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Federal Reserve
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Federal funds futures pricing indicates that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the remainder of the year
Svmuu reported that according to CME's "FedWatch" data, federal funds futures still indicate that investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged for a considerable period in
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“Fed Whisperer”: Nonfarm payrolls mean Fed’s focus will shift from employment to inflation
Svmuu reported that “Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos said four months ago, a major issue facing the Federal Reserve was whether it needed to continue cutting interest rates to support the seemingly falte
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Nonfarm payroll data shows limited change in expectations for the Fed's near-term interest rate decisions
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 94.9% (96.9% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-poi
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Nonfarm payroll data did not put pressure on rate cuts, U.S. Treasury yields fell instead of rising
SvmuuNews: Despite higher-than-expected U.S. nonfarm employment growth and Trump downplaying renewed tensions with Iran as "a small matter," U.S. Treasury yields still declined. The unemployment rate
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Analysis: Nonfarm Data Supports Current Market Positioning, Reducing Urgency for Further Fed Tightening
Svmuu News Capital.com Senior Market Analyst Daniela Hathorn stated that the latest U.S. employment report adds an interesting dimension to the current market backdrop. On the surface, nonfarm payroll
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Analysis: Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Make It Harder for the Fed to Cut Rates
According to Svmuu, interest rate strategist Ira Jersey commented that stronger-than-expected nonfarm payroll data highlights that the US is far from a recession. It is difficult to see the Fed choosi
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Analysis: US April nonfarm payrolls add 115,000, beating expectations for the second consecutive month
Svmuu reported that data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed the U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, surpassing Wall Street expectations for the second consecutive m
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U.S. interest rate futures indicate a slight decline in the probability of a rate hike in 2026 Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. interest rate futures show a slight decrease in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026. (Jin 10)
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Before the nonfarm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 96.9%
Svmuureports that before the release of the nonfarm payroll data, according to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 3.1%, while the proba
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Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Powell Should Only Briefly Stay as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Milan said on Friday that he hopes current Fed Chair Jerome Powell will only briefly remain as a governor after stepping down from the chairmanship. Milan stated:
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Federal Reserve Board Member Milan: Still Leaning Toward an Early Rate Cut
Svmuu: Federal Reserve Governor Milan still leans towards an early rate cut. (Jin Shi)
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Institution: Federal Reserve: No Action Expected This Year; Interest Rate Cuts Expected Next
Svmuu News BlueBay Chief Investment Officer Mark Dowding said in a report that the institution still expects the Federal Reserve to keep policy unchanged in 2026, but as inflation begins to fall in 20
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Economist: It's too early to see the impact of the US-Iran conflict on the labor market
According to a Reuters poll, after an increase of 178,000 in March, nonfarm payrolls may have only increased by 62,000 in April, with institutional forecasts ranging from a decrease of 15,000 to an in
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Institution: US employment growth may slow in April as temporary boost fades
Svmuureports that US employment growth may slow in April, as the temporary boosts from warmer weather and the return of striking healthcare workers fade. However, this does not signal a substantial ch
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The US dollar has almost fully given back all its gains since the Iran war
SvmuuNews The US dollar index DXY has essentially erased all of its gains since February 27. The dollar was already weak before the outbreak of the war with Iran, weighed down by a series of policies,
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Federal Reserve Hamak: The suggestion that the next move will be an interest rate cut is misleading
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that the Fed's signal regarding a rate cut as the next move is misleading. High inflation is forcing more people to make trade-offs, and cutting rate
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Fed's Hammack: Base case is that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period
Svmuu reported that Fed's Hammack stated, given the uncertainty, the Fed should maintain a neutral stance in its policy outlook. He expressed concerns about the outlook for price pressures, and the ba
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Analysis: The crypto market must undergo a "shitcoin purge" for Bitcoin to start a sustainable bull market
According to Svmuu, crypto market analyst and founder of Into The Cryptoverse, Ben Cowen, stated that the crypto market is experiencing an "extinction event" for millions of altcoins, a process necess
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Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Says Impact of Iran War Looks More Like an Inflation Shock
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said Wednesday that the war with Iran increasingly appears to be an inflationary shock to the economy. While the impact on employment and economic growth is not y
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council: Issues related to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell remain uncertain; 2. Iran will begin reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and neg
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Federal Reserve's Treasury holdings rise to $4.4 trillion, highest since July 2024
Svmuureports that the Federal Reserve's Treasury holdings have increased to $4.4 trillion, the highest level since July 2024. The Fed's total balance sheet assets stand at $6.7 trillion. (Cointelegrap
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Institution: Fed Unlikely to Raise Rates, as Doing So Could Harm the Economy
Svmuureports that SEI analyst Jim Smigil stated in a report that, given the Fed's dual mandate to support maximum employment and stable prices, a direct rate hike is unlikely because it could negative
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. "1011 Insider Whale" Agent: The market misreads Trump's "Liberty Plan," the real risk may have just begun; 2. Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026; 3. Bina
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Galaxy Research Director: US Senate Control Struggle Intensifies, Window for CLARITY Act Progress Narrows
SvmuuNews: Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn posted on X, stating that there is now a higher urgency to pass the CLARITY Act, partly due to the fiercely competitive race for control of the US Senate
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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Nikkei Stock Average drops 5.9% to 57,497.16, dragged by chip stocks amid U.S. tech selloff
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