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Morgan Stanley: Three Factors That Could End the Summer Rally in U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News: Andrew Heitz, head of global fixed-income research at Morgan Stanley, said the bank is closely monitoring three major obstacles that could cause stock markets to stumble this summer; histo
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Strategist: Federal Reserve—A rate hike in July is unlikely
Svmuu News: Investors are increasingly concerned that the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision could be a 25-basis-point rate hike, possibly as early as this month, but Phil Orlando, chief market st
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.9%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.9%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.1%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Kevin Warsh has assembled a team of external experts to review the Federal Reserve monetary policy framework
Svmuu News: Kevin Warsh, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has formed five working groups to conduct a comprehensive review of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Reserve monetary policy framework, covering
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Federal Reserve Announcement of the Leadership and Objectives of Five Working Groups
Svmuu News Federal Reserve announced the leadership and objectives of the working groups. Warsh, Chair of the Federal Reserve, stated that the goal of the working groups is to position the Federal Res
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Federal Reserve Logan: A Voluntary Central Clearing Mechanism May Improve the Efficiency of Open Market Operations
Svmuu News: Dallas Fed President Logan stated that if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were to conduct open market operations through a voluntary central clearing mechanism, it would help impr
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Federal Reserve The volume of overnight reverse repo agreements rose to $5.772 billion
Svmuu News Federal Reserve: The volume of overnight reverse repo agreements (RRPs) stood at $5.772 billion on Thursday, compared with $3.347 billion on the previous trading day.
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Anthropic Hires Former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke as a Member of Its Oversight Trust Committee
Svmuu News: Anthropic has appointed Ben Bernanke, former chairman of the Federal Reserve, as a member of its “Long-Term Benefit Trust.” This oversight body is designed to ensure that the AI company re
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In the week ending July 4, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 218,000.
Svmuu News: In the week ending July 4, initial jobless claims in the U.S. totaled 215,000, compared with an expected 218,000. (Jin Shi)
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Oil Prices Rise Nearly 10% Over Three Days as Markets Weigh Optimism Over AI Chips Against Risks of War with Iran
Svmuu News: Cointelegraph posted on X that the market is weighing optimism over AI chips against heightened risks of war with Iran; oil prices have risen nearly 10% in three days, and investors are in
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Svmuu Noon News
1. The U.S. military launched strikes against approximately 90 military targets in Iran; 2. Pantera Capital: Hyperliquid’s potential market size reaches $10 trillion in daily trading volume, with regu
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Barclays: Federal Reserves May Remain Unchanged Until the End of 2027
Svmuu News: According to Barclays’ baseline forecast, the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through the end of 2027. However, Barclays’ strategists still believe the risks are tilted
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. SK Hynix is expected to list on Nasdaq on July 10 via a pre-IPO trading arrangement; 2. Ansem shares a screenshot: The number of ANSEM token-holding addresses has surpassed 122,000, just one step a
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Bloomberg ETF Analyst: Federal Reserve May Buy Stock ETFs in the Future; U.S. Stocks Are Now Too Big to Fail
Svmuu News: Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on X that he released a report today—one he had been working on for several months—suggesting that the U.S. stock market may have become too lar
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In June, the New York Fed's 1-year inflation forecast stood at 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously.
Svmuu News: The New York Fed’s one-year inflation forecast for June was 3.67%, up from 3.46% previously. The New York Fed’s three-year inflation forecast for June rose to 3.3%, reaching its highest le
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Federal Reserve Williams: We Expect to Continue Seeing Strong Investment in AI
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Williams stated that strong investment in artificial intelligence is expected to continue, risks in the labor market are relatively balanced, the outlook for inflation has b
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Bitget CFD Chief Analyst: Expectations for Interest Rate Hikes Are Cooling; Technical Analysis Will Fully Take Over Market Trends
Svmuu News: Lewis Huang, Chief Analyst of Bitget CFD, pointed out during a live online broadcast titled “Interest Rate Hike Expectations Cool: Technical Analysis Takes Over the Trend” that global fina
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Core PCE inflation may be revised downward by 0.2 percentage points; the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will adjust some of the methods used to calculate the PCE index
Svmuu News: The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently announced that it will adjust certain calculation methods for the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price
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Federal Reserve The probability that interest rates will remain unchanged in July is 74.3%
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 74.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 25.7%. Federal Reserve The prob
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Institution: U.S. Earnings Season Is About to Begin; Investors Are Watching How High Oil Prices Will Affect Corporate Costs and Profit Margins
Svmuu News: Investment firm Summit Place Financial Advisors stated that the market expects companies’ second-quarter earnings to be generally strong, but investors will focus on the impact of high oil
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Federal Reserve Board Member Waller: Federal Reserve Will Not Deliberately Maintain Low Interest Rates
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Board Member Waller stated that Federal Reserve the Federal Reserve would not deliberately maintain low interest rates to help the U.S. government finance its budget deficit
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Federal Reserve Waller put forward “two considerations” regarding monetary policy: initial conditions and forward guidance determine the effectiveness of transmission.
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Waller presented “two points of consideration” regarding the monetary policy transmission mechanism, emphasizing that the effectiveness of policy depends on initial conditio
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As oil prices fell, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed and the dollar strengthened
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, the U.S. Dollar Index is currently up 0.2%. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note stands at 4.459%, higher than last Thursday’s closing yield of 4.447%. The y
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Analysis: Bitcoin Bullish sentiment is supported by easing inflation expectations; the market is focused on July’s CPI data
Svmuu News: The crypto market continues to stabilize, with the Bitcoin rising nearly 7% in the week ending July 5, marking its strongest weekly performance since March. This rally was primarily driven
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board announced it has issued an enforcement action, specifically a Written Agreement dated July 15, 2026, with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Iuka State Bank,
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Bitcoin Ethereum's stock price rose after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
On Thursday, July 30, 2026, the prices of Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose. This followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin The price rose from an opening level of $63
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Hassett: Still Has Confidence in Warsh 'Of Course'
Economist Kevin Hassett stated that he still has confidence in Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Board Governor.
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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Hassett: "Very Bullish" on Fed Policy Direction
Former White House economic advisor Hassett stated he is "very bullish" on the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy, believing it is moving in the proper direction.
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