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Inflation
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WestEnd Capital Management, in its Q2 2026 investor letter, expressed optimism about luxury home furnishings retailer RH (RH), citing its enhanced earnings potential.
WestEnd Capital Management noted in its Q2 2026 investor letter that RH (NYSE:RH) has built one of the most distinctive luxury home brands in the industry, with its affluent customer base remaining re
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Wolfe Research Chief Economist Roth stated that inflation data, not employment data, will determine the Federal Reserve's next move.
Wolfe Research Chief Economist Stephanie Roth stated that the market's "hawkish reaction to the August US jobs report may be somewhat overdone."
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Fed insider Nick Timiraos: August jobs data clears the way for a September Fed rate hike, but inflation data remains key.
The Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that while August inflation data may still dominate the Federal Reserve's decision to raise rates or hold steady in September, strong August emplo
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U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000, exceeding the expected 56,000. The previous value (revised) was 21,000.
U.S. August non-farm payrolls increased by 162,000 (expected 56,000, revised previous value 21,000); unemployment rate was 4.1% (expected 4.1%, revised previous value 4.1%); average hourly earnings mo
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Citi economist Clark said the Federal Reserve's labor market narrative could shift rapidly.
Citi economist Veronica Clark said she sees several scenarios where inflation and labor market data could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
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Diesel prices hit a record high of $5.85 per gallon, surpassing the 2022 record.
Diesel prices hit a record high of $5.85 per gallon, surpassing the 2022 record.
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Morgan Stanley Expects Fed to Hold Rates Despite Warsh’s Hawkish Tone, Citing August Core CPI/PCE Forecasts
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged, despite Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech. The bank forecasts August core CPI at +0.23% MoM and core PCE at +0.20%, supporting pat
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Philippines Peso plunges to a record low of 62.71 per US dollar on Friday, driven by Iran war fallout, rising oil prices, and domestic economic challenges.
The Philippines peso hit an all-time low of 62.71 to the US dollar on Friday, continuing its downward trajectory since the start of the year, having lost about 6% of its value against the US dollar si
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UK CPI 3.1%, prior 3%
CPI: 3.1%, Previous: 3% Release Time: 2026-09-04 08:30 UTC
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World's Biggest Money Managers Are Rebuilding Gold Positions, Betting on Long-Term Drivers Despite Fed's Assertive Stance
Some of the world’s biggest money managers have rebuilt their gold holdings after prices dropped, betting that long-term drivers of the precious metal will endure even as the US Federal Reserve takes
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
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Global bond yields surge to multi-year highs, with US 10-year Treasury at highest since Nov 2023 and Japan's since 1996, on persistent inflation fears
Global government bond yields have surged this week, reflecting investor anxiety that inflation could remain structurally higher due to rising debt, tariffs, defense spending, and energy shocks. The U
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Philippine August Inflation Eases to 6.1%, Marking Fourth Straight Month of Deceleration
Philippine August inflation eased to 6.1%, marking the fourth straight month of deceleration, though remaining above the central bank’s target due to slower increases in utility rates and food prices.
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U.S. 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.71%, a new high in over a year. The Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller stated that a rate hike in September might not be necessary.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the U.S. rose to 6.71% this week, up from 6.66% last week, reaching its highest level since July 2025, according to data released by Fred
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UBS Wealth Management France CIO Discusses Soaring Global Bond Yields and ECB Rate Hike Expectations
Claudia Panseri, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Wealth Management France, discussed the surge in global bond yields driven by inflation concerns, market expectations for European Central Bank rate hi
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BNP Paribas' Meghan Robson Says They Are Closely Watching CPI Next Week
BNP Paribas' Meghan Robson Says They Are Closely Watching CPI Next Week
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Brent crude oil surpassed $97 per barrel on Thursday, and the average price of diesel reached a new high of $5.78 per gallon since 2022.
International benchmark Brent crude rose for a fourth consecutive trading day on Thursday, breaking above $97 per barrel during the session, with a cumulative gain of over 7% this week. The average pr
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WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
WSJ Opinion: Interest Rate Adjustments Insufficient, U.S. Must Restore Gold-Backed Dollar to Fix Inflation
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US major stock indexes rose over 1% during the trading session, with the Nasdaq Composite up 1.35%. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell 5 basis points to 4.75%. The Federal Reserve's Waller hinted at a pause in interest rate hikes.
At midday Eastern Time on September 3, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,572 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.20% to 53,699 points, and the S&P 500 Index rose 1.01% to 7,744 p
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Former Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh publicly criticized his predecessor Jerome Powell for 65 consecutive months of inflation above target during his tenure; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to a one-year high of 4.79%.
Warsh, the current Chairman of the Federal Reserve, publicly criticized his predecessor, Jerome Powell, stating that inflation exceeded the target for 65 consecutive months during Powell's tenure, a s
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Reuters Poll: Majority of Economists Expect ECB to Hike by 25 bps on September 10, Deposit Rate to Reach 2.50%, Signaling Potential Peak of Tightening Cycle
All 65 economists surveyed by Reuters from August 31 to September 3 expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on September 10. Economists generally b
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US ISM Services PMI 55.4, expected 54.3, previous 54.1
ISM Services PMI: 55.4, expected 54.3, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: 55.4, expected 54.2, prior 54.1 ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Index: 72.6, prior 70.3 ISM Non-Manufacturing Employment Index
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Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
Fed's Waller says we should start seeing some lower numbers on inflation and expects a reasonable CPI.
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FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
FED'S WALLER SAYS WITH CPI AND PPI IN HAND, HAVE A PRETTY ACCURATE VIEW OF PCE INFLATION
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Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy
Record diesel prices are exposing pain points in the stock market and economy, with a major risk being that high diesel prices will continue to put upward pressure on inflation.
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Iran's car market prices surge 40-130% since February, with officials calling it a 'mafia system', highlighting cost-of-living crisis
Domestic car prices in Iran have mostly risen 40% to 80% since the start of the war in February, with some vehicles selling for over 130% of their September 2025 costs. This makes even locally made ca
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MarketWatch analysis: Warsh's Fed aims to tame inflation to 2% by 2029 with slightly higher rates, and Wall Street now believes it
MarketWatch analysis indicates that after more than five years of previous attempts, Federal Reserve leaders believe they can reduce the inflation rate to 2% by 2029 with only slightly higher U.S. int
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Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs analyzed that despite strong economic performance, low consumer confidence may be attributed to a general "decline in well-being" across society.
Goldman Sachs economist Joseph Briggs informed clients that the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to a historic low this year, dropping 13% year-over-year in September, with an almo
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US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
US stocks were mixed, as inflation concerns and Middle East conflicts offset AI optimism.
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Polls show: US voters' opposition to war with Iran hits record high, 71% believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy
A Fox News poll released Thursday shows that 71% of American voters believe the Trump administration "lacks a clear strategy" to end the conflict with Iran, which has led to rising inflation and soari
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WuBlockchain: CoinShares Says Bitcoin Unlikely to Break $80K Without Inflation Improvement or Fed Shift
CoinShares stated that Bitcoin faces two major near-term headwinds: a more hawkish Federal Reserve and a setback to the CLARITY Act. The firm believes a decisive break above $80,000 is unlikely before
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Al Jazeera: Middle East conflict causes living costs to soar for 2 billion people in South Asia, disrupts energy supplies in multiple countries.
Al Jazeera reports that the escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a worsening cost-of-living crisis for a quarter of the world's population, approximately 2 billion people in South Asia. C
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Soaring US Treasury yields offer a "silver lining," with some investors seeing a buying opportunity at 5% yields.
As the world's largest bond market remains under pressure, some investors see an attractive reason to buy U.S. Treasuries: yield. Driven by high inflation, ballooning budget deficits, and a surge in c
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The ECB's August Consumer Expectations Survey showed that inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 3.0%, with three-year and five-year inflation expectations also revised upwards.
A survey showed that consumers' inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose from 2.9% in July to 3.0%, three-year inflation expectations increased from 2.7% to 2.9%, and five-year inflation exp
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Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Does not rule out the possibility of a 50 basis point rate hike or consecutive rate hikes.
Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda stated at a press conference on Friday that there are no specific ideas regarding the pace of interest rate hikes, and policy will be decided after thorough dis
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Gasoline prices in Yemen's Houthi-controlled areas have increased by 10% for the first time in four years, sparking inflation concerns.
Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen announced on Monday a gasoline price hike of approximately 10%, from 4,750 Yemeni rials (approximately $8.90) to 5,250 Yemeni rials (approximately $9.80) per liter. Th
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ECB's Vujčić: Energy prices, now well above baseline, are driving market expectations for inflation and rate path; expects food inflation to peak at 3.4% in Q3 2027
European Central Bank Governing Council member Boris Vujčić stated in an interview with Reuters that energy prices have continued to increase and are now well above the baseline of the ECB's latest pr
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German PPI MoM 1.1%, expected 0.4%, prior 1.1%, above expectations
PPI MoM: 1.1%, Est. 0.4%, Prev. 1.1%, Above Expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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German PPI YoY 4.6%, expected 4.1%, previous 3%, above expectations
PPI YoY: 4.6%, expected 4.1%, prior 3%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-18 06:00 UTC
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Economist Mihir Torsekar warns economic squeeze from higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power could sway US midterm elections
Senior economist Mihir Torsekar told Al Jazeera’s ‘This is America’ that Americans on the lower end of the economy are feeling the impact of higher borrowing costs and weaker purchasing power, which c
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has raised interest rates to 1.25%, a 31-year high, to combat persistent inflation.
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday raised its policy interest rate from 1% to 1.25% with a 7-2 vote, reaching its highest level in 31 years. This move aims to counter persistent inflationary pressures
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Japan's central bank raises interest rate to 1.25%, a 31-year high, amid rising inflation
The Bank of Japan hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 1% to 1.25% on Friday, marking the first increase since June and pushing borrowing costs to their highest level in 31
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Yen falls to 156.30 per dollar as softer August inflation dents BOJ aggressive tightening bets
The yen eased from 155.68-70 late Thursday, hours before the Bank of Japan's policy decision, after lower-than-expected consumer inflation in August dented expectations of aggressive tightening.
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RBA Governor Bullock: Australian Businesses Starting to Question if Inflation Will Return Below 3%
Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock told a parliamentary panel on Friday that Australian businesses are starting to "bubble up" a view that elevated inflation is not coming back down be
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South Korean stocks opened up 2.24% on Friday, boosted by falling oil prices and easing inflation concerns following the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
The Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) opened up 150.53 points, or 2.24%, at 6,865.94 points on Friday (9:15 AM KST). This followed an overnight rally on Wall Street, as falling oil prices and
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South Korea extends fuel tax cuts for two months until November to ease price pressures.
South Korea's Ministry of Finance announced on Friday that it would extend fuel tax cuts for another two months until November to ease price pressures stemming from ongoing tensions in the Middle East
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RBA Governor Bullock says board must decide if current rate is sufficient to cool prices
Australia’s central bank board needs to decide later this month whether its benchmark interest rate is at a level sufficient to restrain price pressures and return inflation to target, Governor Michel
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Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
Japan's August inflation rate was 1.9% year-on-year, below expectations of 2.1% and matching the previous reading of 1.9%.
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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Nippon Life plans to invest $12.7 billion (2 trillion yen) in infrastructure financing, primarily for data center construction in the US
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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang rejected calls to slow down AI development, stating that AI should advance "as fast as possible" but emphasized that safety should not be sacrificed.
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The US, Denmark, and Greenland have reached a security agreement to expand the US military presence in Greenland, expected to be signed next week.
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The Senate failed to pass a cryptocurrency ethics rule because it did not cover the interests of officials' adult children.
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