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Federal Reserve
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CICC: We maintain our baseline forecast that the Fed will not raise interest rates this year, but the threshold for a rate hike has already been lowered.
Svmuu News CICC: According to a research report, the U.S. CPI for June fell 0.4% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis, while the year-over-year increase slowed to 3.5%; core CPI showed zero
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Federal Reserve Governor: The Fed Should Not Overly Interfere with Banks’ Adoption of New Technologies Such as AI
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that lenders have a better understanding of the risks posed by innovation and should be allowed to decide for themselves when to adopt new technologi
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Kevin Warsh: The Federal Reserve Is Reluctant to Bail Out Cryptocurrencies or Stablecoins
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on July 14 that the Fed has no intention of providing a bailout if a run occurs in the cryptocur
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Will Firmly Support the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash said he will firmly support the 2% inflation target. (Jin Shi)
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June CPI data support the market view that the likelihood of a Fed rate hike is overestimated
Svmuu News: Tony Welch of SignatureFD said the market has overestimated the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike. Following weak CPI inflation data in June, the futures market has priced in a low
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Don’t assume everything is fine just because today’s CPI report is out
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that today’s data does not mean “the job is done.” We should not assume that everything is fine just because today’s CPI report has been released. Artific
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Wash: The two aspects of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate—price stability and maximum employment—are not in conflict with each other
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash outlined his views on the economy. Wash stated that economic conditions are robust and financial markets appear to be functioning well, but the housing market ha
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Wash: The Federal Reserve can start seriously considering when to begin purchasing Treasury debt
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated, “The Fed can begin to seriously consider when to purchase Treasury debt; I don’t think we can return to the 2006 level of our balance sheet.” (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Chair: Does Not Want to Get Involved in Bailouts
Svmuu News: When asked whether he would bail out cryptocurrencies or stablecoins, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh said he did not want to get involved in bailouts and hoped to be in a position wh
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Wash Emphasizes Monetary Policy Independence and Reaffirms Commitment to the 2% Inflation Target
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash reiterated his commitment not to provide forward guidance on interest rates during a hearing on Tuesday, with his testimony making almost no mention of interest
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Federal Reserve Chair: Any Changes to Balance Sheet Policy Will Be Announced in Advance
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated at a House hearing that the Federal Reserve has the commitment, the capability, and the responsibility to fulfill the mandate entrusted to it by the Commi
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Will Re-examine Inflation Framework; Inflation Target Set at 2%
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash testified at a House Financial Services Committee hearing on the “Federal Reserve’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report,” stating that he hopes for broader economi
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U.S. CPI Falls to 3.5% in June; Bitcoins Rebound to Nearly $64,000
Svmuu News: U.S. CPI for June fell to 3.5% year-over-year, below market expectations of 3.8% and down from 4.2% in May.Following the release of the data, the Bitcoin rebounded intraday to nearly $64,0
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Hassett: Core Inflation Momentum in the U.S. Is Approaching the Fed’s Target
Svmuu News: Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, stated that the momentum of core inflation in the U.S. is approaching the Federal Reserve’s target, and the latest inflation
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Traders have pushed back their expectations for a Fed rate hike to October
Svmuu News: According to market reports, traders have pushed back expectations for a Fed rate hike to October.
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Following the release of the CPI data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 83.4%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “FedWatch,” the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through July is 83.4%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basi
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CPI Data Comes in Below Expectations; Odds of a Fed Rate Hike in July Drop to 20%
Svmuu News: As consumer price data came in below expectations, traders pulled back on their bets on a Fed rate hike, driving U.S. Treasury prices sharply higher. The yield on the two-year Treasury not
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Cautious About the AI Boom
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash is optimistic about the overall economic situation. He believes the labor market is generally stable, with virtually no layoffs, and that nominal wages have also
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Nick Timiraos, the “Fed’s mouthpiece”: June CPI data showed moderate gains across the board
Svmuu News: Nick Timiraos, known as the “Fed’s mouthpiece”: June CPI data showed moderate gains across the board. Core goods prices fell for the second consecutive month, dropping 0.09%. Housing price
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Wash: The Federal Reserve's top priority is to get monetary policy right
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that the Fed’s top priority is to get monetary policy right—or as close to right as possible. If we choose the right policy, the surge in inflation over t
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U.S. CPI Falls for the First Time Since 2020, Easing Pressure on the Fed to Raise Interest Rates
Svmuu News: U.S. consumer prices fell in June for the first time in six years, and a key measure of underlying inflation remained largely unchanged, which has somewhat eased pressure on the Federal Re
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Federal Reserve Chair Wash: Monitoring the Impact of AI on Inflation and the Labor Market
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chair Wash stated that the opportunities presented by AI pose challenges for policymakers and that the Fed is monitoring the impact of AI on inflation and the labor market.
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Traders Have Significantly Reduced Their Bets on a Fed Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Following the release of U.S. inflation data for June, U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply, and traders significantly scaled back their bets on a Fed rate hike.
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Bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month have been scaled back
Svmuu News: Market pricing indicates that bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this month have been scaled back. The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell 10 basis points on the day to 4.18%. (
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Fed Hawks Push for More Rate Hikes, Driving US 10-Year Yield to 4.727% (Highest Since Jan 2025); BOJ Holds Rates But Signals Future Hikes
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, publicly advocated for further interes
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Fed Governor Lorie Logan Backs Immediate 25 Basis Point Rate Hike, Citing Inflation Off Track from 2% Target
US Federal Reserve Governor Lorie Logan stated her preference for an immediate 25 basis point rate hike, arguing that inflation is not on track to sustainably return to the Fed's 2% target. Logan emph
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Federal Reserve Board seeks comment on proposal to modernize rules for bank insider credit
The Federal Reserve Board has requested public comment on a proposal to modernize its Regulation O, which governs the extension of credit to bank 'insiders' including executives, board members, and ma
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Federal Reserve Board Proposes to Modernize Rules Governing Mutual Banks and Seeks Public Comment
On Friday, July 31, the Federal Reserve Board issued a proposal aimed at modernizing the regulatory rules governing mutual banks and sought public comment on the matter. These institutions are owned b
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Fed Dissenters Explain Support for Higher Rates, Citing Persistent Inflation
Federal Reserve officials who dissented from the recent policy decision explained their rationale for backing higher interest rates, pointing to inflation having exceeded the Fed's 2% target for over
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Fed Holds Rates Steady, But Market Odds for a September Hike Rise to 53%
The US Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates, but market expectations for a September rate hike have increased. Despite the Fed holding rates steady and offering no guidance, Kalshi now prices
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Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
Cleveland Fed President Hammack preferred to take action at recent meeting, viewing current policy as not restrictive enough.
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Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari Prefers Incremental Policy Tightening to Combat Inflation Risk
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated he would rather tighten policy incrementally as more data on inflation and employment becomes available, to manage the risk of high inflation becoming en
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Bitcoin Sentiment in the options market has turned bearish, with the $60,000 put option expiring in August becoming the most popular trade on Deribit.
As July came to a close, the Bitcoins options market saw significant changes. On Deribit, the world’s largest cryptocurrency options exchange, the August-expiring Bitcoin put option (a position that h
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Bitcoin and Ether Fall as July Ends, While Equities Rally; Broader Crypto Market Still Poised for Best Month in a Year
Bitcoin (BTC) fell 1.31% to $63,870 and Ether (ETH) dropped 1.40% to $1,890 as July drew to a close. This divergence occurred as equities rallied, with South Korea's Kospi surging over 15% and U.S. in
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U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed Decision
U.S. Treasury yields rose, particularly short-dated yields, as investors continued to process the Federal Reserve's decision on Wednesday to keep interest rates unchanged and Chairman Kevin Warsh's st
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RBC's Calvasina: Fresh Volatility in U.S. Stocks Presents 'Valuation Opportunity'
RBC analyst Calvasina states that recent volatility in U.S. stocks is creating a "valuation opportunity" for investors. He adds that it is normal for equities to face challenges during Federal Reserve
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The dollar may post its worst performance in three months this week amid market concerns that the Federal Reserve is failing to curb inflation effectively
The U.S. dollar is on track for its worst week in three months, largely due to growing market concerns about whether the Federal Reserve can effectively curb inflation.
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White House officials have spoken out one after another: Hassett said the PCE data makes things “easier” for Fed Chair Wash, while Navarro called on the Fed to consider cutting interest rates
Kevin Hassett, Director of the White House National Economic Council, said that the recently released inflation data (the June PCE price index) has made Fed Chair Wash’s job “a little easier” and expr
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Investors doubt former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's confidence in the Fed's inflation-fighting resolve
Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh insists the Fed will do whatever it takes to reduce U.S. inflation to its 2% target. However, investors are reportedly skeptical of the central bank's resol
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Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady in July, Wall Street Reacts Negatively on Inflation Fears
The U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-3 on July 29 to hold benchmark short-term interest rates steady. Despite the pause, Wall Street reacted negatively, with the Dow
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Bitcoin presses toward $65,000 as Treasuries out-yield carry trade for only second time on record
Bitcoin firmed toward $65,000 on Thursday. This movement occurred as softer economic data eased fears of a September interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve, with spot trading volume near multi-y
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement actions against former employees of Regions Bank and First Interstate Bank
The Federal Reserve Board on Thursday announced it has issued consent prohibition orders against Simon Alberto Gonzalez, a former employee of Regions Bank, and Ralph A. Mojica, a former employee of Fi
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Federal Reserve Board issues enforcement action with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and The Iuka State Bank
The U.S. Federal Reserve Board announced it has issued an enforcement action, specifically a Written Agreement dated July 15, 2026, with Iuka Bancshares, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Iuka State Bank,
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Bitcoin Ethereum's stock price rose after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged
On Thursday, July 30, 2026, the prices of Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose. This followed the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged. Bitcoin The price rose from an opening level of $63
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Hassett: Still Has Confidence in Warsh 'Of Course'
Economist Kevin Hassett stated that he still has confidence in Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Board Governor.
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Kevin Hassett: Today's inflation data makes Warsh's job 'a bit easier'
Former White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that today's inflation data has made the job of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh 'a bit easier'.
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Global stocks rebound on tech earnings and steady US inflation data, while 30-year Treasury yield nears 2007 high
Global stocks rebounded on Thursday, supported by better-than-expected U.S. inflation data and Microsoft's earnings report, which eased some concerns about AI spending. The Personal Consumption Expend
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Hassett: "Very Bullish" on Fed Policy Direction
Former White House economic advisor Hassett stated he is "very bullish" on the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy, believing it is moving in the proper direction.
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