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Federal Reserve
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Barclays: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026
Svmuu reports that Barclays expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, compared to its previous forecast of a 25-basis-point cut in September. (Jin10)
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Kashkari: May need to raise rates under certain circumstances, open to concerns raised by Warsh
Svmuu reported that Fed's Kashkari said an open mind needs to be maintained regarding the future of interest rate policy; the longer the war lasts, the greater the inflationary pressure. In certain ci
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Bitcoin surpasses $80,000, ETH and SOL follow in recovery, market sentiment improves
Svmuu reported that according to BitMart’s market observation on May 4, BTC is currently trading at approximately $80,312, with an intraday high of about $80,529; ETH is trading at approximately $2,39
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Powell Plans to Remain as Governor After Stepping Down as Chair, Emphasizing Continuity of Policy Stability and Institutional Independence
Svmuu News According to Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed whisperer," who cited informed sources, Powell plans to remain as a Fed governor after stepping down as chair in May 2026. This practice is his
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"Fed Mouthpiece": Fed’s Internal Winds Shift as Policy Path Moves from Rate-Cut Expectations to Rate-Hike Assessment
Svmuu reports that Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed Mouthpiece," wrote in The Wall Street Journal that the discussion within the Federal Reserve regarding the interest rate path has undergone a notice
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MN Trading Capital Founder: Bitcoin Returning to $100,000 May Not Require New Narrative Drivers
SvmuuNews, Michael van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading Capital, stated that Bitcoin's return to the $100,000 mark may not require a new market narrative to drive it; narratives will naturally form aft
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Trump: Doesn’t care whether Powell remains as a Fed governor
Svmuu reported that U.S. President Trump stated he doesn't care even if Powell stays on as a Fed governor after his term as Fed Chair ends. Powell’s term as Fed Chair ends on May 15, but his term as a
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US President Trump: Doesn't care whether Powell remains at the Federal Reserve
Svmuu: US President Trump said he doesn't care whether Powell stays at the Federal Reserve and will not take action. (Jin10)
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Hassett: Donald Trumps have defeated OPEC
Svmuu: Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated when asked about gasoline prices that Trump defeated OPEC. With the Strait of Hormuz open, oil will flow into the ma
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Hasset: Powell staying as Fed Governor could affect rate cuts
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that Federal Reserve Chair Powell staying on as a Fed Governor could affect rate cuts, but it is not an attack on the F
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Hassett: Disappointed by the remarks of Jerome Powell, Chairman of Federal Reserve
Svmuu: Hassett expressed disappointment over Federal Reserve Chair Powell's remarks. Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that he could not discuss whether Powell had
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Polymarket probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 bps in 2026" rises to 58%, up 9% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "0 Fed rate cuts of 25 bps in 2026" has risen to 58%, up 9% in the past 24 hours. To date, the total trading volume for t
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The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge has climbed to a nearly three-year high
Svmuu reported on Thursday that, according to data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce, rapidly rising gasoline prices drove the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric—the PCE price inde
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Market expectations for the probability of interest rate hikes by the end of 2026 have risen slightly Federal Reserve
Svmuu reported that U.S. interest rate futures data shows that following the release of U.S. economic data, the market's probability expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike before the end of 2026
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Analysis: Bitcoin’s Push to $80,000 Stalls, Derivatives Data Suggests Declining Market Risk Appetite
Svmuu reports that Bitcoin is facing significant resistance near the $80,000 level, while the derivatives market continues to emit risk-aversion signals. Analysts point out that the cost basis for sho
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Institutions: The Fed remains on hold, extending its wait-and-see stance, as political pressure fails to force rate cuts; 2. Bank of Japan: High oil prices and a weak yen could keep core inflation
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Institution: Fed Holds Steady in Wait-and-See Mode, Political Pressure for Rate Cuts Falls Flat
Svmuureported that Matthew Vegari, Head of Research at Clearwater Analytics' investment platform, stated in a report that the Fed's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% signals a c
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Morgan Stanley: Expects Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in 2026
Svmuu reported on April 30 that Morgan Stanley expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026, having previously forecast rate cuts in September and December. The firm now antici
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected; 2. The Fed's rate decision and policy statement received the most dissenting votes since October 1992; 3. Fed Chair Powell: Will not l
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Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" drops to 9%, down 25% in 24 hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Powell leaving the Fed Board of Governors before May 30" has plummeted, now at 9%, down 25% in 24 hours; the probability of "Pow
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Bessent: Powell's Decision to Stay as Governor Would Defy Tradition
Svmuu reported that U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent stated that it would be unusual for outgoing Federal Reserve Chair Powell to remain as a Fed governor. For someone who has always emphasized norms,
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Market pricing indicates that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year is greater than that of cutting them
Svmuu reported that, according to the Wall Street Journal, following some hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, Wall Street traders are betting on the possibility of a Fed rate hike this yea
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Powell: Policy may remain in neutral range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated at a press conference that monetary policy may be in a neutral range with respect to its impact on the economy. He noted, “I believe we are ve
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Powell: Determined to Defend the Fed's Independence, to Remain as Fed Governor for 'Some Time'
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated at a press conference that he will continue to serve as a Fed governor for a period of time after stepping down as chairman. Powell no
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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2
ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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3
Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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5
South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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Samsung Electronics fell 9.98% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩181,400.
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SK hynix fell 12.42% from its previous close, currently trading at ₩1,107,000.
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9
How is OPCT (Opacity)? Current Status and Risks of the Privacy Cloud Storage Token
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Nikkei Stock Average drops 5.9% to 57,497.16, dragged by chip stocks amid U.S. tech selloff
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