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Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) Faces Volatility as Market Prices in 57% Chance of Fed Rate Hike
According to a Yahoo Finance analysis, the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) is highly sensitive to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. The market is currently pricing in a 57% chance of a
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Evercore's Guha Says Fed Is 'Inflation First,' Prioritizing Inflation, Oil, and Bond Yields Over Jobs Data
Krishna Guha, vice chair and head of central bank strategy at Evercore ISI, believes the Federal Reserve is currently an "inflation first" central bank, focusing more on inflation, oil prices, and bon
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Japan's 10-year government bond yield hit 3% on Tuesday, for the first time since 1996.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield rose to 3% on Tuesday, reaching this level for the first time since 1996, influenced by a stronger dollar following hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman
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Global bond selloff spreads to emerging markets as Federal Reserve interest-rate hike prospects overshadow other factors
Global bond selloff spreads to emerging markets as Federal Reserve interest-rate hike prospects overshadow other factors
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Peterson Institute President Adam Posen Thinks Things Could Get 'Messy' for the Fed
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen believes the Federal Reserve could face a "messy" situation. He offered his take on the direction of monetary policy and graded Fed
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Global bond markets are experiencing their most aggressive sell-off in nearly two decades, with the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index yield rising to 3.72%, a new high since mid-2008.
On Tuesday (September 1), the US 10-year government bond yield briefly rose to 4.78%, its highest since January 2025; the Japanese 10-year government bond yield touched 3% for the first time in 30 yea
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Bitcoin holds above $78,000, while HYPE gains ~4% and other major altcoins decline over 24 hours amid hawkish Fed bets
Bitcoin holds above $78,000, while HYPE gains ~4% and other major altcoins decline over 24 hours amid hawkish Fed bets
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has hit its longest streak of elevated levels since 2006, closing above 5% for 55 consecutive trading days as of this Monday.
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield remains under pressure due to a confluence of factors, including persistent high U.S. fiscal deficits, a surge in corporate bond issuance, and rising expectations for F
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Middle East Tensions Escalate with US-Iran Strikes, Brent Crude Surges Past $91, Asian Bond Markets Under Pressure
Brent crude surged above $91 a barrel in early Asian trading as the US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Rising oil p
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US 30-Year Bond Enters September on Its Worst Stretch Since 2006
Yields on the longest-maturity Treasuries have not been this high for this long since 2006, driven by a gaping budget deficit, another wave of corporate issuance, and a potentially decisive Federal Re
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Bloomberg analyst Anthony Stephens stated that rising oil prices are pushing up short-term U.S. Treasury yields and strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Bloomberg analyst Anthony Stephens stated that rising oil prices are pushing up short-term U.S. Treasury yields and strengthening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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South Korea's KOSPI index opened down 1.24% on Tuesday to 6,735.21 points, dragged down by renewed military conflict between the US and Iran and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened down 0.52% on Tuesday, then extended its losses, falling 84.81 points, or 1.24%, to 6,735.21 as of 9:15 AM. This followed an overnight decline in U
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Donald Trump stated that the U.S. economy could grow by 20% and opposed the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
Donald Trump stated on Monday that such rapid economic growth should not prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, even if inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. He argued that success
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Donald Trump expressed respect for Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh but believes U.S. interest rates are too high.
Donald Trump stated that he has great respect for Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh and believes Warsh would do his duty. However, he also pointed out that he believes interest rates in the United
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The U.S. dollar fell 0.9% in August, marking its second consecutive monthly decline, as U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh were "in lockstep" on bond issues.
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.9% in August, extending July's 1.3% decline and marking its longest losing streak since February. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly stated on Monday t
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The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 3.3% in August, marking its largest August gain since 2004, driven by the weakening dollar trade and the AI boom.
The index rose 3.3% in August, marking its largest gain for the period since 2004. Global investors seeking to diversify their exposure to dollar-denominated assets drove capital inflows into emerging
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The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose above 4.76% on Monday ET, reaching a new 20-month high, driven by hawkish comments from Warsh and a rebound in crude oil prices. The probability of a September rate hike climbed to 64%.
U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 5-year yield climbing to its highest level since early 2025. This followed Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's distinctly hawkish remarks at the Jacks
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Former Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, now a governor, still holds one vote on the FOMC, same as Chairman Kevin Warsh
Jerome Powell, no longer the Fed chairman, remains a governor and a member of the Federal Open Market Committee. He will have one vote when Chairman Kevin Warsh polls the 12 committee members on Septe
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Tesla rose 5.3% intraday on Monday, and NVIDIA gained 0.9%, leading the "Magnificent Seven," as Tesla's Optimus robot entered mass production.
Tesla and NVIDIA led a rebound during Monday's trading session, emerging as the only two stocks among the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants to post gains. Tesla's surge was particularly notable, as the
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Gold falls 1% to $4,431.10/oz, posting a second straight loss, while silver drops 1.2% to $66.221/oz, pressured by renewed Middle East military action and hawkish Fed expectations.
Gold falls 1% to $4,431.10/oz, posting a second straight loss, while silver drops 1.2% to $66.221/oz, pressured by renewed Middle East military action and hawkish Fed expectations.
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MarketWatch Analysis: 10-Year Treasury Yield Breaking Higher, 5% May Be Just the Beginning
MarketWatch analysis indicates that the rising interest rate trend is not solely a result of the Federal Reserve's fight against persistent inflation.
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Analysis indicates that the 30-year US Treasury yield has surged by approximately 10 basis points from its low last Friday, with half of that increase occurring on Monday, now approaching 5.27%. This rise is primarily driven by an increase in real yields, rather than inflation expectations.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh warned last Friday at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation remains too high, but analysis suggests that long-term inflation expectations have barely changed, and t
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Bitcoin Posts Best August in Nearly 10 Years With 25% Gain, Driven by Trump's Strategic Reserve Comments; Historical Pattern Suggests Strong Q4
Bitcoin recorded a 25% gain in August (as of Aug. 30), marking its best August performance since 2017. The rally was primarily fueled by Donald Trump's comments on Aug. 19 that the federal government
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JPMorgan Chase's trading desk has abandoned its bullish view on US equities, shifting to tactical caution after hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh.
JPMorgan Chase's trading desk stated that the move was due to hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh, which led to increased market bets on interest rate hikes this year.
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US October non-farm payrolls added 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000
U.S. October nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, beating expectations, while Bitcoin prices held steady near $75,000. Data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Friday showed that nonfarm pay
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Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
Treasury and Fed Withdraw Plan for $250 Cross-Border Travel Rule Threshold
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
Goldman Sachs lowers gold price target amid Federal Reserve's hawkish pivot: to $4,150 by end of 2026 and $4,800 by end of 2027
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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The Federal Reserve terminates enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings and Nano Banc
The Federal Reserve has announced the termination of its enforcement actions against Allegiant United Holdings, LLC, Nano Financial Holdings, Inc., and Nano Banc, with the related written agreements h
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Protos: US regulators question banks on Binance hack impact, lenders review security systems
Citing Reuters via Protos, following the hack on Binance, officials from the Federal Reserve and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency contacted banks to check for any unusual activity or serv
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: Inflation is the most critical risk currently facing the Federal Reserve
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that inflation is the most significant risk currently facing the Federal Reserve, noting that inflation is neither accelerating nor declining, and monetary policy
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Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack: Must Maintain Restrictive Interest Rates to Cool Inflation
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said interest rates need to remain restrictive to bring inflation down to the central bank's target, and more frequent adjustments would help reduce the risk of po
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Federal Reserve October Banking Survey Shows Tightening Credit Standards for Small Businesses and Commercial Real Estate
The Federal Reserve's October Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) showed that U.S. banks further tightened credit standards for small and medium-sized enterprises, commercial real estate, and s
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
24H Trending
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1
The Nikkei 225 Index fell 5.76% from its previous close, currently trading at 57,557.09.
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ZEC (Zcash) is up 6.26% over the past 4 hours, currently trading at $1,330.13.
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3
AUD/USD fell 0.89% from its previous close, currently trading at 0.6946.
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Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index fell 6.11% from its previous close, currently trading at 39,032.95.
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The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.06% from its previous close, currently trading at 3,650.85.
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Brent crude was up 3.52% from its previous close, currently trading at $98.354.
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South Korea's KOSPI index fell 5.48% from its previous close, currently standing at 5,088.79.
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Trump's policies and institutional participation drove Ethereum's sharp rally in August 2026, with its market cap reaching approximately $294.8 billion in November
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An Analysis of the Current Status and Future Development Prospects of Curve (CRV)
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WTI crude oil is up 2.54% from its previous close, currently trading at $90.764.
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