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Inflation
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U.S. September consumer sentiment index fell 7.5% to 47.8, the second-lowest reading since 1952
The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index dropped 7.5% in September to 47.8, marking the second-lowest reading in the survey's history dating back to 1952. Consumers expect inflation to co
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US September consumer confidence index falls to a new low of 47.8 in recent years, inflation expectations rise to 4.6%, with soaring gasoline prices and US-Iran conflict weighing.
Preliminary survey results released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed that the US consumer sentiment index for September fell to 47.8 from 51.7 in August, lower than all economists' forec
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Odds of Fed Rate Hike for Sept. 16 FOMC Meeting Surge to Over 85%
CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a quarter-point rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee's Sept. 16 meeting has risen to 85.6%. This marks a significant shift from Aug. 11, when the o
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Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) Stock Trades Around Buy Point, Attracting Funds
Gold miner Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM) is seeing its stock trade around a buy point, attracting funds ahead of the Federal Reserve's September rate-setting meeting. The company is listed among Inves
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US September consumer confidence index fell to 47.8, the second-lowest level in history, and inflation expectations rose to 4.6%.
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to 47.8 in September, down 7.5% from August and 13.2% from a year ago, marking the second-lowest level since records began in 1952, according to the University of Michigan
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Canadian Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre stated that Canadian trade could help the US curb inflation, but the Trump administration would need to lift tariffs on Canada.
Canadian Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre stated on "Bloomberg Opinion" that Canada's oil and mineral resources could help alleviate inflationary pressures in the United States, but only if
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US stocks rose on Friday, ending a four-day losing streak, led by tech shares. Oil prices fell, offsetting the impact of persistent inflation, as expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week increased.
U.S. stocks rebounded on Friday, snapping a four-day losing streak. Technology stocks rose over 1%, with Oracle jumping 2% on strong AI cloud infrastructure revenue. NVIDIA and the "Magnificent Seven"
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U.S. stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow rebounding, NVIDIA and Oracle surging, as the market digested higher-than-expected inflation data.
Wall Street reacted to a slightly above-expectations Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major stock indices rising. Software company
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University of Michigan 1-year inflation expectations rose from 4.0% to 4.6%.
University of Michigan 1-year inflation expectations rose from 4.0% to 4.6%.
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White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett: Inflation has "significantly decelerated," adding that Donald Trump may comment on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes.
White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett stated that inflation has "decelerated significantly" over the past three months and emphasized that the Federal Reserve's independence should be respected.
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S&P 500 remains 5.4% away from 8,000 milestone, CFRA targets 8,050 by year-end but warns of 5%-10% correction
The S&P 500's rally is being stalled by rising bond yields, sticky inflation, and a hawkish Fed outlook. Despite these macro risks, Wall Street remains relatively calm, with the VIX below 20 and corpo
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Analysis: Fed Chair Warsh's Credibility on the Line Ahead of Next Week's Rate Decision Following August CPI Data Release
Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh faces a severe test for next week's interest rate decision after the August CPI data release. The latest data shows that the US August core CPI rose by 0.3% month-on-mon
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Dollar Wavers as Inflation Aids Fed Hike Bets While Oil Falls
The dollar oscillated Friday after a key gauge of US consumer prices rose by more than expected pushing traders to add to bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates next week.
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Bank of America: Investors May Be Regretting Buying European and UK Government Bonds as Soaring Energy Prices Lead to Yield Spikes
Investors who recently bought large amounts of European and UK government bonds may be regretting their decisions as bond prices have fallen sharply, according to a Bank of America survey. The survey
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Core services ex-housing rose 0.51% in August CPI, the highest reading since January, up 3% on the year.
Core services excluding housing rose 0.51% in the August CPI report, marking the highest monthly increase since January and a 3% year-over-year rise. Core goods were up 0.11% month-over-month and 0.7%
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US CPI 334.98%, expected 334.85%, prior 333.92%, above expectations
CPI: 334.98%, expectations 334.85%, prior 333.92%, above expectations Release Time: 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC
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U.S. inflation accelerated in August, with the overall CPI rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week.
U.S. inflation accelerated in August, strengthening the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike next week. Data showed that the overall CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year in August; c
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Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
Traders now anticipate a 90% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike next week, up from 70% before the inflation report was released.
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U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, above expectations of 0.2%.
U.S. August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, above expectations of 0.2%.
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US August CPI (YoY) was 3.4%, in line with expectations of 3.4%, and the previous value (revised) was 3.4%.
US August CPI YoY 3.4% (expected 3.4%, revised prior 3.4%, in line with expectations); CPI MoM 0.4% (expected 0.4%, revised prior 0.1%, in line with expectations); Core CPI YoY 2.4% (expected 2.4%, re
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Veteran Commodities Strategist Jeff Currie Sees 'Extremely High' Chance of $5 Gas by Midterms
Veteran commodities strategist Jeff Currie said average US gasoline prices will almost certainly hit $5 a gallon before the midterm elections, citing a toxic combination of scarcity and currency debas
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US futures advanced as Oracle's better-than-expected results boosted tech sentiment and oil prices retreated, with investors awaiting consumer price data.
US futures advanced as Oracle's better-than-expected results boosted tech sentiment and oil prices retreated, with investors awaiting consumer price data.
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Former Goldman Sachs Head of Commodities, Jeff Currie, warns: Brent crude breaking above $107/barrel and diesel crack spreads surging to $110/barrel indicate that fuel shortages are triggering structural inflation.
Jeff Currie, former head of commodities at Goldman Sachs and now head of Real Macro, told CNBC on Thursday that the market is underestimating an inflation cycle driven by a long-term supply shortage o
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Crude oil prices climbed back above $100 a barrel this week, with US diesel surging past $6 a gallon for the first time.
Crude oil prices climbed back above $100 a barrel this week, with US diesel surging past $6 a gallon for the first time.
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Fed’s Collins Says Last Week’s Rate Hike Will Help Return Inflation to Goal
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said she supported last week’s decision to raise interest rates, which she said would help bring inflation back to the central bank’s 2% target.
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Demand Surges at South African Bond Auction Ahead of Rate Call
Demand surged at an auction of South African government bonds as investors sought relatively high yields ahead of inflation data and a central bank policy meeting scheduled for later this week.
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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood dismisses Fed rate-hike fears, expects tech innovation to drive stronger growth and lower inflation
ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood states that higher interest rates will not derail the technology boom, arguing that rapid innovation will drive stronger economic growth. Wood anticipates the current tech r
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U.S. Treasury yields retreated as the market focused on ADP employment data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that all Iranian airlines would be shut down starting Wednesday.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell 2 basis points to 4.943%, the 2-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 4.741%, and the 30-year yield declined 2 basis points to 5.272%. Investors are awaiting th
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European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip R. Lane expects energy shocks to persist longer, with inflation potentially higher and more prolonged, targeting mid-2027.
Philip R. Lane, Chief Economist of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated in an interview with Le Temps that after a second wave of energy price increases, the energy shock is expected to last longer
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RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
RBNZ Warns Near-Term Inflation May Beat Estimates, Adding to Signs of Another Rate Hike as Soon as October
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JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: Hyperscale cloud companies' AI spending may reach $1 trillion next year, expected to boost GDP by 1% annually and push up inflation.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon: Hyperscale cloud companies' AI spending may reach $1 trillion next year, expected to boost GDP by 1% annually and push up inflation.
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Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warns: New US tariffs could push Q4 economic growth below 1%, high oil prices exacerbate inflation.
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated on Monday that a new round of U.S. tariffs could prompt businesses to delay investment and hiring, causing Canada's fourth-quarter economic growth to "rough
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Fed's Musalem Says More Rate Hikes Likely Needed to Cool Prices, Policy May Still Be Stimulative
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Alberto Musalem said additional interest rate increases may be needed to achieve the central bank’s inflation goal, adding that monetary policy may still be
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Billionaire Tim Draper Criticizes Apple and Meta for Not Holding Bitcoin, Calls It "Irresponsible"
Billionaire venture capitalist Tim Draper stated that it is "irresponsible" for companies the size of Apple and Meta not to hold Bitcoin as part of their corporate reserves. He believes that current f
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Deutsche Bank macro strategists warn: Markets may again be underestimating the terminal interest rate after synchronized rate hikes by the world's three major central banks.
Deutsche Bank macro strategist Henry Allen warned on Monday that despite the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan all raising interest rates in the past two weeks, the mar
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Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
Fed's Goolsbee Says 'Aggressive' Action Needed on Inflation, Citing Overheating Demand and Iran Supply Shock
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U.S. fuel prices are surging, with diesel nearing $6.50/gallon and gasoline rising to $4.48/gallon, which could push inflation expectations higher and reinforce the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
U.S. diesel prices have surged to nearly $6.50/gallon, up approximately 18% from the August average, while gasoline prices have climbed to $4.48/gallon. Consumer surveys have not yet fully reflected t
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Fed's Goolsbee warns: Returning to 2% inflation target "will not be without pain," employment and wages may pay the price.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee stated on Monday that supply shocks have become more frequent and persistent in recent years, and the Federal Reserve can no longer simply "look through" them as
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Fed's Goolsbee: Rate cuts would be "no problem" if inflation clearly returns to 2%.
The Federal Reserve's Austan Goolsbee stated he would have "no problem" with cutting interest rates if inflation clearly returns to the 2% target. He believes the Fed is currently facing an inflation
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Iran’s GDP shrank 10.1% in Q1 (March 21-June 20) amid US-Israel war, with oil and gas sector contracting 26.4%
Official data from the Statistical Center of Iran shows the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 10.1% year-on-year during the first quarter of the Persian calendar (March 21 to June 2
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Bitcoin's $80k rally faces inflation expectations test this week, with price model predicting $95k
CryptoSlate analysis indicates that Bitcoin's rebound above $80,000 could be tested by two key economic reports this week. The University of Michigan's final September consumer survey, due September 2
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Bloomberg Markets Analysis: The market can handle the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, but not uncertainty.
Bloomberg Markets analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve's increasing clarity in its commitment to combating inflation provides a bullish case for investors, but risks related to oil prices and a
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Institutional investors stockpile cash at record pace, retreat from US/UK equities due to inflation and geopolitical risks: Marsh Investments survey
Institutional investors stockpile cash at record pace, retreat from US/UK equities due to inflation and geopolitical risks: Marsh Investments survey
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Global shipping costs surge 201%, nearing 2021 peak; tanker charter rates hit record highs; Saudi Aramco suspends crude oil deliveries due to attacks.
Global shipping costs are experiencing a new round of severe shocks, with container freight rates surging by 201%, nearing the crisis peak of 2021, while geopolitical turmoil has pushed tanker charter
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Donald Trump posted that gasoline prices and almost all other prices have been much higher under Biden's term than under his own.
Donald Trump posted that gasoline prices and almost all other prices have been much higher under Biden's term than under his own.
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U.S. retail diesel prices have surpassed $6.50 per gallon for the first time, as the war exacerbates global fuel supply tightness.
U.S. retail diesel prices have surpassed $6.50 per gallon for the first time, extending a war-driven rally that is having ripple effects across the economy.
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Wall Street's three major banks predict the U.S. Treasury will issue approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bills over the next year, posing a dilemma for Scott Bessent's policy.
Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Goldman Sachs latest forecasts indicate that the U.S. Treasury will net borrow approximately $1 trillion through the issuance of short-term Treasury bills in the c
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Gold holds steady as traders weigh inflation and Federal Reserve rate hike prospects.
Gold prices held steady as traders weighed the risks of persistent inflation against the Federal Reserve's path for interest rate hikes. This follows the Fed's first rate hike since 2023, with a unani
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Previous, Forecast, Actual: These three numbers in the economic calendar are the market's script.
The economic calendar doesn't predict market trends; it merely answers "when, which country, and what numbers will be released." What truly drives prices is the difference between the actual value and the forecast. This article uses two sets of real data to illustrate how to read previous values, forecasts, and actuals, clarifies three common pitfalls—importance ratings, time zones, and revised figures—and provides a replicable weekly scheduling method.
Inflation
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Two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran claimed to have received intelligence that the US was planning new attacks.
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Goldman Sachs analysts say Turkish investors are primarily moving funds withdrawn during the redemption crisis into Lira deposits.
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Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine, killing at least 3 people and cutting power to nearly 100,000 residents in the Chernihiv region.
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Natural gas is up 5.96% today, currently trading at $3.005.
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