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FED'S BARKIN: MAY BE MOVING INTO A WORLD OF GREATER INSTABILITY
FED'S BARKIN: MAY BE MOVING INTO A WORLD OF GREATER INSTABILITY
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Bitcoin broke through $65,000 to approximately $65,200, up nearly 2% on the day, after US non-farm payrolls in July unexpectedly decreased by 23,000, significantly lower than the anticipated increase of 80,000.
The "huge surprise" in employment data prompted traders to re-evaluate the possibility of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised down June's dat
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BlackRock's Rick Rieder: July US employment report makes Fed rate hike 'not make sense right now', rate cut still possible this year
Rick Rieder, CIO of global fixed income at BlackRock, stated on Bloomberg that the July US employment report likely takes a Federal Reserve rate hike off the table. He added that a rate cut is still p
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Nick Timiraos: July employment report is complex for Fed to interpret; evidence of non-reaccelerating labor market could temper next month's rate hike case, but inflation data remains key.
Nick Timiraos comments that the July employment report presents a complex picture for the Federal Reserve, noting that new evidence of a non-reaccelerating labor market could weaken the argument for a
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US Treasuries Rally After Employers Unexpectedly Cut Jobs in July, Trimming Fed Rate-Hike Bets
US Treasuries Rally After Employers Unexpectedly Cut Jobs in July, Trimming Fed Rate-Hike Bets
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US July Nonfarm Payrolls Fall 23K M/M; Est. +80K
US July Nonfarm Payrolls Fall 23K M/M; Est. +80K
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Barclays says the "Sell America" trade is resurfacing in dollar and US bond markets
Barclays attributes the return of this trade to uncertainty over Fed policy, a potential yen carry-trade unwind, and concerns over AI spending, which are driving volatility. Despite this, US equities
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Natixis Chief U.S. Economist Hodge: Upcoming employment data will not change the Federal Reserve's thinking
Christopher Hodge anticipates the upcoming US jobs report will show a modest increase in the unemployment rate.
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Synchrony Bank offers the highest CD rate today at 4.15% APY for its 14-month CD
The highest certificate of deposit (CD) rate available today, August 7, 2026, is 4.15% APY, offered by Synchrony Bank for its 14-month CD. This comes as CD rates have generally been declining due to t
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Trump: The Fed's interest rate decisions do not depend entirely on Warsh; its board is “highly politicized”
Trump: The Fed's interest rate decisions do not depend entirely on Warsh; its board is "highly politicized"
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The U.S. Department of Labor will release its July employment report today. Economists expect 83,000 new jobs to have been added, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.2%. U.S. stock futures are trading higher.
The U.S. Department of Labor is set to release its July employment report today at 8:30 AM ET. The market generally expects the U.S. economy to have added 83,000 jobs in July, up from 57,000 in June,
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Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
Bond traders are focused on Friday's labor market data, which could influence expectations for a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve.
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US sold euros to prop up yen without European Central Bank (ECB)'s knowledge, sparking rare trust crisis among major Western central banks
US sold euros to prop up yen without European Central Bank (ECB)'s knowledge, sparking rare trust crisis among major Western central banks
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Fed’s FIMA Repo Facility Went Unused for 8th Straight Week, suggesting Japan didn’t use the tool in its latest effort to support the yen
Fed’s FIMA Repo Facility Went Unused for 8th Straight Week, suggesting Japan didn’t use the tool in its latest effort to support the yen
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Analysis: Trump's close relationship with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh creates economic risks for the central bank's independence
An analysis suggests that Trump's reported repeated phone calls to Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, treating him as an ally, could complicate the central bank's efforts to demonstrate independence on inflati
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EY-Parthenon expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged through year-end, citing a stable labor market despite Wall Street's payroll expectations.
EY-Parthenon believes the labor market remains stable and is unlikely to shift the Fed's focus, even after Friday's jobs report. The firm states that only broader, more persistent inflation or a meani
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Federal Reserve officials have begun discussing the frenetic pace of AI investment and its potential financial risks, but views are divided.
New York Fed President John Williams stated that he does not believe the current situation is a "bubble" but rather excitement and enthusiasm surrounding new technologies. He added that despite increa
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David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital trimmed its SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) stake to 99,611 shares in Q1 2026, while Daniel Loeb's Third Point opened a new 95,000-share position in the same quarter
Einhorn, a prominent gold bull, sold into strength as rising real yields (10-year real yield at 4.75% with the Fed paused at 3.75%) eroded gold's appeal. Conversely, Loeb's new position is seen as a h
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USD/JPY rose 0.41% to 158.41, with markets focused on progress in the Iran deal and the US non-farm payrolls report.
USD/JPY rose on Thursday, trading at 158.41, marking its third consecutive day of gains after falling to a 13-week low of 155.20 on Monday. Markets are closely watching details of a proposed agreement
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AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%
AAII Investor Sentiment Turns More Bullish After Fed Pause, Bullish Sentiment Rises to 37.0% and Bull-Bear Spread Improves to -0.9%. Bearish sentiment fell 4.1 percentage points to 38.0%, while neutra
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Bank of America Warns Fed Chair Warsh Faces 'Credibility Shock' After FOMC Split Decision
Bank of America cautioned that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is facing an emerging-market-style "credibility shock" following the FOMC's 9-3 split decision to hold the fed funds upper bound at 3.7
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U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren questioned the Federal Reserve's upcoming adjustment to its PCE inflation measurement method, which could lower reported inflation by about 0.2 percentage points.
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren is seeking details on upcoming adjustments to the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. The new metho
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated the central bank has "no tolerance" for persistently elevated inflation, leading to an 840-point drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, presiding over his second meeting, maintained current interest rates. He reiterated in a session with Congress that he and his committee "have no tolerance for persistently elev
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BNP Paribas Sees Gold Hitting $5,000 Within 12 Months, Citing Trump's Fed Pressure and Dollar Weakness
The bank's wealth management division forecasts over 20% upside from current levels, projecting a 3.5% decline in the dollar over the same period. This outlook is also supported by World Gold Council
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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What Elements Are Included in Tokenomics? How to Use It to Identify Valuable Digital Currencies
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Why are various blockchain protocols launching native stablecoins?
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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Where to Find Reliable USDT Trading Software: Top Exchange References and Selection Criteria
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What is DAFI Token? A Comprehensive Guide to DAFI Protocol and Synthetic Token Mechanics
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Why 1WO Price Predictions Are Unreliable: Current Status and Liquidity Analysis of 1World Online
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
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