may have just begun; 2. Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026; 3. Bina
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Galaxy Research Director: US Senate Control Struggle Intensifies, Window for CLARITY Act Progress Narrows
SvmuuNews: Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on X, stating that there is now a higher urgency to pass the CLARITY Act, partly due to the fiercely competitive race for control of the US Senate
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Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026
Svmuu reports that Barclays expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, compared to its previous forecast of a 25-basis-point cut in September. (Jin10)
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Kashkari: May need to raise rates under certain circumstances, open to concerns raised by Warsh
Svmuu reported that Fed's Kashkari said an open mind needs to be maintained regarding the future of interest rate policy; the longer the war lasts, the greater the inflationary pressure. In certain ci
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Bitcoin surpasses $80,000, ETH and SOL follow in recovery, market sentiment improves
Svmuu reported that according to BitMart’s market observation on May 4, BTC is currently trading at approximately $80,312, with an intraday high of about $80,529; ETH is trading at approximately $2,39
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Powell Plans to Remain as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair, Emphasizing Continuity of Policy Stability and Institutional Independence
Svmuu News According to Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed whisperer," who cited informed sources, Powell plans to remain as a Fed governor after stepping down as chair in May 2026. This practice is his
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"Fed Mouthpiece": Fed’s Internal Winds Shift as Policy Path Moves from Rate-Cut Expectations to Rate-Hike Assessment
Svmuu reports that Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Mouthpiece," wrote in The Wall Street Journal that the discussion within the Federal Reserve regarding the interest rate path has undergone a notice
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MN Trading Capital Founder: Bitcoin Returning to $100,000 May Not Require New Narrative Drivers
SvmuuNews, Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, stated that Bitcoin's return to the $100,000 mark may not require a new market narrative to drive it; narratives will naturally form aft
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Trump: Doesn’t care whether Powell remains as a Fed governor
Svmuu reported that U.S. President Trump stated he doesn't care even if Powell stays on as a Fed governor after his term as Fed Chair ends. Powell’s term as Fed Chair ends on May 15, but his term as a
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US President Trump: Doesn't care whether Powell remains at the Federal Reserve
Svmuu: US President Trump said he doesn't care whether Powell stays at the Federal Reserve and will not take action. (Jin10)
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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Current Status and Future Outlook of IMX in Blockchain Gaming
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What is OCEAN? Ocean Protocol Mechanism, Token, and Risk Analysis
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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Samsung Electronics fell 5.85% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩205,250.
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What is Bee Network? The Relationship and Current Status of Bee Network and Pi Network
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What is BIMP Coin? An Analysis of BIMP Coin's Project Background and Current Market Status
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