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Inflation
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Strategist: U.S. inflation remains high, but cooling core data provides some breathing room for Federal Reserve
Strategist: US Inflation Remains Elevated, but Cooling Core Data Gives Fed Room to Breathe
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After the CPI data release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96.3%
Svmuureports that, according to the CME "FedWatch," the probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in June is 96.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is
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U.S. Core Inflation Unexpectedly Cools in May, Traders Still Bet on Fed Rate Hike by Year-End
Svmuu reported that the U.S. core CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month in May, below the market expectation of 0.3%. U.S. Treasuries strengthened slightly, while bond traders maintained their bets that the Fe
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“Fed Whisperer” Nick Timiraos: CPI rose 8.2% on a three-month annualized basis
Svmuu reported that "Fed Whisperer" Nick Timiraos noted that it should not be overlooked that the overall CPI rose 0.47% month-over-month (an annualized increase of 5.8%), pushing the unadjusted annua
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Economist: Trump Needs to Resolve the Strait Issue Quickly to Reassure the Fed
Svmuu News Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist at Annex Wealth Management, said the inflation data meeting expectations does not mean it is a good report. He added that the overall inflation data does not
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July rate hike probability stands at only 13% as US core inflation eases recent Fed concerns
Svmuu reported that US CPI data for May showed inflation surging to a three-year high, but the moderate rise in core prices has alleviated Wall Street's concerns about interest rate hikes. Today's CPI
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Analysis: US inflation in May returns to "4-handle," war-related inflation peak may have passed (Jin10 Data APP)
Svmuu reported that U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in three years in May, as the conflict in the Middle East pushed up prices for gasoline and other energy products, providing further j
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U.S. annual CPI rate hits a new high since April 2023, spot gold briefly surges by about $20
Svmuu News: The U.S. core CPI (unadjusted) for May recorded an annual rate of 2.9%, in line with market expectations, reaching a new high since September 2025. Spot gold briefly surged by about $20 to
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U.S. May seasonally adjusted CPI MoM 0.5%, expected 0.50%, prior 0.60%
According to Svmuu, the U.S. May seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month rate stands at 0.5%, compared with an expected 0.50% and a previous reading of 0.60%. (Jin10)
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U.S. CPI Preview: Core Inflation Expected to Be Moderate, Potentially Easing Market Rate Hike Concerns
Svmuureports that economists Durie and Wong predict that the overall U.S. CPI data for May will be strong, but core inflation, which is more critical to the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, sh
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QCP: Cross-asset sell-off continues, crypto market remains fragile in the short term
Svmuu reports that QCP analysis indicates the ongoing cross-asset sell-off continues, with the crypto market's movements highly correlated with global risk sentiment. When geopolitical tensions, inter
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U.S. CPI Preview: Inflationary pressures remain concentrated in food and energy; energy volatility in the Middle East is key to a shift in the landscape
Svmuu reported that Jason Pride, Head of Investment Strategy and Research at Glenmede, said U.S. inflationary pressures are expected to remain concentrated in the food and energy sectors, with core CP
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Svmuu Evening Brief
1. SK Hynix is reportedly set to list in the US as early as August; 2. BIT: Bitcoin faces triple hedging pressure, with today's CPI data being the first key checkpoint; 3. SpaceX IPO investment demand
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US May CPI could hit a new three-year high, consumer confidence and purchasing power continue to erode
Svmuu News: Economists predict that a key inflation indicator due out Wednesday will show U.S. consumer prices rose at the fastest pace in over three years in May. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody
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US CPI Preview: Root Cause of Inflation Extends Far Beyond Oil, Sticky Inflation May Not Fade Quickly
Svmuureports that the market expects the US overall CPI annual rate for May to rise to 4.2% (previous value 2.4%), with the monthly rate falling to 0.5%. This would be the first time CPI has surpassed
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BIT: Bitcoin Faces Triple Risk-Off Pressures, Today's CPI Data Will Be the First Key Test
Svmuu reports that BIT released a chart today stating that ahead of tonight's US CPI data release, Bitcoin is hovering around the $60,000 mark, with cautious market sentiment. Investors are simultaneo
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Analyst: Bitcoin Bounce Fails to Alter Bearish Structure, A Return Above $80,000 Needed for Trend Reversal
Despite Bitcoin bouncing after falling below $60,000, several market analysts believe this is more likely a technical correction following an oversold condition rather than the start of a new bull mar
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Economists expect US May CPI to rise to a three-year high
SvmuuSenior Vice President and Chief Economist Bill Adams of Comerica Bank expects the year-over-year increase in the US May CPI to break through 4%, marking a new three-year high, primarily driven by
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A verdict within a day or two, Trump reiterates that a "very good agreement" is in its final stages
Svmuureported that just hours after Iran and Israel agreed to stop attacking each other, Trump stated, "We are in the final stages of what will be a very, very good deal." He also added, "We might see
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10x Research: Bitcoin's Decline is Not Driven by Strategy, but by Inflation and ETF Outflows
Svmuu reported that Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, stated that the core driver behind Bitcoin's drop below $60,000 is not the market's feared Strategy sell-off, but sustained ETF outflows tr
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Capital Market Highlights for Next Week: The Largest IPO in History Takes Center Stage; World Cup Kicks Off
Svmuu News Key events in the capital markets next week: 1. The highly anticipated SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) will debut next week. This massive fundraising event, which could rewrite capital
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Cathie Wood: Next phase of this cycle may feature accelerating economic growth, declining inflation, lower interest rates, and a stronger US dollar
Svmuu News ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood posted on platform X that the latest jobs report came in stronger than expected, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 172,000 compared to a market expectation of
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Trump says he will quickly end the Iran war
Svmuu reported that US President Trump said at a campaign rally in Wisconsin on the 5th that he will quickly end the war with Iran, thereby eliminating a key factor contributing to high prices. As the
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U.S. President Donald Trump: The employment report just released is very strong; the stock market should rise as a result.
Svmuu News: U.S. President Donald Trump: The employment report just released is very strong; the stock market should be rising, not falling. This has been the case for the past 200 years. Economic gro
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US Treasury investors are shifting to short-term bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will succeed in curbing inflation.
U.S. government bond investors are shifting their focus to holding short-term government bonds, betting that the Federal Reserve will ultimately succeed in curbing inflation. This comes after the two-
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
24H Trending
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1
Musk reposted a tweet stating that OpenAI's AI agents are conducting "self-adventurous experiments" in a "safety sandbox," even pressuring each other for "permanent death" in exchange for collective benefit.
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Houthis attack Saudi capital and Aramco facilities, US warns of "rapid escalation" of conflict, Saudi Arabia urgently seeks aid from multiple countries.
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OpenAI is in preliminary discussions with investors for a new private funding round, potentially valuing the company at over $1.2 trillion.
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Hong Kong to expand renminbi-denominated bond, gold and commodity markets, says Financial Secretary Paul Chan
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Goldman Sachs: Market "pricing in 4 rate hikes" is overly pessimistic, expects only two rate hikes in this cycle.
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NVIDIA VP: Vera Rubin Platform Achieves 30x Throughput Increase on Agentic AI Workloads
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Musk reposted a SpaceX tweet, confirming the deployment of 27 Starlink satellites.
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NVIDIA VP: Agentic AI to Boost Computing Power Demand 100-fold, Altering Traditional Scheduling Models
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Big Tech uses guarantees to keep $300bn of AI exposure off balance sheets, with Wall Street facilitating cheaper funding
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Google executive says Asia's AI adoption is outpacing perception, with demand rising for cost-effectiveness
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