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Interest rate hike
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Analysis: Weak nonfarm payrolls data have dampened expectations of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve, causing bond prices to rise.
Svmuu News: Following a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payrolls report, U.S. Treasury prices rose as traders scaled back their expectations for interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming m
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Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise to the Downside; Market Bets on Rate Hike Delay Until Year-End
Svmuu News: U.S. June nonfarm payroll data showed that, despite a decline in the unemployment rate, hiring slowed significantly in June, dampening the initial momentum of job growth this year.Accordin
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The market is scaling back bets on interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve
Svmuu News: U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose sharply following the release of the nonfarm payrolls data, as the market scaled back its bets on Federal Reserve raising interest rates. The mar
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Ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, the Federal Reserve's probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July stands at 68.5%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 68.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Bank of Japan (BOJ), a private-sector member of Japan’s Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy: Interest rates should continue to rise at a moderate pace
Svmuu News: Toshihiro Nagahama, a private-sector member of Japan’s Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest rates should continue to rise at a moderate pace. Moderate Bank o
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Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to say whether interest rates would be raised in July
Svmuu News: Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to comment on whether Federal Reserve might raise interest rates at its July meeting.“I hope that when we meet in four weeks, we’ll have a full ‘in-
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Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 33.7%.
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of interest rates remaining unchanged in July is 66.3%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis po
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UBS: First Monetary Policy Meeting of the Warsh Era Takes a Hawkish Turn; Expectations for Rate Hikes This Year May Be on the Aggressive Side
Svmuu News UBS noted in its latest report that the first monetary policy meeting following Kevin Warsh’s appointment as Chairman of the Federal Reserve sent a clearly hawkish signal, but market bets o
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ING Group: Warsh's Upcoming Speech May Boost the Dollar
Svmuu News: Chris Turner of ING Group stated in a report that if Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh focuses on price stability during his speech at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Sintra, Portuga
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Amid concerns over interest rate hikes, gold prices fell back below $40,000
Svmuu News: Gold prices fell back below $4,000 per ounce ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Wash at the European Central Bank (ECB) forum in Portugal. Analysts at Saxo Bank stated, “The mar
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ITC: The yen's depreciation appears unusually gradual
Svmuu News: Sean Callow, Senior Forex Analyst at InTouch Capital Markets, said that the most striking aspect of the yen’s depreciation over the past few weeks has been the relatively smooth and orderl
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Will Not Prejudge Whether an Interest Rate Hike Is Needed in July
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that he would not prejudge whether an interest rate hike is needed in July, and that he currently sees no tensions in the dual mandate. (Jin Shi)
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Federal Reserve Hamak: Federal Reserve: A rate hike may need to be considered
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Hamak stated that the job market is nearing full employment and the outlook for growth is positive. Inflation remains too high, Federal Reserve and a rate hike may need to b
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Castle Securities: The AI Market Is Facing Greater Risks; Federal Reserve's Policies Will Become More Stringent
Svmuu News: Castle Securities stated that the AI market is facing greater risks, including weakening demand, declining returns, and increased political and regulatory scrutiny. Investors have underest
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Bank of America Securities: A Strong Nonfarm Payrolls Report May Lead the Market to Anticipate Three Rate Hikes in 2026
Svmuu News: On June 29, Bank of America Securities projected that U.S. nonfarm payrolls would rise significantly by 110,000 in June, driven primarily by moderate initial jobless claims and strong ADP
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South Korea's inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month; June CPI is expected to rise 3.2% year-over-year
Svmuu News: A survey indicates that South Korea’s overall inflation rate may exceed 3% for the second consecutive month, surpassing the Bank of Korea’s 2% target. The median forecast of seven economis
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: In last week’s dot plot projections, nearly half of the officials expected at least one more rate hike this year
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Official Kashkari stated, “I am concerned about inflation; this is not just related to the situation in the Middle East, but is a manifestation of broader inflationary press
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Federal Reserve Kashkari: Expects One Rate Hike in 2026 and No Change in Interest Rates in 2027
Svmuu News Federal Reserve Kashkari said he expects one rate hike in 2026 and that rates will remain unchanged in 2027, noting that it remains to be seen how the absence of forward guidance will play
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U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell as inflation concerns eased
Svmuu News: As oil prices fell more than 3% and the market reassessed the outlook for U.S. interest rates, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar declined. CME Group(CME) Federal Reserve’s monitoring too
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Economist: Tokyo CPI Data Unlikely to Accelerate Bank of Japan (BOJ) Interest Rate Hike
Svmuu News: Takuya Hoshino, an economist at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute in Japan, said that consumer inflation in the Tokyo metropolitan area rose in June for the first time in eight months,
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Financial markets are betting on an interest rate hike as early as September, followed by a possible second hike
Svmuu News: Driven by rising energy prices resulting from the conflict in the Middle East, U.S. inflation continued to climb in May, with the annual PCE inflation rate surpassing the 4% threshold for
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U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data came in largely in line with expectations
Svmuu News: According to data from MSX.COM, U.S. stock index futures extended their gains as PCE data largely met expectations, bolstering market hopes that the Federal Reserve would not adopt an over
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Ahead of the PCE data release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July stands at 65.8%
Svmuu News: According to CME’s “Federal Reserve”: Federal Reserve The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 ba
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Opinion: If U.S. PCE comes in stronger than expected, it could reverse the optimism sparked by Micron’s earnings report
Svmuu News: Ipek Ozkadskaya, senior market analyst at Ruixin Bank, said, “If the PCE data comes in stronger than expected, it could further encourage Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish stance and reve
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San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
San Francisco Fed President Daly: To fight inflation, further rate hikes may be needed in the future
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Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as stronger-than-expected US Non-Farm Payrolls data boosts December rate hike expectations
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Bank of England raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% and expects inflation to be near 5% next year
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike, bringing its benchmark rate to 4%. The current interest rate level reflects growing concerns over inflation exacerbated by persistent
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U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, far exceeding expectations, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, boosting market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
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ING: US dollar could strengthen further if nonfarm payrolls data comes in strong
According to The Wall Street Journal, ING analyst Chris Turner stated that if the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data comes in strong, it could reinforce market expectations for further rate hikes by
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Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
Treasury traders increased bullish bets ahead of Friday's employment report as expectations for further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve continued to cool.
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Democrats win control of Congress in US midterm elections, probability of a December Federal Reserve rate hike drops to 67%
Following the Democrats winning control of Congress in the US midterm elections, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December has dropped from over 80% to 67%, while the probability of r
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Richmond Fed President Barkin: The Federal Reserve still needs to raise interest rates in the future, but the pace will remain gradual
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he expects the Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates further in the future, though the exact magnitude and pace remain uncertain. In an interview wit
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Driven by rebounding oil prices and a rate hike by the Bank of England, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading around $79,600.
Driven by rising oil prices and the Bank of England's rate hike, the price of Bitcoin pulled back below $80,000, trading near $79,600. Early Thursday morning Eastern Time, Bitcoin fluctuated in a narr
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
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The Bank of England has raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4%, marking its first rate hike in over three years.
The Bank of England announced a 25-basis-point interest rate hike to 4%, marking its first rate increase in over three years. This widely anticipated move represents the central bank's first rate rise
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GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
GBP exchange rate indicators hit their highest level since the 2016 Brexit referendum, supported by UK economic resilience and rate hike expectations
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Bank of Japan September Meeting Minutes: Voted 7-2 to Raise Rates to Around 1.25% at the Time
According to the minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting held on September 17–18, 2026, released by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) on November 5, the board decided by a 7-2 majority to raise the policy rate b
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Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
Bank Negara Malaysia is expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday and signal room for a rate hike in early 2027.
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Eurozone October CPI rises to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high
Eurozone October CPI rose to 4% year-on-year, hitting a three-year high. Data showed that the Eurozone's inflation rate in October climbed to 4% from 3.8% in September, marking the first time since Se
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In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
In October, Hong Kong's private residential sales fell 12.1% month-on-month to HK$18.66 billion, with transaction volume down 5.8% amid market expectations of interest rate hikes.
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ECB Governing Council member Nagel: A December rate hike is very likely necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavorable scenario.
ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated that an interest rate hike in December is very likely to be necessary, as September inflation pressures were above expectations and are approaching an unfavor
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U.S. Treasuries fell due to strong U.S. job openings data and oil price volatility.
US job openings data exceeded economists' expectations, indicating a still robust labor market, which could give the Federal Reserve room to raise interest rates to curb inflation. Meanwhile, oil pric
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Nick Timiraos reposts a 2000 news article: Tech bubble executives ignored rate hike risks, companies went bankrupt nine months later.
Nick Timiraos reposted an old news story from 2000, recalling the tale of Sy Picon during the dot-com bubble. In January 2000, The Wall Street Journal reported that Sy Picon, founder of Sy Picon, a di
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The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
The Bank of England's interest rate path is divided among traders and economists, with an increase expected.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, an 18-year high, to combat inflation.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%, the highest level since November 2008. This marks the central bank's fifth rate hike this yea
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The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
The Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates on Thursday to curb inflation and address wage negotiations.
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Australian home prices fell for the seventh consecutive month, with the central bank expected to raise interest rates again this week.
Australian home prices fell for a seventh straight month, with private data showing the market is on track for its steepest decline in 40 years, ahead of expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australi
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Industry Insiders: Hong Kong Family Offices Still Interested in Overseas Real Estate Investment
According to the South China Morning Post, industry professionals interviewed believe that Hong Kong family offices' interest in real estate investments in Europe, the US, and Japan may not wane even
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Bitcoin tops $80,000, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike pause grow, who is actively positioning?
As of August 25, 2026, Bitcoin's price surpassed $80,000, marking its best week since 2023. This strong rebound comes as market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in September are rising, with the probability of a pause in rate hikes briefly reaching 70%. Amid changing macroeconomic conditions and fluctuating ETF capital flows, large Bitcoin holders (whales) and institutional investors have emerged as the primary buying force, actively buying the dips and demonstrating a strategic willingness to allocate to scarce assets.
Interest rate hike
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GRAM (Gram, prev. Toncoin) price pulls back to $1.057, hitting a nearly 365-day low
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BCH (Bitcoin Cash) trading volume reached $2.1 million over the past hour (15.2x its average for the same period over the past 7 days), currently trading at $247.900.
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