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Federal Reserve
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The cost of hedging against the U.S. dollar has fallen to its lowest level this year, as the market bets that risks to the reserve currency are limited in the short term
Svmuu News: As the market assesses a lower likelihood of a major shock to the U.S. dollar in the short term, the cost for investors to hedge against dollar volatility has fallen to its lowest level th
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Fed’s Hamak: There Is No Conflict Between the Fed’s Dual Mandates
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Hammack stated that there is no conflict between the Fed’s dual mandates. Persistently high inflation is the greater cause for concern. The labor market is nearing
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Analysis: Expectations of interest rate hikes, combined with a shift in capital flows, have led tech giants to lead the decline in the broader U.S. stock market.
Svmuu News: On Friday, the three major U.S. stock indices opened lower, with tech stocks falling across the board.the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index has fallen more than 20% from its all-time closin
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Spot gold has fallen back below $3,970 per ounce
Svmuu News: According to Gate data, spot gold has fallen back below $3,970 per ounce, down 0.16% on the day. Goldman Sachspreviously noted that, despite pressure from expectations of a hawkish Federal
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Goldman Sachs: Central Bank Buying Will Support Gold Prices
Svmuu News Goldman Sachs reports that, despite pressure from expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve, central bank buying is expected to provide support for gold prices.Demand remains strong; accord
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The Financial Supervisory Service of South Korea will monitor brokerage firms’ margin trading and securities lending and borrowing activities to prevent retail investors’ losses from escalating.
Svmuu News: The Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) of South Korea has called on financial institutions to strengthen market stability and proactive risk management. Regarding the stock market, the FS
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Federal Reserve Vice Chair: If Inflation Doesn't Ease in the Short Term, We May Need to Reconsider Our Policy Stance
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson stated that if inflation does not cool down soon, interest rate hikes should be considered, but the current monetary policy is sound. In remarks prepar
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Federal Reserve's Schmid: Recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Schmid stated that recent inflation data is encouraging, but it is still too early to draw conclusions. When formulating monetary policy, it is time to stop exclud
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Fed's Logan: Interest Rates Should Be Raised to Combat Inflation
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve official Logan stated that the Fed should raise interest rates to combat high inflation. June inflation data showed that price increases were slowing, but not enough to con
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Deutsche Bank: If the Fed Opts for Quantitative Tightening Rather Than Interest Rate Hikes, the Dollar Could Weaken
Svmuu News: Deutsche Bank analyst George Saravelos noted in a report that if the Federal Reserve shifts its policy focus from raising interest rates to reducing its balance sheet (i.e., quantitative t
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Analysis: The Federal Reserve is likely to keep rates on hold, as inflation remains an unpredictable economic variable
Svmuu News: Federated Hermes fund manager Karen Manna stated in a report that the firm continues to believe the Federal Reserve will largely hold rates steady, while inflation remains one of the most
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QCP Capital: Divergence Between Surface-Level Narratives and Underlying Data in the Oil, Interest Rate, and Crypto Markets
Svmuu News: QCP Capital released a macroeconomic report stating that the most notable feature of this week’s market was growing divergence, with situations arising in the oil, interest rate, and crypt
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Natixis expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged throughout 2026
Svmuu News: Christopher Hodge, former chief economist at the New York Fed and chief U.S. economist at Natixis, said that Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish start could create a “credibility trap.” Christopher
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The Federal Reserve's use of overnight reverse repurchase agreements fell to $151 million on Wednesday.
Svmuu News: The Federal Reserve's use of its overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) program stood at $151 million on Wednesday, down from $278 million on the previous trading day.
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There is an 88.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch” data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 88.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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Federal Reserve Governor Cook: Ready to Take Action If Inflation Doesn't Slow Down Soon
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Cook said Wednesday that it would be prudent to wait for inflation to ease for a while, but that the Fed is prepared to take action if inflation does not slow down
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Wash said that Donald Trump had no impact on the Fed's policy
Svmuu News: When asked if he had spoken with Donald Trump, Federal Reserve Chair Wash said he had “no comment” and did not wish to share the details of their conversation. He said that President Donal
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Federal Reserve Chair: AI Is Expected to Drive Up Observable Price Levels Over the Next 12 Months
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash, testifying before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs at a hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stated
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Wash: Recent inflation data do not fully reflect underlying inflation trends
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that recent inflation data do not perfectly reflect underlying inflation trends. (Jin Shi)
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Fed's Williams: Inflation Remains Too High; Expected to Return to 2% Target in 2028
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve’s Williams stated that inflation is undoubtedly still too high at around 4%, and that efforts must continue to bring it back down to the 2% target; the current monetary pol
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U.S. CPI Fell 0.4% Month-Over-Month in June; BTC Rose to $64,900
Svmuu News: U.S. CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month in June, marking the largest monthly decline since April 2020; the year-over-year rate dropped from 4.2% in May to 3.5%, below the expected 3.8%. Core C
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Director of the White House National Economic Council: Data Shows the Federal Reserve Has No Reason to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that the data shows the Federal Reserve has no reason to raise interest rates; he believes Warsh will guide the Feder
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Analyst: If Oil Prices Stabilize, the U.S. Tech Sector May Benefit
Svmuu News: Patrick Munnelly of Tickmill Group noted in a report that the U.S. technology sector could benefit if oil prices stabilize and investors scale back their expectations for Federal Reserve i
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. U.S. June unadjusted CPI annual rate: 3.5%, vs. expectations of 3.8% and a previous reading of 4.20%; 2. Changxin Technology: Offering price set at 8.66 yuan per share; online and offline subscript
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board announced it has issued an enforcement action, specifically a Written Agreement dated July 15, 2026, with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Iuka State Bank,
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Bitcoin Ethereum's stock price rose after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
On Thursday, July 30, 2026, the prices of Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose. This followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin The price rose from an opening level of $63
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Hassett: Still Has Confidence in Warsh 'Of Course'
Economist Kevin Hassett stated that he still has confidence in Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Board Governor.
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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Hassett: "Very Bullish" on Fed Policy Direction
Former White House economic advisor Hassett stated he is "very bullish" on the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy, believing it is moving in the proper direction.
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