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Federal Reserve
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WSJ Fed reporter Nick Timiraos shared a view that it is “proper and responsible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates” given the CPI numbers.
WSJ Fed reporter Nick Timiraos shared a view that it is “proper and responsible for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates” given the CPI numbers.
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U.S. VICE PRESIDENT VANCE: WE BELIEVE FED SHOULD LOWER RATES
U.S. VICE PRESIDENT VANCE: WE BELIEVE FED SHOULD LOWER RATES
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Brent crude oil surpassed $97 per barrel on Thursday, and the average price of diesel reached a new high of $5.78 per gallon since 2022.
International benchmark Brent crude rose for a fourth consecutive trading day on Thursday, breaking above $97 per barrel during the session, with a cumulative gain of over 7% this week. The average pr
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US major stock indexes rose over 1% during the trading session, with the Nasdaq Composite up 1.35%. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.75%. The Federal Reserve's Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
At midday Eastern Time on September 3, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,572 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.20% to 53,699 points, and the S&P 500 Index rose 1.01% to 7,744 p
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Bitcoin surged past $80,000 on Thursday, liquidating over $415 million in short positions, after Federal Reserve Governor Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated in an interview on Thursday that he would be inclined to support maintaining the benchmark interest rate at its current level if upcoming inflation data continue
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh publicly criticized his predecessor Jerome Powell for 65 consecutive months of inflation above target during his tenure; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to a one-year high of 4.79%.
Warsh, the current Chairman of the Federal Reserve, publicly criticized his predecessor, Jerome Powell, stating that inflation exceeded the target for 65 consecutive months during Powell's tenure, a s
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Wall Street Analysis: The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September has risen to over 60%, and its interest rate decision may impact Micron Technology's stock price more than its earnings report.
Wall Street currently anticipates a more than 60% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its September 16, 2026 meeting, up from 41.4% a week ago. This shift follows hawkish rema
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Nuveen's Tony Rodriguez Explains 'Fairly Neutral' Stance on Duration
Tony Rodriguez, head of fixed income strategy at Nuveen, detailed how his firm's position on duration would change with a series of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
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The odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September have risen to 56%, following a slight increase in jobless claims beyond expectations and Christopher Waller's statement supporting a hold on rates.
The odds of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September have risen to 56%, following a slight increase in jobless claims beyond expectations and Christopher Waller's statement supporti
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FED'S WALLER SAYS MORTGAGE RATES, AUTO LOAN RATES ARE NOT LOW AND 'LOOSE FINANCIAL CONDITIONS' IS REALLY A REFLECTION OF STOCK PRICES
FED'S WALLER SAYS MORTGAGE RATES, AUTO LOAN RATES ARE NOT LOW AND 'LOOSE FINANCIAL CONDITIONS' IS REALLY A REFLECTION OF STOCK PRICES
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US stock futures post modest gains as traders digest Fed Governor Waller's comments and earnings, while chip stocks fall after Broadcom's results
US stock futures post modest gains as traders digest Fed Governor Waller's comments and earnings, while chip stocks fall after Broadcom's results
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Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
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FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
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Fed Governor Waller extends Warsh's "play the ball, not the Fed" metaphor, likening central bank reaction function to umpire's strike zone
Waller repurposed the metaphor to defend his communication style, stating that batters and pitchers don't need the strike zone to be perfect, only roughly known and stable from pitch to pitch. He emph
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller: If August inflation data continues to move towards 2%, I would favor holding interest rates steady; if the data is too hot, I would consider a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that while there has been no fundamental change in his monetary policy stance since July, his inclination has shifted from concern and a bias towards
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HSBC raises its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026.
HSBC has raised its US government bond yield forecasts, expecting the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields to reach 4.20% and 4.65% respectively by the end of 2026. The bank stated that this move is due
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MarketWatch Analysis: Fed Rate Hike This Month May Only Cause Temporary Stock Market Weakness
MarketWatch analysts suggest that the stock market's reaction to a potential Federal Reserve interest rate hike in mid-September might be less severe than anticipated, leading to only temporary weakne
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Bloomberg: Bitcoin's rally fades as it fails to decisively break $80,000, with fluctuating US demand and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance weighing on momentum.
Bitcoin's recent rally has faltered after failing to decisively break the $80,000 mark, with fluctuating demand from US investors and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance dampening its momentum, accor
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Global bond yields have risen to their highest since 2008, with 30-year US Treasury yields touching 5%, after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced increased bond buybacks and Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh delivered hawkish remarks.
Global bond yields have risen to their highest levels since 2008, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield briefly touching 5%. This follows an unexpected announcement by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bes
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Bitcoin climbs above $77,500, XRP leads major tokens; Fed's September rate hike probability rises to 66%, 10-year Treasury yield hits new high since 2023
Bitcoin recovered above $77,600 in early Asian trading on Thursday, up approximately 1.5% in 24 hours. XRP led major tokens with a nearly 3% gain, reaching $1.36, while BNB rose almost 2% to $692, and
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The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fold Pressure
The Wall Street Journal Analysis: US Treasury Yields Climb to Multi-Year Highs as War-Driven Inflation, Fiscal Deficits, a Shift in Federal Reserve Chair Policy, and the AI Funding Boom Exert Four-Fol
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Bank of America: Expects August Nonfarm Payrolls to Add Only 40,000 Jobs, Far Below Market Consensus; September Federal Reserve Rate Hike Hinges on CPI
Bank of America, in its latest report published on September 2, projected that August non-farm payrolls would increase by only 40,000 (35,000 in the private sector), significantly below market consens
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WSJ analysis: Four key forces are pressuring bond markets, with war being the primary driver
According to The Wall Street Journal's analysis, the recent climb in bond yields is being driven by four main forces. War is identified as the number one factor, alongside fiscal worries, the appointm
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Bloomberg strategist Simon White analyzed that the U.S. Treasury's expansion of T-bill financing is making its function akin to a "shadow central bank," which could undermine the Federal Reserve's independence and push up inflation.
Simon White points out that the U.S. Treasury's continued expansion of T-bill financing has pushed T-bills to 22.7% of outstanding U.S. debt, exceeding the Treasury's informal 20% cap. He believes thi
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The Wall Street Journal: The delinquency rate for some multi-family apartment mortgage pools issued in 2021 rose to 28% in August.
The delinquency rate for commercial real estate collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) rose to 28% in August, up from 19% in July. These floating-rate loans are sometimes used to finance riskier acqui
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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Gold edged higher as falling oil prices reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
Gold edged higher as falling oil prices reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.
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Nasdaq Composite surged 2% and S&P 500 jumped 1.5% on Monday, but 30 S&P 500 stocks hit new 52-week lows while only 7 reached new highs, a divergence not seen since 1999
The S&P 500's internal divergence, where new lows outnumbered new highs, was last observed on Dec. 21, 1999, just months before the Dotcom Bubble top. Analysts note that the S&P 500's gains were led b
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Bitcoin ETF Holders Back in Profit as Price Surges Towards $87,000, Reaching $86,837 Earlier Monday
Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart noted that Bitcoin exchange-traded fund holders are now in profit for the first time since January, as the cryptocurrency's rally on Monday morning pushed the aver
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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The Federal Reserve's preliminary SVB report has not been publicly released, requiring journalists to register for access; the current head of the Fed's supervision department previously served as an executive at the law firm reviewing the report, raising conflict of interest concerns.
Journalist Nick Timiraos tweeted that the Federal Reserve's preliminary report on Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has not yet been made public through official Fed channels, and he had to register for a non
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee: Higher interest rates will have to slow the economy to combat supply shocks, which will be "painful."
Austan Goolsbee stated that central banks have reached their limit in waiting for supply shocks, meaning higher interest rates will have to slow down sectors of the economy that may not be pushing up
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Bitcoin hit an eight-month high of $86,332 on Monday, with short liquidations exceeding $740 million, driven by falling oil prices and a retreat in US Treasury yields.
Bitcoin reached a high of $86,332 on Monday, marking an eight-month high and its first since January this year. Over the past 24 hours, total crypto market liquidations amounted to $877.31 million, wi
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Bitcoin price surges nearly 7% to break $86,000, shrugging off last week's setback for the Crypto-Asset Clarity Act.
Bitcoin's price briefly touched $86,247 in early New York trading on Monday, rising nearly 7% in the past 24 hours, despite the highly anticipated Crypto-Asset Clarity Act failing to pass through the
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
US Treasury Secretary Bessent expresses confidence in Fed Chair Warsh regarding Fed rate hikes
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Bitcoin breaks $80,000 as $148 billion US liquidity shock fails to crack market
According to Federal Reserve data, the U.S. Treasury General Account increased by $148.003 billion before September 16, causing commercial bank deposits at the Federal Reserve to decrease by $114.971
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Bitcoin surges above $83,500, Monero (XMR) up 13%, as falling oil prices lift risk assets; Trump-Xi summit eyed
Bitcoin traded just under $84,000 on Monday, extending gains from late last week, with Monero's XMR leading larger tokens with a 13% rise. Broader risk assets also climbed, including S&P 500 and Nasda
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US Treasury yields ease on Monday, with 10-year note falling 3 bps to 4.967%
US Treasury yields were lower on Monday, tracking a global easing of government borrowing costs amid falling oil prices. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield fell by around 3 basis points to 4.96
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Citi Raises 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Forecast to 5.0% by Year-End
Citi's strategist Jason Williams explained that the world is now fundamentally different compared to the July FOMC, leading to the revised outlook. The bank assumes Fed rate hike pricing will remain u
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Fed and BoE step up scrutiny of banks' exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss
The US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are intensifying their questioning of prime brokers regarding banks' exposure to trading firms, following a loss at Jane Street and the blow-up of AI-foc
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Morgan Stanley: The core of Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh's policy lies in the balance sheet; the market may be overestimating the extent of interest rate hikes.
Morgan Stanley stated in its latest research report that the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike last week was not the start of a new tightening cycle, but rather a "policy fine-tuning" to main
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Asian stock markets generally rose on Monday, with the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong once gaining 140 points during intraday trading; oil prices pulled back, with Brent crude falling 2.1% to $101.63.
Asian equities mostly rose on Monday, with chipmakers boosted by AI data demand, while better-than-expected crude oil supply from the Middle East eased market concerns about oil prices. Hong Kong's Ha
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
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