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A "smart money" investor bet $650,000 on Germany to defeat Ecuador in the World Cup group stage
According to monitoring data from the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event titled “2026 World Cup Group E, Matchday 3: Germany vs. Ecuador,” the account “surfandturf” (address: 0x9f2
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The Top Three Companies on the Hurun Global Unicorn List Are All Investing in Large Language Models
Svmuu News: On June 25, the Hurun Research Institute released the “2026 Global Unicorn List” in Guangzhou. The top three unicorns on the list are all active in the large language model sector: Anthrop
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Polymarket has added a new question: “What provisions will the U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement, to be reached by December 31, 2026, include?”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, Polymarket has added a new prediction event titled “What provisions will be included in a U.S.-Iran diplomatic agreement by December 31, 2026
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South Africa Advances; New Site Reports Over $4 Million in Single-Match Profits as South Korea Fails to Defeat South Africa
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, the result of the prediction event on Polymarket for the “World Cup Group A Final Match: South Africa vs. South Korea,” which kicked off at 9
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Kalshi Seeks Funding at a Valuation of About $40 Billion
Svmuu News: According to sources familiar with the matter, prediction market platform Kalshi is seeking to raise new funding at a valuation of approximately $40 billion—nearly double the $22 billion v
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predict.fun currently puts the probability of “South Korea defeating South Africa in the World Cup group stage” at 59%
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Channel, in the “World Cup Group Stage: South Korea vs. South Africa” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of a South Korean victory is currently
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World Cup Sparks Prediction Markets: Polymarket Sees 300% Increase in Trading Volume; Kalshi Hits Record $1.16 Billion in Open Interest
Svmuu News: In the ten days leading up to the World Cup, trading volume in Polymarket’s soccer category exceeded $2 billion, a 300% increase compared to the previous ten days, with average daily tradi
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Kalshi has filed a lawsuit against the State of Illinois and its governor, challenging a bill regulating the futures market.
Svmuu News: Kalshi filed a lawsuit this week in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois against Illinois Attorney General Kwame Raoul, Governor JB Pritzker, and other state offic
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Kalshi is preparing for an IPO and is expected to go public after 2027.
Svmuu News: Tarek Mansour, CEO of the derivatives prediction market platform Kalshi, stated that the company is in the early stages of planning an IPO but made it clear that it will not go public in 2
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Sports Betting App Onyx Odds Raises $20 Million in Funding, Led by Payward, the Parent Company of Kraken
Svmuu News: The sports prediction app Onyx Odds has announced the completion of a $20 million funding round led by Payward, the parent company of Kraken. The company’s core business is sports event pr
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Polymarket Launches New “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026”
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “Federal Reserve: Number of Interest Rate Hikes in 2026.” Looking at the interest rate path, the ma
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Bybit has added 18 World Cup group stage goal difference contracts, achieving full coverage of the group stage
Svmuu News: Bybit continues to expand its goal difference futures offerings, adding 18 new group stage contracts, which are now open for pre-match trading. This round of listings covers the entire gro
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Svmuu Noon News
1. South Korea’s KOSPI index turned positive in the afternoon, rising more than 2.7%, with Samsung Electronics up 7.8%; 2. Arthur Hayes Family Office: CARDS has a target price of $4 by the end of summ
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A "smart money" investor bought $100,000 worth of bets on Japan failing to defeat Sweden in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event for the “World Cup Group F final match between Japan and Sweden,” accounts with total profits exceeding $11.48 mil
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predict.fun: The probability that “Portugal will finish first in World Cup Group K” has risen to 51%, up 6% in the last 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group K Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of Portugal finishing first in Group K has risen to 51%, u
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Rothera has captured 15% of the trading volume in World Cup-related contracts, with its open interest surpassing that of Polymarket.
According to Svmuu News, Artemis data shows that trading volume for World Cup-related event contracts on Rothera—Robinhood’s in-house prediction market platform—now accounts for 15% of total World Cup
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predict.fun: Probability of “England finishing first in Group L of the World Cup” drops to 87%, down 7% in 24 hours
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer Prophet Channel, in the “World Cup Group L Winner” prediction event on predict.fun, the probability of England finishing first in Group L has dropped to 87%,
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Kentucky Becomes the Ninth State Sued by the CFTC in a Dispute Over the Regulation of the Predictive Markets Industry
Svmuu News: The U.S. CFTC filed a lawsuit against Kentucky on Tuesday in an effort to prevent the state from regulating prediction market platforms as illegal sports betting and gambling platforms, th
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The Chicago Board Options Exchange Launches the CBOE Predicts Platform
Svmuu News: The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) has launched the CBOE Predicts platform and will introduce the first set of products in its new series of prediction markets. (Jin Shi)
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Zuckerberg's Meta is developing a prediction market app
Svmuu News: Zuckerberg has instructed Meta to develop a prediction market app. The app will operate independently of Facebook and Instagram. (The New York Times)
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Serenity: This pullback appears to be a clear buying opportunity. I’m bullish on Micron, Intel, and TSMC
Svmuu News: Serenity posted, “To me personally, this pullback looks like a clear buying opportunity, with targets including Micron Technology (MU), Intel (INTC), and TSMC (TSM). This decline stems pri
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ForeGate's "Million-Dollar World Cup Prediction Contest" Steps It Up, Partnering with OKX to Add an Additional 100,000 USDT Airdrop
Svmuu News: On-chain prediction market ForeGate has announced that it is further expanding its ongoing "World Cup Prediction Cup"—in addition to the $1 million World Cup prize pool, it has partnered w
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A "smart money" investor bet $540,000 on Portugal to defeat Uzbekistan in the World Cup group stage.
According to monitoring by the Svmuu Seer channel, in the Polymarket prediction event “World Cup Group K, Matchday 2: Portugal vs. Uzbekistan,” the account “surfandturf” (address: 0x9f2fe025f84839ca81
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TurboFlow, an on-chain trading ecosystem, has raised $6 million in a seed round led by Pantera Capital
Svmuu News: According to official reports, the on-chain trading ecosystem TurboFlow has announced the completion of a $6 million seed round, led by Pantera Capital, with strategic participation from q
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Needham Says Crypto Rally Has Strong Momentum, Prediction Market Kalshi Expects Bitcoin to Reach $90,000 This Year
Needham stated that the cryptocurrency rebound is strong, believing that the large-scale sell-off has largely ended and investor attention is shifting towards digital assets. The prediction market Kal
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Yahoo Finance Review: Gemini exchange offers bank-grade security and regulation, but has higher trading fees and limited coin selection
Reviews indicate that the Gemini exchange, founded by the Winklevoss brothers in 2014, operates as a New York trust company and is strictly regulated by state banking authorities, having reported no l
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Argus Downgrades DraftKings (DKNG) to Hold From Buy, Removes Price Target on Rising Costs, Tax Uncertainty
Argus noted that DraftKings' stock price has fallen by 43.22% over the past year, primarily due to high customer acquisition costs, rising state gaming taxes, and increased competition in prediction m
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Gemini partners with Apex Fintech Solutions to expand regulated crypto prediction markets
Under the planned tie-up, Gemini Titan will become the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant to its brokerage customers. Gemini w
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Prediction Market Kalshi Faces Bans in Multiple US States Amid Legal Battles, While CFTC Defends Industry and Proposes New Rules
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, is currently blocked for customers in Washington, Michigan, and Nevada, with Washington state authorities accusing the company of operating an illegal gambling bu
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Kalshi traders predict Bitcoin to end 2026 near current levels, around $75,000
Speculators on the prediction market platform estimate Bitcoin's price at the end of 2026 will be approximately $75,000, based on an average of contracts. This forecast suggests a slight decline from
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Prediction Markets Increasingly Skeptical on Near-Term US-Iran Nuclear Deal
Kalshi, a prediction market platform, currently prices the chances of a deal at 11% before March 1, 2027, 22% before January 1, 2028, and 35% before January 20, 2029.
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Research shows Bitcoin contracts on prediction market Kalshi increasingly lead Binance price discovery as BTC breaks $68,000
Research by financial forecasting firm Synth has found that the price movements of 15-minute Bitcoin contracts on Kalshi are increasingly predictive of subsequent Bitcoin price changes on Binance. Sin
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Cantor Fitzgerald Opens Kalshi Prediction Market Trading to Its ~3,000 Institutional Clients
The investment bank will help its institutional clients execute block event contracts on the CFTC-regulated Kalshi exchange. This move aims to increase institutional participation in prediction market
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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns
The Korea Media and Communications Commission stated that Polymarket's structure and operations amount to illegal gambling, despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.
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JPMorgan Chase stopped providing banking services to prediction market platform Polymarket last October due to regulatory concerns.
According to The Wall Street Journal, JPMorgan Chase severed banking services with prediction market platform Polymarket in October last year, citing regulatory concerns. Despite the disruption in ban
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Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
Prediction markets turn sharply skeptical on US-Iran nuclear deal, with Kalshi pricing odds at just 13% by March 2027
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Prediction market Novig sues Wisconsin Attorney General in anticipation of state lawsuit over sports contracts
Prediction market platform Novig has filed a lawsuit against Wisconsin Attorney General Josh Kaul and state gaming administrator John Dillett. The move is preemptive, as Novig anticipates Wisconsin wi
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Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting with cryptocurrency CEOs at the White House this Wednesday, sources say
U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to attend a meeting at the White House this Wednesday that will bring together CEOs of cryptocurrency, prediction market, and artificial intelligence companies,
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Hyperliquid ETFs See Inflow Reversal Amidst Rising Perpetual Futures Competition
Funds including Grayscale Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG), Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (BHYP), and 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF (THYP) initially performed well, with HYPG nearing $113 million in AUM and the la
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Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
Washington Court Orders Kalshi to Halt Most Prediction Market Offerings in the State, Though Allowing Commodities, Climate, Economics, and Finance-Related Markets to Continue
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Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
Coinbase's Prediction Markets Experiencing Degraded Performance
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Gemini shares slide after reporting $108 million loss; Winklevoss says 'we still have work to do'
The crypto exchange's prediction market volume nearly doubled as it continued expanding beyond traditional crypto trading.
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Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
Baltimore City Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, Robinhood, and Webull Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting
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US CFTC to hold meeting on Aug. 20 to explore crypto, AI, and prediction market regulations with SEC, without waiting for CLARITY bill
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will hold a meeting for its Innovation Advisory Committee on Aug. 20 to address regulation related to crypto assets, artificial intelligence and pred
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US CFTC cautions prediction market platforms over "deficient" incentive program filings, citing manipulation risks
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued guidance, expressing concern over an increase in "procedurally or substantively deficient" filings from prediction market firms for ince
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Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
Polymarket taps ex-Uber and Bird exec Travis VanderZanden to boost growth
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SKALE Labs launches Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired paper-trading sandbox for training AI agents
SKALE Labs launched Agent Pit, a Polymarket-inspired, paper-trading prediction market sandbox on its zero-gas blockchain, allowing builders to train AI agents before taking them live on Polymarket.
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New York City Council Launches Investigation into Prediction Market Platforms, Including Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan
The New York City Council has sent letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Coinbase, and Gemini Titan, investigating these platforms for alleged use of "false, deceptive, or abusive marketing strategies" targe
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SX Network (SX) Token Analysis: Value, Applications, and Investment Considerations
SX Network is an EVM-compatible blockchain project focused on decentralized sports betting and prediction markets. Its native token, SX, plays a role in network governance, staking, paying gas fees, and obtaining fee discounts. SX Network has processed over $500 million in betting volume through its flagship dApp, SX Bet. However, as of the time of writing, the SX token has extremely low trading volume, and market liquidity faces challenges. This article will delve into SX's value proposition, technical features, tokenomics, and its potential investment risks.
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BOT (Bodhi) Coin Analysis: The Positioning and Current Status of Bodhi, a Decentralized Prediction Market Token
BOT, the native token of the Bodhi platform, aims to build a decentralized, transparent global prediction market. The project was originally developed on the Qtum blockchain, utilizing a replaceable oracle mechanism that allows holders to participate in arbitration, voting, and paying service fees. Bodhi was launched in 2017 with a total supply of 100 million BOT. As of recently, its market capitalization is approximately $1.67 million, with a unit price of about $0.04. Currently, the trading liquidity of BOT tokens is limited, and investors need to fully understand the risks involved.
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DPY Coin (Delphy): Project Overview and Current Market Status Analysis
DPY (Delphy) was once a mobile prediction market platform based on Ethereum, aiming to provide decentralized prediction services. However, as of August 2026, the market performance of DPY tokens has been extremely poor, with prices having fallen sharply from historical highs and market capitalization close to zero. Public information indicates that its trading liquidity has dried up, and it has been widely regarded as a high-risk asset, with almost no active trading market currently.
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POLK Coin Value Analysis: Is Polkamarkets' prediction market token worth long-term attention?
POLK is the native token of Polkamarkets, a decentralized prediction market platform initially based on Ethereum and later migrated to Polkadot. POLK is used for market creation, rewards, gamification, and transaction fee buybacks. As of August 11, 2026, POLK's market activity is extremely low, with both 24-hour trading volume and market capitalization at low levels, and a lack of a clear market narrative. Its long-term value depends on user adoption and ecosystem development, but it currently faces challenges of insufficient liquidity and limited market attention.
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Kalshi prediction market valuation soars to $22 billion, institutional demand drives strong growth
Prediction market platform Kalshi has reached a valuation of $22 billion after completing a $1 billion Series F funding round in May 2026, doubling its valuation in just five months. This significant growth is primarily attributed to accelerating institutional demand, with institutional trading volume surging by 800% over the past six months. As a platform federally regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi has captured over 90% of the U.S. prediction market share and plans to utilize the new capital to expand its product suite, including block trading and risk products, to meet growing market demand. Despite a brief slowdown in overall industry growth, Kalshi itself has demonstrated strong growth momentum.
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Hyperliquid, Polymarket, and Kalshi: A Competitive Analysis of Prediction Markets and Perpetual Contracts
Decentralized perpetual contract giant Hyperliquid is entering the prediction market space with its HIP-4 proposal, directly challenging industry leaders Polymarket and regulated platform Kalshi. Meanwhile, Polymarket and Kalshi have also announced their expansion into perpetual contracts, intensifying the competition among the three. This article will delve into the unique advantages, technical architecture, regulatory status, and market data of each platform to explore the future direction of this multi-dimensional competition.
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THALES Coin Trading Guide: Learn About Its Name Change and Where to Buy It
The THALES token is the governance token of the Thales Protocol, which focuses on prediction markets. It is important to note that the THALES token was recently renamed to Overtime (OVER) and migrated to a new contract. As a result, most trading activity in the market is now centered around the OVER token. This article will outline the historical trading activity of the THALES token and details regarding its rebranding, and will note that users may trade the token via decentralized exchanges (DEXs) or certain centralized platforms.
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How do I buy and sell POLK? On which major exchanges is the POLK token listed?
POLK is the native token of the Polkamarkets platform, a DeFi-based prediction market designed to provide decentralized cross-chain information exchange and event prediction capabilities. The POLK token is primarily issued on the Ethereum blockchain, and users can buy and sell it on centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX).This article will provide a detailed overview of how to trade POLK and the trading platforms where it is currently listed.
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What Is Augur (REP)? Analysis of REP Token Crowdfunding Price and Investment Prospects
Augur (REP) is a decentralized prediction market platform based on the Ethereum, which allows users to make predictions about real-world events. Its native token, REP, is primarily used for reporting and verifying event outcomes, ensuring the accuracy of the platform’s decentralized oracle.REP’s ICO was held in 2015 at a price of approximately $0.60, raising a total of about $5 million to $5.3 million. The investment outlook for REP depends on the adoption rate of the Augur platform, market competition, the regulatory environment, and its utility as a utility token—rather than as a passive investment.
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Polymarket: How the Prediction Market Giant Is Unlocking a Hundred-Billion-Level Fund Pool and Reaping the Benefits of Globalization
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, is rapidly emerging as a major force in the Web3 space. The platform allows users to predict and trade on the outcomes of global events; its trading volume has surged to the tens of billions of dollars, attracting a large number of users worldwide. This article will delve into Polymarket’s operational mechanisms, its staggering capital scale, and how it is achieving growth through a global strategy, while also addressing the regulatory challenges the platform faces.
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