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Federal Reserve
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Analyst: Don't expect Warsh to provide forward-looking guidance tonight
Svmuu News: Tonight, investors will once again hear from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, in his second public address since making his debut at the Fed’s policy meeting two weeks ago.However, investor
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UBS: First Monetary Policy Meeting of the Warsh Era Takes a Hawkish Turn; Expectations for Rate Hikes This Year May Be on the Aggressive Side
Svmuu News UBS noted in its latest report that the first monetary policy meeting following Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Chairman of the Federal Reserve sent a clearly hawkish signal, but market bets o
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ING Group: Warsh's Upcoming Speech May Boost the Dollar
Svmuu News: Chris Turner of ING Group stated in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh focuses on price stability during his speech at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Sintra, Portuga
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Amid concerns over interest rate hikes, gold prices fell back below $40,000
Svmuu News: Gold prices fell back below $4,000 per ounce ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Wash at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Portugal. Analysts at Saxo Bank stated, “The mar
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ITC: The yen's depreciation appears unusually gradual
Svmuu News: Sean Callow, Senior Forex Analyst at InTouch Capital Markets, said that the most striking aspect of the yen’s depreciation over the past few weeks has been the relatively smooth and orderl
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Will Not Prejudge Whether an Interest Rate Hike Is Needed in July
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that he would not prejudge whether an interest rate hike is needed in July, and that he currently sees no tensions in the dual mandate. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Federal Reserve: A rate hike may need to be considered
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that the job market is nearing full employment and the outlook for growth is positive. Inflation remains too high, Federal Reserve and a rate hike may need to b
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Gold is under pressure from Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and is expected to post its largest monthly decline since late 2008
Svmuu News: Gold prices have fallen and are expected to post their largest monthly decline since October 2008; on a quarterly basis, gold is also set to record its first quarterly decline since 2024,
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Tom Lee: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets, and macroeconomic headwinds are weighing on BTC and ETH
Svmuu News: Tom Lee posted on X, stating that cryptocurrencies are a highly volatile asset class, and that certain macro headwinds are currently putting pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Current headw
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Donald Trump: Will Take Immediate Action Regarding the Qualifications of Federal Reserve Board Member Cook
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump stated that regarding the lawsuit challenging the eligibility of Federal Reserve board member Cook, the Supreme Court remanded the case to a lower court solely
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Castle Securities: The AI Market Is Facing Greater Risks; Federal Reserve's Policies Will Become More Stringent
Svmuu News: Castle Securities stated that the AI market is facing greater risks, including weakening demand, declining returns, and increased political and regulatory scrutiny. Investors have underest
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Federal Reserve Board Member Cook: Will Defend the Independence of Federal Reserve; Rejoices at the Supreme Court’s Ruling
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board Member Cook stated: “This matter (the mortgage fraud allegations) has absolutely nothing to do with mortgage documents I signed before serving as a board member of Fed
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The U.S. Supreme Court refused to allow the Donald Trump to remove Lisa Cook, a board member of the Federal Reserve.
Svmuu News: According to market reports, the U.S. Supreme Court has refused to allow Donald Trump to remove Lisa Cook, a board member of Federal Reserve. (Jin Shi)
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Bank of America Securities: A Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Report May Lead the Market to Anticipate Three Rate Hikes in 2026
Svmuu News: On June 29, Bank of America Securities projected that U.S. nonfarm payrolls would rise significantly by 110,000 in June, driven primarily by moderate initial jobless claims and strong ADP
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Intercontinental Exchange Plans to Launch Futures Products Linked to Monetary Policy Decisions and Energy Reserves
Svmuu News: Intercontinental Exchange Group (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), is planning to launch new futures contracts linked to global monetary policy decisions and
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The New York Times: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh will announce more details about the task force in the coming weeks
Svmuu News: According to The New York Times: Federal Reserve, Chairman Warsh will announce more details about the task force in the coming weeks.
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Capital Economics: The Rally in U.S. Treasuries Is Expected to Lose Momentum
Svmuu News: Thomas Mathews, Head of Asia-Pacific Markets at Capital Economics, stated in a report that the rally in U.S. Treasuries—which had previously driven yields lower—is expected to lose momentu
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Citi: Raises Target for 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield, but Remains Bullish on the Bond Market
Svmuu News: Citigroup interest rate strategists said in a report that they have slightly raised their year-end forecast for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to 3.9%, up from their previous target of 3.
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Yi Lihua: Bitcoin This cycle may be heading into its final major downturn; July and August may be the best time to buy the dip.
Svmuu News: Jack Yi (Yi Lihua), founder of Liquid Capital, posted on X stating that this is the third downtrend since 1011. According to Elliott Wave Theory and cyclical patterns, Bitcoin this is the
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: In last week’s dot plot projections, nearly half of the officials expected at least one more rate hike this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Official Kashkari stated, “I am concerned about inflation; this is not just related to the situation in the Middle East, but is a manifestation of broader inflationary press
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: Expects One Rate Hike in 2026 and No Change in Interest Rates in 2027
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Kashkari said he expects one rate hike in 2026 and that rates will remain unchanged in 2027, noting that it remains to be seen how the absence of forward guidance will play
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has appointed two senior in-house economists as advisors
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has appointed two senior in-house economists to serve as his advisors: Daniel Covitz, Deputy Director of the Bureau of Research and Statistics
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Michael Saylor: Will buy Bitcoin during every market dip; 2. JAN3 CEO: Strategy should enter into a $1.5 billion over-the-counter BTC trade with BSTR—a win-win for both parties; 3. Deutsche Bank: L
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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