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Federal Reserve
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Before the CPI data is released, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 63.1%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch,” the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through July is 63.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: U.S. CPI may post negative month-over-month growth, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike; 2. Samsung Electronics is reportedly conducting preliminary research i
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Analyst: U.S. CPI may post a month-over-month decline, which would ease market concerns about an imminent Fed rate hike
Svmuu News: Analyst Matthew Weller said that whether inflation has peaked is the market’s top concern ahead of the June CPI report.For the first time in three months, the Strait of Hormuz was partiall
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Fed Spokesperson: Core CPI Is More Important to the Fed
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” posted on X that economists expect the U.S. overall CPI for June to decline, likely driven by falling energy prices. However, the Fed is cur
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller favors setting the inflation target within the 1.5%–2.5% range
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he favors setting an inflation target as a range rather than the current single target of 2 percent, and personally prefers a range of 1.5 perce
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The market now estimates that the probability of a Fed rate hike in July has risen to 50 percent
Svmuu News: Market expectations indicate that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this month has risen to 50%. U.S. short-term interest rate futures show that the probability
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Waller Sets the Tone for Tuesday’s CPI Report: High Inflation Will Support Near-Term Rate Hikes
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller said Monday that if future data indicate inflation remains well above the 2% target, the Fed may need to raise interest rates “in the near term.” He said cu
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Spot gold fell below the $4,000 mark for the first time since July 1
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, spot gold continued to decline, breaking below the $4,000 per ounce threshold for the first time since July 1, falling more than 2.8% on the day.This follows U.S. P
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Federal Reserve Governor Waller: If core inflation continues to decline—which remains a plausible scenario—he would support keeping interest rates unchanged
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if core inflation continues to decline—which remains a reasonable scenario—he will continue to support keeping interest rates unchanged. He expe
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The market has almost fully priced in expectations of a Fed rate hike in September
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that expectations of at least one interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve by September have been almost fully priced in, and two rate hikes by the end of March n
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Mitsubishi UFJ: Upcoming U.S. inflation data may curb the dollar's strength
Svmuu News: Lee Hardman, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ, said in a report that the U.S. dollar could weaken if data released on Tuesday shows that core inflation pressures in the U.S. remained moderate
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Fed Chair Warsh May Face the Decision of Whether to Reverse Last Year's Rate Cuts
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece,” wrote that last month, Warsh presided over his first meeting as Fed Chair, during which the Fed unanimously decided to keep interest rates u
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Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds hit a 17-month high, as the market anticipates a 39-basis-point rate hike by December
Svmuu News: The yield on two-year U.S. Treasury notes hit a 17-month high of 4.2393%, while federal funds rate futures indicate that the market expects a 39-basis-point rate hike by December.
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. U.S. lawmakers plan to release a new draft of the Crypto Market Structure Act this week; 2. CZ’s donation address has burned 700 million CZ and 400 million TCC; 3. Fox Business crypto reporter: Thi
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This week will see the release of the U.S. CPI, China’s second-quarter GDP, and the Federal Reserve’s semi-annual monetary policy report hearing.
Svmuu News: Key events and data this week include the U.S. June CPI and core CPI figures, China’s second-quarter GDP annual growth rate, and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book on economic conditions,Fed
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Fox Business Crypto Reporter: This week, we’ll be watching CPI, PPI, Fed remarks, and progress on the Clarity Act
Svmuu News: A Fox Business crypto reporter posted on X, noting that this week will see a flurry of economic data, Fed remarks, and further clarity on the status of the Clarity Act. Key items to watch
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Custodia Files Petition with the U.S. Supreme Court to Advance Its Six-Year Dispute with the Federal Reserve Over a Master Account
Svmuu News: Custodia Bank has filed a petition for review with the U.S. Supreme Court, seeking clarification on whether the presidents of regional Federal Reserve Banks have the authority to deny mast
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Housing bill containing a provision banning CBDCs officially takes effect; Donald Trump—even without the president’s signature—becomes law
Svmuu News: The U.S. “21st Century ROAD to Housing Act” has officially taken effect, and it includes provisions prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Acc
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Marc Andreessen, Co-Founder of a16z, Joins the Federal Reserve’s AI Working Group
Svmuu News: The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that Marc Andreessen, co-founder of a16z, will join the “Productivity and Employment” working group led by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to
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Federal Reserve: AI-related investments are driving strong growth in output, while uncertainty surrounding the war in Iran remains a major risk
Svmuu News Federal Reserve The semi-annual report indicates that U.S. economic activity will continue to expand steadily overall in 2026, driven primarily by high-tech investment and government spendi
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Federal Reserve Semiannual Report: Inflation Remains High, M2 Money Supply Growth Rate Moderate
Svmuu News Federal Reserve released a semi-annual report, which noted that the labor market remains generally stable, with “solid” nominal wage growth accompanied by “strong” productivity gains; bank
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Analyst: SK Hynix’s U.S. IPO Boosts Confidence in AI Hardware Investments; 2. Strategist: Federal Reserve Unlikely to Raise Rates in July; 3. LAB Plummets 94% in Three Days; Suspected Insider Trans
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Morgan Stanley: Three Factors That Could End the Summer Rally in U.S. Stocks
Svmuu News: Andrew Heitz, head of global fixed-income research at Morgan Stanley, said the bank is closely monitoring three major obstacles that could cause stock markets to stumble this summer; histo
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Strategist: Federal Reserve—A rate hike in July is unlikely
Svmuu News: Investors are increasingly concerned that the Federal Reserve’s next policy decision could be a 25-basis-point rate hike, possibly as early as this month, but Phil Orlando, chief market st
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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USD/KRW is up 1.16% from its previous close, currently trading at 1,356.9045
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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