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Federal Reserve
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Opinion: Market still underestimates potential tightening policies of the Fed
Svmuureported that T. Rowe Price Chief US Economist Blerina Uruci said the market may still be underestimating the possibility of further tightening by the Federal Reserve. In a report, Uruci noted th
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Federal Reserve's Musalem: Scenarios Requiring Rate Hikes Exist
Svmuureports that Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that scenarios exist where the economy may require rate hikes. He believes there is a risk that inflation may not converge to the target as de
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Texas United Bank has received an upgraded OCC license and will offer U.S. dollar settlement services for cryptocurrencies
Svmuu reported that United Texas Bank announced it has received approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to convert its state bank charter into a national bank charter. This c
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Federal Reserve's Musalem: Cannot Count on AI Boom to Solve Inflation Issues
Svmuu, Federal Reserve's Musalem stated that policymakers cannot rely on the potential productivity boom from artificial intelligence to alleviate persistently high inflation. Musalem noted: "I believ
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Federal Reserve’s Musalem: Higher real interest rates should be addressed through rate hike policies
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve’s Musalem stated that higher real interest rates should be addressed through rate hike policies. It is currently unclear whether the U.S. is in a period of high pro
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Federal Reserve Williams: Monetary policy is where we want it to be; we are in a good position
Federal Reserve's Williams: Monetary policy is in the state we want, well-positioned. The path of monetary policy depends on data, the outlook, and risks. The Fed must be clear that inflation is retur
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Federal Reserve's Williams: Unclear How Productivity Boom Will Impact Interest Rates
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve's Williams stated it remains unclear how improvements in productivity will ultimately affect interest rates and the central bank's policy decisions. Williams said,
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"Fed Whisperer": April Core PCE Rose a Moderate 0.24% Month-over-Month, Annualized Rate Remains at 2.9%
Svmuu News "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos stated that the core PCE price index rose 0.24% in April. While this is the most moderate month-over-month increase in the past five months, the annualized rat
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Analysis: As Inflation Accelerates, Fed Chair Warsh May Need to Convince Colleagues That Rate Hikes Aren't Necessarily the Answer
Svmuu reported that driven by soaring energy prices due to the Iran situation, U.S. consumer spending increased slightly in April, with the annual inflation rate accelerating to its highest level sinc
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Fed's Favored PCE Inflation Strengthens, May Continue to Hold Steady
Svmuu reported that driven by rising energy prices due to the Iran war, the U.S. inflation rate in April hit its fastest pace in three years, further solidifying economists' views that the Federal Res
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U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending May 23 stood at 215,000, compared to the expected 211,000
Svmuu reported that U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending May 23 were 215,000, versus the expected 211,000. The previous week's figure was revised from 209,000 to 210,000. (Jin10)
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U.S. April Core PCE Price Index Year-over-Year 3.3%, Expected 3.30%
Svmuureported that the U.S. Core PCE Price Index for April recorded a year-over-year rate of 3.3%, in line with the expected 3.30%, compared to the previous value of 3.20%. (Jin10)
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Federal Reserve Watchdog Launches Probe into Regional Bank Personnel Renewal Process
Svmuureports that the internal watchdog of the Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday it will conduct a comprehensive review of the renewal process for senior executives at regional banks, focusing on
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PCE expected to rise to 3.8%, U.S. April PCE to be released at 8:30 PM tonight, with core PCE year-over-year expected at 3.3%
Svmuu reports that the U.S. April PCE data will be released at 8:30 PM Beijing time tonight. The market expects the April PCE year-over-year increase to be 3.8%, compared to the previous value of 3.5%
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Federal Reserve’s Goolsbee: Rising AI productivity expectations combined with rising oil prices may force central banks to raise interest rates
Svmuu reported that Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee on Thursday further intensified his warning: the market’s growing expectations for AI’s potential to boost productivity could push up inflatio
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Jefferson: Federal Reserve: Action is needed to restore the 2% inflation target
Svmuu reported that Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated that it is very important not only to communicate but also to take action so that the public understands our intention and commitment
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United Texas Bank Converts to National Bank Charter and Launches Crypto Payment Network
Svmuu, Dallas-based United Texas Bank has converted from a Texas state-chartered bank to a national bank approved by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, positioning itself as an institution
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Federal Reserve’s Kashkari: Prolonged Iran War Could Trigger a 'Series' of US Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: According to Nikkei Asia, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari stated that the Fed may implement a "series" of interest rate hikes in response to inflationary issues
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Former New York Fed President Dudley: Inflation Has Missed Targets for Years, Federal Reserve's Credibility Is at Risk
Svmuu News: Former New York Fed President William Dudley warned that the Federal Reserve’s credibility as an “inflation fighter” is at risk of being lost, given its long-term failure to meet the 2% in
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Analyst: The path of least resistance for gold prices remains downward
Svmuu News On Tuesday, gold prices fell; Earlier, the renewed tensions between the US and Iran pushed Brent crude oil prices higher and clouded the outlook for US interest rates, causing concerns over
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ING: Prospects of Rising U.S. Interest Rates May Support the Dollar
According to Svmuu, Chris Turner of ING Group stated in a report that the increasingly likely prospect of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates should provide support for the US dollar. Even with
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Qatari media: The Strait of Hormuz will be opened in phases; 2. A whale spent $3.69 million to buy 58,300 HYPE; 3. U.S. President Trump: The agreement with Iran will either be great and meaningful,
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BlackRock Analyst: Under Warsh’s leadership, the Fed may cut rates once
Svmuu reported that according to BlackRock, under the leadership of new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve may have sufficient reason to support a rate cut rather than a hike. When asked about
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Analyst: Hawkish Fed Shift Compresses Warsh's Room to Cut Rates
Eamonn Sheridan, an analyst at U.S. financial website investinglive, pointed out that the minutes from the Fed's April meeting show a clear change in the central bank's stance. The previous emphasis o
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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XPX Token Trading Guide: Analysis of XPX Exchange Listings and Buying/Selling Methods
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