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Federal Reserve
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September Fed rate hike fears appear overblown as probability stands at just 58%, not 90%
Despite Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish speech on Friday, the odds of a rate hike in September remain below 60%, with observers downplaying fears of tightening.
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L&G Strategist Ben Bennett Calls Fed Chair Warsh's Latest Speech "Pragmatic," Says Inflation Control Will Benefit US Economic Growth
L&G Asia Head of Investment Strategy Ben Bennett describes Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's latest Jackson Hole speech as "pragmatic," noting that controlling inflation will benefit US economic expansion. He s
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Japan's benchmark bond yields rise to 2.95%, a 30-year high, and yen weakens after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks
Japan's benchmark bond yields touched a 30-year high on Monday, with the yen showing renewed signs of weakness, as markets interpreted U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's August 28 Jackson Hole r
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China's 10-year bond yield falls to 1.692% on Monday, near one-year low, diverging from US Treasuries as Fed Chair Warsh strikes hawkish tone
The yield on China's 10-year government bond traded at 1.692% on Monday, approaching its lowest in a year after July economic figures trailed analysts' estimates. This divergence from the US bond mark
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Gold rose about 10% in August, but investors are betting more cautiously.
According to Bloomberg, gold has risen by approximately 10% in August, poised for its largest monthly gain since January this year. However, compared to the frenzy at the beginning of the year, invest
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Morgan Stanley predicts the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction could exceed $1.5 trillion next year, suggesting that market pricing for rate hikes following Kevin Warsh's speech might be overlooking the impact of quantitative tightening.
Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist, noted in his latest report that after Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh reiterated his commitment to bringing inflation back to 2% at Jackson Hole
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The Nikkei 225 fell 2.2% to 64,930.03 points, dragged down by chip stocks, as comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh on Friday increased the prospect of a US interest rate hike.
Chip-related stocks led the decline, with Advantest falling 7.8%, SoftBank Group down 4.2%, and Tokyo Electron dropping 3.8%. Meanwhile, the USD/JPY rose to 160.00. Investors are closely monitoring th
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Gold steadies after tumbling over 3% on Friday as former Fed Governor Warsh's remarks spur rate-hike bets
Gold prices stabilized after falling more than 3% on Friday. This came as former US Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh's pledge to fight inflation boosted expectations that the US central bank will
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Japan's Yen Falls to 160.16 Against Dollar Despite $97 Billion Intervention, Analysts Warn of Bitcoin Sell-Off Risk
The Japanese yen weakened to 160.16 per dollar on Friday, giving up over half its gains since last month's intervention, despite Japan spending approximately $97 billion (¥15.4 trillion) between July
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Bond Investors Wary After Fed Chairman Warsh Hints at Rate Hike
Bond investors at firms including ABN AMRO Investment Solutions and Brandywine Global Investment Management are voicing skepticism about mounting speculation that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh
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Cracks Emerge at Jackson Hole: European Central Bank (ECB) officials express "fury" over the U.S. Treasury's unannounced sale of euros, purchase of yen, and increased issuance of long-term bond buybacks, fearing that dollar swap lines could "disappear overnight."
According to an August 30 Reuters report, following the conclusion of the global central bank symposium, European Central Bank (ECB) officials expressed unease regarding two recent unconventional oper
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US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Intervenes in USD/JPY and Long-End Treasuries; Goldman Sachs Says Authorities Will Prioritize Currency Depreciation Over Bond Market Collapse
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent intervened in both the USD/JPY exchange rate and the long-end of the U.S. Treasury market in August. Through measures such as "Operation Twist," a clear signal wa
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Krugman: "Obvious Contradiction" Between Fed Chair Warsh and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Monetary Policy Tools
Nobel laureate Paul Krugman commented on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's inaugural Jackson Hole speech on August 29, noting that Warsh emphasized short-term interest rates as the primary tool a
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on the inflation outlook on September 3, and the market will use this to calibrate the September interest rate path.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is scheduled to speak on the inflation outlook on September 3. Analysts believe this could be the most important official speech before the September FOMC m
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Fed Chair Warsh charts a forward-looking path for the Fed at Jackson Hole, potentially marking a shift in the central bank's approach
Fed Chair Warsh charts a forward-looking path for the Fed at Jackson Hole, potentially marking a shift in the central bank's approach
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Barclays Analysis: Small-cap and financial stocks underperform after the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle begins, while energy and value stocks outperform.
Barclays' analysis of the five Federal Reserve tightening cycles since 1994 reveals that within one quarter of the first rate hike, the S&P 500 median fell by 3.9%, and the Russell 2000 small-cap inde
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New Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation stems from fiscal deficits and money creation, rather than rising worker wages.
In his inaugural Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair, Warsh refuted the notion that inflation is caused by excessive worker wages, arguing instead that price pressures stem from government sp
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IMF's Georgieva Praises Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech, Discusses 'Stubborn' Inflation
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated that Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh "did a great job" in his Jackson Hole speech. She also discussed whether recent inflation pressures indicate
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Morgan Stanley's Slimmon: Fed Rate Hike Threat Shifting Stock Market Leadership
Andrew Slimmon, managing director and head of applied equity advisors at Morgan Stanley, stated he is pleased with Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole. Slimmon believes the ongo
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The Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh stated at the Jackson Hole conference that policymakers "still have work to do" if inflation fails to slow significantly.
Kevin Warsh, in his inaugural speech as Chairman at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in Wyoming, emphasized the Federal Reserve's ongoing focus on inflation. Several financial experts discussed War
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Cornell Professor Eswar Prasad discusses US dollar status, stablecoin impact, and Fed Chair Warsh's influence on global central banks at Jackson Hole
Cornell Professor Eswar Prasad discusses US dollar status, stablecoin impact, and Fed Chair Warsh's influence on global central banks at Jackson Hole
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The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee: Inflation remains high, the 2% target is further away than last year, and I am concerned about an overheating economy.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated that there are signs of an overheating economy, with low hiring and layoff rates in the labor market, and GDP growth primarily driven by AI and data center
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Hours before Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, an anonymous trader moved approximately $912 million worth of Bitcoin.
According to blockchain tracker Whale Alert, an unknown wallet transferred 11,499 Bitcoin (worth approximately $912.1 million) to another unidentified wallet at 9:53 AM UTC on August 28, ahead of Kevi
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September Historically a Slow Month for US Stocks, But Investors Advised to Ignore Seasonal Swings
The S&P 500 has historically averaged a decline of approximately 0.6% in September, making it the only calendar month with a negative historical average. This "September Effect" is attributed to facto
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Fed's Daly calls October jobs report 'good news,' but expresses concern over inflation outlook
Federal Reserve official Mary Daly stated that the October employment report was "good news," expressing optimism about the U.S. labor market. However, she emphasized that wage growth is not running h
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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3
AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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An Analysis of the Current Status and Future Development Prospects of Curve (CRV)
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