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Federal Reserve
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U.S. Senator Warren sent a letter to Federal Reserve Board Member Waller, calling for a halt to the push for regional Fed reform proposals
Svmuu News: U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has called on Federal Reserve Board Member Christopher Waller to halt his efforts to reform Federal Reserve the operational structure of the 12 regional branc
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Analysis: Nonfarm Payrolls Data Weakens but Still Shows Growth; Federal Reserve’s Decision to Hold Rates Is Reassessed
Svmuu News: Analyst Eric Merlis said, “June’s nonfarm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations, in sharp contrast to the string of upward surprises earlier this year, but the labor market con
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Hassett: Expresses Concern Over the Motivation Behind Jerome Powell's Decision to Retain Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that it is highly unusual that Jerome Powell has still not left Federal Reserve. He expressed concern about the motiv
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Federal Reserve Daley emphasized that the dual mandate would remain unchanged, but expressed a desire to evaluate the economy using new methods.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Daly said inflation should begin to slow, but there is significant uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.Speaking Thursday at a Bank of Spain event in Santander, Spai
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Analysis: Gold Prices Boosted by Nonfarm Payroll Data and Recent Remarks by Warsh
Svmuu News: Lower-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payroll data has boosted gold prices, which are currently up 2% after falling slightly prior to the report’s release. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor St
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Surprise Nonfarm Payrolls Data Dampens Rate Hike Expectations; U.S. Treasury Yields Drop in Response
Svmuu News: The weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report prompted traders to scale back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming months, causing U.S. Treasur
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Analysis: Weak nonfarm payrolls data have dampened expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve, causing bond prices to rise.
Svmuu News: Following a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report, U.S. Treasury prices rose as traders scaled back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming m
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Analyst: Given the World Cup, the nonfarm payrolls report was surprising
Svmuu News: Adam Button, an analyst at Investinglive, noted that U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 57,000 in June, falling short of the expected 110,000. The report was disappointing. While the unemp
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Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise to the Downside; Market Bets on Rate Hike Delay Until Year-End
Svmuu News: U.S. June nonfarm payroll data showed that, despite a decline in the unemployment rate, hiring slowed significantly in June, dampening the initial momentum of job growth this year.Accordin
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The market is scaling back bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply following the release of the nonfarm payrolls data, as the market scaled back its bets on Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The mar
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The U.S. unemployment rate in June was 4.2%, compared with the expected 4.30%
Svmuu News: The U.S. unemployment rate for June was 4.2%, compared with an expected rate of 4.30% and a previous reading of 4.30%. (Jin Shi)
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Ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve's probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July stands at 68.5%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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10x Research: HYPE’s current valuation is on the high side; traders may want to consider taking profits and exiting the position.
Svmuu News: 10x Research posted on X stating that the Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend structure. Although Bank of Federal Reserve Chairman Wash’s evasion of questions regarding interest rate hikes
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Bitwise's Head of Research for Europe: BTC Is Likely to Bottom Out Earlier Than the Market's General Expectation of October
Svmuu News: André Dragosch, Head of Research for Europe at Bitwise, said that July appears to be the turning point for BTC’s shift from a bear market to a bull market, and that Federal Reserves might
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Warsh Appoints Samantha Schwab, Bessent’s Senior Assistant, as Advisor to Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh is expanding his advisory team; the latest appointment includes bringing in Samantha Schwab, a senior aide to U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent, to serve as an
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Bitcoin After falling below $58,000, it rebounded to $60,000
Svmuu News Bitcoin fell as low as $57,779 on Wednesday—its lowest level since September 2024—before rebounding 2.8% to around $60,000.This rebound came after U.S. employment and manufacturing data cam
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Warsh has invited former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to lead the communications working group at Federal Reserve
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has invited former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King to serve as co-chair of the newly established communications working group at Federal Reserve. Warsh h
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Warsh: The dot plot will remain in place, at least for the time being.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: Dot plots will remain in place, at least for the time being. (Jin Shi)
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Warsh: Hopes Federal Reserve's balance sheet will shrink
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: It’s no secret that I would like to see the balance sheet of Federal Reserve shrink. During my first four weeks at Federal Reserve, my view on the balance sh
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Warsh: Inflation Risks Have Eased Somewhat
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh said Wednesday that both inflation expectations and inflation risks have declined in recent weeks; at the same time, he reiterated that Federal Reserve is com
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to say whether interest rates would be raised in July
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to comment on whether Federal Reserve might raise interest rates at its July meeting.“I hope that when we meet in four weeks, we’ll have a full ‘in-
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Warsh: Federal Reserve. is set to chart a new course and will not provide forward-looking guidance
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh: We will not provide forward-looking guidance. We will chart a new course to enable better decision-making. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 33.7%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis po
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Ed Yardeni: Warsh Is Driving Down 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields With His Hardline Stance on Inflation
Svmuu News: Ed Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, said he believes Warsh is attempting to lower borrowing costs by taking a hard line—that is, by pushing down gove
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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