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Federal Reserve
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve The urgency for further monetary tightening has eased; 2. SK Hynix: Plans to raise $28.06 billion through an ADR offering; 3. JPMorgan Chase Maintains “Over
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Bank of New York Mellon: Federal Reserve—The urgency for further tightening has diminished
Svmuu News: Jeff, a senior macro strategist at Bank of New York Mellon, pointed out that softer U.S. labor market data and improving inflation figures have reduced the urgency for the Federal Reserve
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 77%
Svmuu News: Data shows that, according to Federal Reserve, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25
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U.S. M2 Exceeds $23 Trillion, Setting a New Record and Sparking Debate Over a “Liquidity-Driven Bubble”
Svmuu News: The latest data from the U.S. Federal Reserve shows that in May, the seasonally adjusted broad money supply (M2) rose to $23.05 trillion, surpassing the $23 trillion mark for the first tim
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BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve—The likelihood of action in July has decreased
Svmuu News: Isabelle Mateos i Lago, chief economist at BNP Paribas, said, “If the July nonfarm payrolls figure is very strong—nearing or exceeding 130,000—then I think the July meeting will be full of
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“Federal Reserve”: Donald Trump Sets the Tone, Federal Reserve Enters a New Era of “Forward-Looking Guidance”
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, a “Federal Reserve” correspondent, posted on X: Donald Trump stated that he believes Federal Reserve Chairman Wash is a dovish voice within the Federal Open Market Committee
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Allianz Analyst: Federal Reserve May Have to Raise Interest Rates in September
Svmuu News: Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz, said, “The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data was actually weak, but I still believe inflation will peak above 3.7%, and that artificial intelligence, f
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Markets stabilized ahead of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, with Bitcoin. holding steady at $61,000
Svmuu News: On the eve of the U.S. Independence Day holiday, sentiment in the crypto market gradually stabilized, with Bitcoin holding above $61,000 and Ethereum climbing above $1,700, continuing the
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. A wallet believed to be associated with Tim Draper deposited 1,000 BTC, worth $61.82 million, into Coinbase; 2. Spot gold and silver prices rose in the short term, with silver gaining over 1% intra
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Bank Santander: Despite Weak June Employment Data, Federal Reserves Will Continue to Focus on Inflation
Svmuu News: Evercore ISI stated, “Employment data has returned to normal, and the Federal Reserve will continue to focus on inflation.” Economists believe the Federal Reserve will view the weak June e
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U.S. Senator Warren sent a letter to Federal Reserve Board Member Waller, calling for a halt to the push for regional Fed reform proposals
Svmuu News: U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has called on Federal Reserve Board Member Christopher Waller to halt his efforts to reform Federal Reserve the operational structure of the 12 regional branc
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Analysis: Nonfarm Payrolls Data Weakens but Still Shows Growth; Federal Reserve’s Decision to Hold Rates Is Reassessed
Svmuu News: Analyst Eric Merlis said, “June’s nonfarm payrolls fell significantly short of expectations, in sharp contrast to the string of upward surprises earlier this year, but the labor market con
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Hassett: Expresses Concern Over the Motivation Behind Jerome Powell's Decision to Retain Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that it is highly unusual that Jerome Powell has still not left Federal Reserve. He expressed concern about the motiv
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Federal Reserve Daley emphasized that the dual mandate would remain unchanged, but expressed a desire to evaluate the economy using new methods.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Daly said inflation should begin to slow, but there is significant uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook.Speaking Thursday at a Bank of Spain event in Santander, Spai
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Analysis: Gold Prices Boosted by Nonfarm Payroll Data and Recent Remarks by Wash
Svmuu News: Lower-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payroll data has boosted gold prices, which are currently up 2% after falling slightly prior to the report’s release. Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor St
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Surprise Nonfarm Payrolls Data Dampens Rate Hike Expectations; U.S. Treasury Yields Drop in Response
Svmuu News: The weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report prompted traders to scale back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming months, causing U.S. Treasur
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Analysis: Weak nonfarm payrolls data have dampened expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve, causing bond prices to rise.
Svmuu News: Following a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report, U.S. Treasury prices rose as traders scaled back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming m
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Analyst: Given the World Cup, the nonfarm payrolls report was surprising
Svmuu News: Adam Button, an analyst at Investinglive, noted that U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 57,000 in June, falling short of the expected 110,000. The report was disappointing. While the unemp
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Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise to the Downside; Market Bets on Rate Hike Delay Until Year-End
Svmuu News: U.S. June nonfarm payroll data showed that, despite a decline in the unemployment rate, hiring slowed significantly in June, dampening the initial momentum of job growth this year.Accordin
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The market is scaling back bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply following the release of the nonfarm payrolls data, as the market scaled back its bets on Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The mar
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The U.S. unemployment rate in June was 4.2%, compared with the expected 4.30%
Svmuu News: The U.S. unemployment rate for June was 4.2%, compared with an expected rate of 4.30% and a previous reading of 4.30%. (Jin Shi)
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Ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve's probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July stands at 68.5%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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10x Research: HYPE’s current valuation is on the high side; traders may want to consider taking profits and exiting the position.
Svmuu News: 10x Research posted on X stating that the Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend structure. Although Bank of Federal Reserve Chairman Wash’s evasion of questions regarding interest rate hikes
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Bitwise's Head of Research for Europe: BTC Is Likely to Bottom Out Earlier Than the Market's General Expectation of October
Svmuu News: André Dragosch, Head of Research for Europe at Bitwise, said that July appears to be the turning point for BTC’s shift from a bear market to a bull market, and that Federal Reserves might
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board announced it has issued an enforcement action, specifically a Written Agreement dated July 15, 2026, with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Iuka State Bank,
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Bitcoin Ethereum's stock price rose after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
On Thursday, July 30, 2026, the prices of Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose. This followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin The price rose from an opening level of $63
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Hassett: Still Has Confidence in Warsh 'Of Course'
Economist Kevin Hassett stated that he still has confidence in Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Board Governor.
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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Hassett: "Very Bullish" on Fed Policy Direction
Former White House economic advisor Hassett stated he is "very bullish" on the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy, believing it is moving in the proper direction.
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