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CNBC Analysis: Trump-Era Policy Risks, High Government Borrowing, and AI-Driven Corporate Debt Are Pushing Up Long-Term US Treasury Yields
CNBC analysis suggests that lower US government bond yields may require a weaker economy, and Donald Trump's policies would not help address this. The article states that the 10-year US Treasury yield
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Trump demands Fed slash interest rates or he will cut off trade with countries with which the U.S. has trade deficits
President Donald Trump on Friday issued a sweeping ultimatum in a Truth Social post, reacting to a much-stronger-than-expected monthly jobs report. He urged the central bank and its chairman, Kevin Wa
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BlackRock portfolio manager Rosenberg stated that a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve would have little impact on risk assets.
Jeffrey Rosenberg, portfolio manager for BlackRock's Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, told Bloomberg Television that a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve would not pose a significant probl
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Bitcoin Drops Below $80,000, Falling Nearly 3% to $79,197, as Strong US Jobs Data Revives Fed-Hike Bets
Bitcoin dropped nearly 3% to $79,197, abruptly reversing its latest push above $80,000, after stronger-than-expected US jobs data for August revived bets on a September Federal Reserve rate hike. Nonf
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2-year Treasury yield rises over 7 bps to 4.425%, highest since January 2025, after hot jobs report boosts Fed rate hike expectations to 58%
The 2-year Treasury note yield increased more than 7 basis points to 4.425% on Friday, reaching its highest level since January 2025. This surge followed a stronger-than-expected U.S. August jobs repo
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Wolfe Research Chief Economist Roth stated that inflation data, not employment data, will determine the Federal Reserve's next move.
Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth stated that the market's "hawkish reaction to the August US jobs report may be somewhat overdone."
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos: August jobs data clears the way for a September Fed rate hike, but inflation data remains key.
The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that while August inflation data may still dominate the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates or hold steady in September, strong August emplo
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in September have sharply increased.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 in August, significantly exceeding the expected 55,000, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%. Market expectations for a Federal Reserve ra
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August Jobs Report Favors a Fed Rate Hike, Says New Century Advisors Chief Economist Sahm
Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, commented on the US employment report for August, stating that it favors Federal Reserve officials who want to start hiking rates.
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Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
Rate-futures traders add to bets on a September Fed rate hike after bigger-than-expected August jobs gain.
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000, exceeding the expected 56,000. The previous value (revised) was 21,000.
U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 (expected 56,000, revised previous value 21,000); unemployment rate was 4.1% (expected 4.1%, revised previous value 4.1%); average hourly earnings mo
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Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being seen as a "canary in the coal mine" for market risk.
Bloomberg: The US utilities sector, traditionally a safe-haven asset, is facing risks due to persistently rising government bond yields and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, and is being
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US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
US government bond yields stabilized ahead of the jobs report, following a week of sharp fluctuations, as investors await key employment data for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
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Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors are closely monitoring every data point to navigate various Federal Reserve policy scenarios, according to Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.
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Citi economist Clark said the Federal Reserve's labor market narrative could shift rapidly.
Citi economist Veronica Clark said she sees several scenarios where inflation and labor market data could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
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Morgan Stanley Expects Fed to Hold Rates Despite Warsh’s Hawkish Tone, Citing August Core CPI/PCE Forecasts
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged, despite Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech. The bank forecasts August core CPI at +0.23% MoM and core PCE at +0.20%, supporting pat
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Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumps 1.7% to 25,650, led by tech rebound, as Fed Waller's dovish remarks ease rate hike fears
The benchmark Hang Seng Index rose 437 points, or 1.7 percent, to close at 25,650 on Friday, with the tech index gaining 2.3 percent. This surge followed Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller's
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U.S. Stock Futures Nudge Higher, Treasury Yields Edge Lower Ahead of Jobs Data
U.S. stock futures nudged higher and Treasury yields edged lower in early European trade on Friday, as investors held positions steady ahead of crucial U.S. jobs data. This follows Thursday's rally in
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World's Biggest Money Managers Are Rebuilding Gold Positions, Betting on Long-Term Drivers Despite Fed's Assertive Stance
Some of the world’s biggest money managers have rebuilt their gold holdings after prices dropped, betting that long-term drivers of the precious metal will endure even as the US Federal Reserve takes
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Asia-Pacific stock markets generally rebounded, with South Korea's Seoul Composite Index closing up 1.64% and the Nikkei 225 Index rising 1.3%.
Global equities rose for a third consecutive day, influenced by dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, with Asia-Pacific markets generally strengthening. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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The U.S. August non-farm payroll report is set to be released on Friday, with market expectations of 55,000 new jobs. Former Federal Reserve Governor Warsh previously stated that the economy is at full employment with high inflation. Analysts believe that strong data could push up U.S. Treasury yields and suppress U.S. equities.
The US August non-farm payrolls report is due on Friday, with market consensus expecting 55,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh has clear
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
Arthur Hayes: AI Giant Equity Dilution May Weigh on Stock Prices, Short-Term Bearish for Bitcoin, While Central Bank Bailouts Hold Long-Term Promise
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Donald Trump's special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has been postponed to December 14.
The special committee hearing regarding Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, initiated by Donald Trump, has been postponed to December 14, White House officials revealed on Wednesday. Donald Trump esta
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Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate would pose the strongest check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve
Nick Timiraos: A Democratic Senate victory would serve as the most powerful check on Donald Trump's reshaping of the Federal Reserve. If any Federal Reserve Board of Governors vacancies arise in the f
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Lombard Odier Economists: A Democratic Senate Win Helps Reduce Uncertainty Around Fed Independence
According to Dow Jones Market Talk, Samy Chaar, Chief Economist at Lombard Odier, believes that a Democratic victory in the Senate would provide a check on Donald Trump's key institutional personnel n
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According to a Federal Reserve survey on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, which could restrict financing for Bitcoin investors.
According to a lending survey released by the Federal Reserve on November 2, banks tightened their lending standards for non-bank financial institutions, while demand from commercial lenders and priva
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 59.0, which could complicate Bitcoin's hopes for interest rate cuts.
U.S. factory activity strengthened in October, with the ISM Production Index rising to 59.0, potentially complicating Bitcoin's hopes for rate cuts. A report released by the Institute for Supply Manag
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Bitcoin Trades Near $77,500 as US Midterm Voting Begins, Influenced by Binance Hack and Macro Factors
Bitcoin traded near $77,500 on Tuesday morning as polls opened for the U.S. midterm elections, down about 0.6% on the day. The price action is pressured by factors including a record $6.3 billion Bina
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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US Treasuries Rise, Yields Extend Slide as Oil Prices Tumble
US Treasuries rose, extending their biggest monthly advance in over two years, as tumbling oil prices eased concerns about inflation pressure potentially leading to additional Federal Reserve interest
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Citi FX traders see continued carry trade opportunities
Citigroup Inc.'s US currency desk expects the carry trade to keep offering opportunities for investors, even though the strategy may struggle to replicate a period of standout returns. Fuad Muvdi, hea
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh plans to reduce the number of interest rate votes to just six times per year starting in 2028, which economists say could delay relief for borrowers.
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh announced plans to reduce the number of interest rate setting votes over the next two years. Specifically, in 2027, one of the Federal Reserve's eight meetings will not
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S&P 500 historically sees strong gains after midterm elections, averaging 13.7% one year later
A CNBC analysis of S&P 500 returns from 1980 through 2024 shows the index rose an average of 13.7% one year after midterm elections, with positive returns in 91% of cases. The S&P 500 was up after all
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OPEC+ maintained its oil production targets, which could exacerbate inflation concerns and limit the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing, posing a new macro test for Bitcoin.
OPEC+ decided on November 1 to maintain its oil production targets for December, despite ongoing supply disruptions in the Middle East, a move that could exacerbate inflationary pressures and strength
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Fed study finds Treasury dealers' financing burden can outlast their bond holdings, potentially impacting crypto credit markets
A Federal Reserve staff research, published on October 30, indicates that Treasury dealers may continue to finance customer bonds even after their own auction inventory has largely cleared. This linge
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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US banks are owed $349B by private credit funds, as PIK interest payments rise to 10% of loans
US-domiciled private credit vehicles owed banks $349 billion at the end of 2025, according to a Federal Reserve report published on October 16, 2026. The report highlights that private credit funds ca
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U.S. stocks fell, Intel's share price plummeted, and Federal Reserve officials hinted at supporting interest rate hikes.
U.S. stocks fell, with Intel's share price dropping sharply, as Federal Reserve officials hinted at support for interest rate hikes, and a tech stock sell-off boosted U.S. Treasuries. Additionally, Bi
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Dallas Fed President Logan supported this week's Federal Reserve decision but still believes two more rate hikes are needed.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan expressed support for the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates this week, but she continues to believe the Federal Reserve still needs to raise rates
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
St. Louis Fed President Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Needed Soon to Bring Inflation to Target
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: It will be necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon" to address high inflation and loose financial conditions.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said on Friday that he judges it necessary to tighten monetary policy further "soon." He noted that despite the Federal Reserve's decision this week to keep int
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St. Louis Fed President Musalem: Judged it necessary to further tighten monetary policy "soon," otherwise inflation could be too high unless the Federal Reserve raises rates further.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem stated that he judges it necessary to "soon" further tighten monetary policy. He outlined two inflation scenarios, with the one he considers more likely being:
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Federal Reserve official Musalem called for prompt interest rate hikes to restore price stability, stating that inflation risks persist and financial conditions remain loose.
Federal Reserve official Alberto Musalem stated that given persistent and still upward-biased inflation risks, the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates again "soon" to restore price stability
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Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos: US Q3 employer benefit costs rose by 3.9%, exceeding wage growth of 3.1%, due to a surge in health insurance costs.
Federal Reserve insider Nick Timiraos, citing Employment Cost Index (ECI) data, noted that U.S. employer benefit costs surged by 3.9% in the third quarter, surpassing the 3.1% growth in wages and sala
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The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee Sounds AI Inflation Alarm: Can the Crypto Market Hold the $75,000 Mark?
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee warned that excessive market expectations for AI productivity could lead to rising inflation, forcing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and potentially even triggering stagflation. This warning has garnered attention across global financial markets. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility recently. After surpassing the $80,000 mark, the market is closely watching whether it can consistently hold the critical support level of $75,000 amidst macroeconomic headwinds.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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From Event to Your Screen: The Four Hurdles a Financial News Alert Must Clear
By the time the news is seen, half the market move has already happened. The problem often lies not in judgment, but in the sequence of information arrival. A financial news flash, from event occurrence to reaching the reader, must pass through four checkpoints: source coverage, deduplication and compression, traceable origin, and multi-language synchronization. This article breaks down this chain and provides three questions for ordinary investors to filter out noise.
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What is FED Coin? An Analysis of the Cryptocurrency of the Same Name and the Concept of the Federal Reserve's Digital Currency
The term "FED coin" carries a dual meaning within the cryptocurrency space: it can refer to low-market-cap cryptocurrencies circulating on the market, such as "Federal Reserve (FED)" or "FEDCOIN," which have no official affiliation with the Federal Reserve System and exhibit extremely low trading volumes; alternatively, it may informally refer to the concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) that the Federal Reserve is currently researching and exploring. This article will elaborate on the background, current status, and related developments of these two types of "FED coins" separately.
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Bitcoin Breaks $80,000: Buying Emerges Amid Volatile Federal Reserve Policy Expectations, Who's Positioning?
Bitcoin's price recently surged from around $63,000 in mid-August, briefly breaking above $81,000 on August 26, setting a multi-month high. This rally comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy fluctuate; the CME tool still shows a high probability of maintaining current interest rates, but expectations for a rate hike within the year have increased. On-chain data indicates that large "whale" investors actively accumulated Bitcoin when it retested the $60,000 mark, while US spot Bitcoin ETFs also recorded strong net inflows, suggesting that institutional capital is a significant driver of this rebound.
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Federal Reserve
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ETH (Ethereum) surged 5.31% in 1 hour, currently trading at $2,439.61
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What Elements Are Included in Tokenomics? How to Use It to Identify Valuable Digital Currencies
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How to buy and sell HERO? First distinguish the project, then check the listing channels
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DeFi Losses Nearing $600M in a Single Month: April 2026 Security Incidents Sound Alarm Bells for Cross-Chain and Governance
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Cosmos (ATOM) Outlook Analysis: Tokenomics Restructuring and Cross-Chain Upgrades
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CVS Health plans to split into two independent publicly traded companies by early 2028, reversing its $78 billion acquisition of Aetna.
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Where to Find Reliable USDT Trading Software: Top Exchange References and Selection Criteria
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What is DAFI Token? A Comprehensive Guide to DAFI Protocol and Synthetic Token Mechanics
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
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