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South Korean police are investigating local Polymarket users for illegal gambling
Svmuu News: South Korean police are investigating local users of the prediction market platform Polymarket on suspicion of illegal gambling. Polymarket is classified as private gambling in South Korea
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New address purchases $7,500 on Biden's son becoming 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, probability surges 3x
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that a new address on Polymarket bought $7,500 on Hunter Biden becoming the 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, with an average purchase price of 0.7¢. Possibly
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Polymarket “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 15” probability drops to 21%, 24H decline of 45%
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's “GPT 5.6 will be released before June 15” has dropped to 21%, a 24H decline of 45%. In addition, the probability of “GPT 5.6 will be re
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CME CEO: Very Concerned About US-Regulated Crypto Perpetual Futures
Svmuu reported that Terry Duffy, CEO of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, said he is very concerned about the perpetual futures contracts recently approved by US regulators. Terry Duffy stated th
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Nova Markets completes new funding round, with participation from Wintermute Ventures and others
Svmuu reported that Nova Markets has announced the completion of a new funding round, with participation from Wintermute Ventures, Robot Ventures, Big Brain VC, Cumberland, GSR, Greenfield Capital, Ha
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Polymarket "Trump Attending 2026 NBA Finals Live" Probability Rises to 86%, Up 22% in 24 Hours
Svmuu Seer Channel monitoring shows that the probability of "Trump attending the 2026 NBA Finals live" on Polymarket has risen to 86%, up 22% in 24 hours. Today, the New York Knicks defeated the San A
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Nasdaq-listed NewGenIVF Invests an Additional $4 Million in K25.ai
Svmuu reports that Nasdaq-listed company NewGenIVF Group Limited has announced an additional $4 million in strategic funding for AI-native live streaming prediction platform K25.ai. Combined with its
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Moomoo Partners with Kalshi to Launch Regulated Prediction Market Contracts on Its Platform
Svmuu News Digital trading platform Moomoo has announced a partnership with prediction market operator Kalshi to offer eligible users access to event contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. Goldman Sachs partners with Apex and Archax to launch a tokenized real estate fund; 2. Coinbase will list SpaceX Pre-IPO perpetual contracts; 3. Arthur Hayes: Fully exited HYPE and NEAR positions,
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U.S. House Democrats Call on FTC to Investigate Prediction Market Advertising
Svmuu News: Nine Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives have called on the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to investigate prediction markets, reviewing whether their advertising campai
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Polymarket: "SpaceX to Raise $70B-$80B in Its IPO" probability now stands at 88%, up 20% intraday
Svmuu Seer monitoring shows that the probability of "SpaceX raising $70B-$80B in its IPO" on Polymarket is now at 88%, up 20% intraday. The market settles based on the total funds raised at the time o
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predict.fun’s “Spurs Win 2026 NBA Championship” probability has plummeted to 47%, a 24-hour drop of 18%
Monitoring from the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that in the predict.fun “2026 NBA Champion” prediction event, the Spurs’ championship probability briefly plummeted to 47%, a 24-hour decline of 18%; the K
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Polymarket's daily crypto trading volume reaches $176 million, hitting an all-time high; 2. Bitmine plans to raise $300 million through the issuance of perpetual preferred stock, with an annual div
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Polymarket Accuses Kalshi of Industrial Espionage, Citing "Too Many Coincidences" in Product Launches
Svmuu News Prediction market platform Polymarket believes competitor Kalshi may have engaged in industrial espionage targeting its New York office and employees. Polymarket's marketing head confirmed
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A smart money address purchased $200,000 worth of Spurs to beat the Knicks in NBA Finals Game 1.
According to monitoring by Svmuu Seer, in the Polymarket "NBA Finals Game 1: Spurs vs. Thunder" prediction event, a smart money address (0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8) that has made over
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Polymarket's daily crypto trading volume reaches $176 million, hitting an all-time high
Svmuu reports that, according to Artemis data, Polymarket's daily crypto trading volume has reached $176 million, setting a new record high.
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Kalshi announces that Bitcoin perpetual contracts are now officially live
Svmuureported that prediction market platform Kalshi announced on platform X that Bitcoin perpetual contracts are now officially online. This marks the first U.S. regulatory-approved Bitcoin perpetual
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Polymarket "Trump Attending 2026 NBA Finals in Person" probability now at 64%, up 14% in one week
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Trump attending the 2026 NBA Finals in person" is now 64%, up 14% in a single week. The contract rules for this even
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Polymarket new market: "Who will attend the White House UFC 250 Gala"
Monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "Who will attend the White House UFC 250 Gala (UFC Freedom 250)". The UFC 250 Freedom Gala, dubbed "UFC
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Gate Prediction Market: ETH Price Above $1,800 on June 3rd Currently Shows 93% Probability
Svmuu reports that according to the latest data from Gate's prediction market, in the market related to "Will Ethereum be above ___ USD on June 3rd?", the probabilities of ETH reaching $1,600, $1,700,
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A smart money address spent over $150,000 on the Knicks defeating the Spurs in NBA Finals Game 1
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "NBA Finals G1 Knicks vs Spurs" prediction event, a smart money address (0xa5ea13a81d2b7e8e424b182bdc1db08e756bd96a) purchased approx
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OKX Launches 2026 World Cup Prediction Event with 16.66 BTC Total Prize Pool
According to official sources, OKX has officially launched a dedicated prediction event for the 2026 World Cup. Users can claim xp (event points) for free within the OKX App and directly place predict
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A smart investor placed a bet of over $60,000 on Sabalenka to defeat Schneider in the French Open women's singles quarterfinals.
Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event for "French Open (Women's Singles Quarterfinals) Sabalenka vs. Schneider," a smart money address (0x49007e1e636d0e92
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Svmuu Morning Brief
1. Trump signs executive order to promote advanced AI innovation and security; 2. Clarity Act has been placed on the US Senate legislative calendar, with the next major procedure being a full Senate v
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Judge stays CFTC's civil case against US soldier over illegal Polymarket bet, regulator now seeks to weigh in on criminal proceedings
A judge stayed the CFTC’s civil case against a US soldier accused of using nonpublic information for a Polymarket bet, while the regulator is attempting to weigh in on the related criminal case.
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
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Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
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Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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Gemini Exchange: The Path to Regulatory Compliance and Strategic Transformation
Founded in 2014 by the Winklevoss twins, the Gemini exchange is known for its strict regulatory compliance, holding a NYDFS trust charter and CFTC derivatives license. In 2025, Gemini filed for an IPO, and in 2026, it announced its "Gemini 2.0" strategy, shifting its focus to prediction markets and event contracts, while also adjusting its international market presence. Despite facing the Gemini Earn controversy and SEC charges, customer compensation has been completed. The platform is renowned for its security, but users have expressed negative feedback regarding its customer service and account issues.
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
Forecasting the market
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Dollar Rises, U.S. Treasury Yields Fall
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Retired Lineman Made Costly Error by Accepting $310,000 Pension Buyout Check Personally, Triggering 20% Federal Withholding and Potential Tax Penalties
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Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
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