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Federal Reserve
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US May CPI could hit a new three-year high, consumer confidence and purchasing power continue to erode
Svmuu News: Economists predict that a key inflation indicator due out Wednesday will show U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in over three years in May. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody
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Analyst: Bitcoin Bounce Fails to Alter Bearish Structure, A Return Above $80,000 Needed for Trend Reversal
Despite Bitcoin bouncing after falling below $60,000, several market analysts believe this is more likely a technical correction following an oversold condition rather than the start of a new bull mar
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Whale opens 50x leveraged short on S&P 500, position size reaches $112 million
Svmuureported that according to Lookonchain monitoring, whale "0x97f8" opened a highly leveraged short position against the S&P 500 index (SP500) about 5 hours ago, with a nominal position size of app
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Bitcoin's "Silent Bear Market" Continues, Posting Worst Weekly Performance Since FTX Collapse
Svmuu reported that Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 last week, recording its worst single-week performance since the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022. In the seven days through Sunday, Bitcoin
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South Korean regulators will investigate speculative won trading and require banks to strengthen risk management
Svmuu reported that South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has stated that tensions in the Middle East and market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike are driving fluctuations in the
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Trump: Good Economic Performance Shouldn't Lead to Rate Hikes; the U.S. Has a Debt Problem
Svmuureported that U.S. President Trump stated that it would be a mistake for Federal Reserve policymakers to choose to raise interest rates after the U.S. employment data significantly exceeded expec
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Donald Trump: Federal Reserve There is no reason to raise interest rates
Trump stated that there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. (Jin Shi)
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. After the release of non-farm payroll data, the market began pricing in further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. 2. Michael Saylor once spent $70 million to purchase a private
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Spot gold gives up its year-to-date gains
Svmuu: Spot gold has erased all of its gains for the year, following U.S. employment data that strengthened market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. (Jin Shi)
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Trump: Wants to see interest rates cut, but will leave the decision to Warsh
Svmuu reported that U.S. President Trump stated today during remarks on Air Force One that he hopes to see interest rates lowered, but he will leave the decision on rates to Federal Reserve Chair Wars
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Hawk: Recent rate hikes may be appropriate
Svmuureported that Federal Reserve's Hammack stated that with the labor market appearing to be approaching balance, a rate hike in the near term may be appropriate. Hammack said that while she never f
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Citi on the Nonfarm Payrolls Report: A Favorable Environment for the Dollar
Svmuu: U.S. employment data came in stronger than expected, boosting the dollar, while progress in U.S.-Iran peace talks stalled. The U.S. dollar index is on track for its biggest gain since April 8 o
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Analyst: If we see a few more nonfarm payroll reports like this, the baseline scenario will shift to several rate hikes
Svmuureports that institutional analyst Jersey commented on the US non-farm payroll data, stating that it is difficult to describe the job market as weak. For the interest rate market, the risk is bec
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U.S. job growth over the past three months has been the strongest in more than two years
According to U.S. media reports, U.S. employment growth in May exceeded all economists' expectations, with the unemployment rate remaining stable, further indicating that the labor market may be emerg
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The probability of a Fed rate hike in December rose to 63%
Svmuu reported that data from U.S. interest rate futures show the probability of a Fed rate hike in December has risen from 48% to 63%. (Jinshi)
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Analyst: The nonfarm payrolls report has undoubtedly completely undermined the case for a rate cut at Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Institutional analyst Anstey comments on US nonfarm payrolls: This will undoubtedly completely overturn any rationale for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming months. If
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Nonfarm payroll data release leads market to price in further Fed tightening
Svmuu reports that following the release of nonfarm payroll data, the market has priced in further tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. (Jin Shi)
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Before the non-farm payroll data release, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in June was 96.4%
According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.4%, with a 3.6% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut. The probability of
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Moody's Warns: Federal Reserves May Be Forced to Raise Interest Rates as Inflation Expectations Soar
Svmuu News: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, pointed out that although U.S. GDP has risen this year and the economy appears resilient, warning signs are already flashing. Under the leadership o
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Federal Reserve Study: With the Logic of Monetary Policy Being Reshaped, the Dilemma Faced by Oil Price Shocks Is Easing, Allowing Prioritization of Inflation Control
Svmuureports that the Boston Federal Reserve released a new study on Thursday stating that fundamental changes in the U.S. energy structure have completely altered the transmission path of oil price s
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“Wall Street Oracle” Warns: Market “Digestion” Period Approaches, Major Moves Expected After US Midterm Elections
Svmuu reported that Fundstrat strategist Tom Lee stated in a CNBC interview that the current market is in a cycle that could be divided into three phases, with the second phase potentially seeing a co
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The first nonfarm payrolls report of the "Warsh era" will be released tonight at 8:30 p.m., and the market is expected to experience significant volatility at that time.
Svmuu News: The U.S. May nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled for release tonight at 8:30 p.m. The market anticipates a slight decline. This will be the first nonfarm payrolls report since the appoint
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International Monetary Fund: Market Has Begun to Bet on Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu reports that the International Monetary Fund stated the expected timeline for the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target return has been pushed back to the end of 2027, compared to a previous for
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World Gold Council: Fed rate hikes may unexpectedly benefit gold
Svmuu reported that the World Gold Council stated in its gold market commentary report released on June 4 that looking ahead, as inflationary pressures rise, the Federal Reserve may need to raise inte
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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Where to Find Reliable USDT Trading Software: Top Exchange References and Selection Criteria
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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International Policy Analyst: US Midterm Election Results Indicate War with Iran Has Become a Political Liability
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